This week’s primetime slate features 3 potential Super Bowl contenders… and the Buffalo Bills. There are a lot of options to choose from so we need to pick our spots to try and find some value on this slate. Let’s get into the DFS Primetime Playsheet.
There are really only three options at quarterback on this slate, Tom Brady ($6,600 on Draftkings, Kirk Cousins ($6,300 on Draftkings) and Drew Brees ($5,700 on Draftkings). I do not have the bravery to roster whoever the Bills will be starting at quarterback here. To me, the preferred target on this slate would be Drew Brees. His lowered price and a decent matchup against this middling Minnesota defense are encouraging to me. Brees often times performs worse on the road, but I am willing to disregard that here as Minnesota plays in a dome just like the Saints do. The Saints should have to pass to win here as Mark Ingram may prove ineffective against a Minnesota defensive line that regains Everson Griffen this week.
If you want to pay up at the position, Tom Brady could be worth it. The Bills pass defense is better than most think led by second-year cornerback Tre’Davious White. With that said, the Patriots can easily overcome a bad matchup with the amount of receiving talent they have. I am unsure of what the Pats will do in the run game with Sony Michel now out, so I think they may need to lean on the pass a bit more. Brady is the most expensive quarterback, but he can still get the number of points he needs to return value in a blowout.
On this slate, James White is the highest priced running back at $7,600 on Draftkings. He figures to be the featured guy now that Sony Michel is on the shelf. Although I do like White, I think his counterpart Kenjon Barner ($3,800 on Draftkings) is a solid option. When Michel went down last week, he saw 10 carries. I only expect that number to increase this week, as the Patriots are lacking bodies in the backfield. I also don’t hate the idea of stacking both backs to accrue all of the Patriots backfield touches in a game where they should be ahead for a good portion of the game.
Alvin Kamara was a beast to start the season but has sort of faded away with the return of Mark Ingram. Kamara is $7,000 on Draftkings, and I can’t remember the last time we saw him at that price. This spot could be an awesome opportunity to roster Kamara if people are hesitant to fire him up. On short slates like this, fading guys with Kamara’s upside is never a smart idea. He and Mark Ingram pretty much split the work last week which may even further lower his ownership. Don’t forget that Ted Ginn Jr. is now out for the season which could also lead to a few more targets thrown Kamara’s way.
Adam Thielen ($9,000 on Draftkings) is enjoying a monstrous season thus far. One would think that he would see the shadow coverage of cornerback Marshon Lattimore, but that may not be the case. Thielen could work out of the slot where New Orleans has some of their worst defense. This would then leave Stefon Diggs to do battle with Lattimore. The price for Thielen is steep, but you may just have to bite the bullet and play him in this NFC Divisional round rematch.
On the other side of this matchup, Michael Thomas ($7.200 on Draftkings) will likely see Xavier Rhodes. Rhodes is currently questionable to play, but even so, Thomas feasted in this same matchup last season with 7 catches for 85 yards and 2 touchdowns. With the masses potentially shying away from a matchup with Rhodes, this could be a great spot to play him. Also, don’t forget about rookie Tre’Quan Smith ($4,300 on Draftkings). He is the primary beneficiary with the absence of Ted Ginn Jr. and can easily smash his price if he catches a bomb from Drew Brees.
At tight end, Rob Gronkowski leads the way at $6,100 on Draftkings. I think it is safe to say that Gronk has not looked the same this season. After an all-star performance in week one, Gronk has disappointed. He is currently questionable, but if he suits up I am not sure how many people will play him. I don’t know if I am brave enough to do it either, but if the ownership ends up being lower than usual, this could be an interesting buying opportunity. The last player I am interested in on this slate is Charles Clay ($2,700 on Draftkings). As much as it pains me to say this, there is probably somebody on the Bills that will end up providing enough value to roster these other studs. I think Clay could be that guy. He has had 5 targets in each of the previous two games which is encouraging. Rostering any Bills players takes a lot of courage, but Clay might just be worth it.
That does it for this edition of the Primetime Playsheet. Hopefully, you can close out your week 8 with some primetime cash.