The week four DFS primetime slate offers us two divisional matchups. The Ravens will visit the Pittsburgh on Sunday night, while the Chiefs go to Denver to wrap things up Monday. Let’s get into the games.
Baltimore Ravens @ Pittsburgh Steelers (-3)
The Steelers were able to hold snag a road win down in Tampa this past Monday. Now they will head home to take on a Ravens team that sits atop the division in a two-way tie for first with the Bengals. Can Joe Flacco and the Ravens continue their solid start?
Last week we touched on Big Ben’s home/road splits as a knock against playing him. Throughout his career, Roethlisberger ($6,100) has been significantly better at Heinz Field. He proved everyone wrong this time as he threw all over a terrible Tampa Bay secondary while on the road. Now he will face a Baltimore secondary that is still without cornerback Jimmy Smith. Look for Big Ben to stay hot.
In the backfield, James Conner (7,500 on Draftkings) continues to dominate the touches for the Steelers. Although he hasn’t come close to reaching his week one 38.2 point outburst, he has been the clear-cut number one back for the Steelers. Conner has also been a beast in the receiving game as he has caught 5 passes every single week.
The Steelers look like they have found yet another star at the receiver position in JuJu Smith-Schuster ($7,400 on Draftkings). Smith-Schuster has been on an absolute tear to start the season as he is averaging 25.9 Draftkings points over the Steelers first three games. Rolling with JuJu in this spot is a wise move as he checks all of the boxes. As for his teammate, Antonio Brown ($8,800 on Draftkings) has had a quiet start to the season by his standards. For this slate, I am hoping the ownership gravitates more toward Tyreek Hill and JuJu Smith-Schuster, making Brown a nice tournament play.
So far Joe Flacco ($5,400 on Draftkings) has had a solid start to the season and seems to have spelled the Lamar Jackson hype. This could be another spot for the Ravens passing attack to keep things going. Flacco’s upgraded supporting cast seems to have created a renaissance for the quarterback’s fantasy relevance.
In the running game, both Alex Collins ($5,100 on Draftkings) and Buck Allen ($4,700 on Draftkings) have been splitting work in the backfield. If you are strictly looking at box scores, Allen looks like the better play. His three touchdowns so far this season have inflated his overall output, so I would not be quick to write off Collins. He carried the ball 18 times last week and also added three receptions. Don’t forget his performance in week 14 of last season against the Steelers where he rushed 18 times for 120 yards and a touchdown.
The Ravens receiving core is vastly improved in comparison to previous years. John Brown ($5,900 on Draftkings) and Michael Crabtree ($5,200 on Draftkings) have been Flacco’s go-to guys to start the season. The Steelers pass defense has also been reeling to begin the year. They showed some signs of improvement early on against Tampa Bay, but were decimated in the second half by Ryan Fitzpatrick. A stack of Flacco/Brown/Crabtree seems like it could fly under the radar on this primetime slate.
Kansas City Chiefs (-4.5) @ Denver Broncos
Pat Mahomes and the scorching hot Chiefs will travel to Mile High for a key divisional game. The Chiefs offense is about as high powered as they come, but their defense has a number of weak spots. Will they be able to start the season 4-0?
Pat Mahomes is the most expensive quarterback on the slate at $7,000 on Draftkings. He has lit the league on fire to start 2018 and will look to keep things going in week four. It is worth noting that the Broncos have yet to allow anybody to pass for over 300 yards this year. With that said, I think we can all agree Mahomes is on another level right now.
The Chiefs have really put the running game on the back-burner to start the year. For that reason, I will probably be avoiding Kareem Hunt’s $6,700 price tag. The most concerning part about Kareem Hunt’s role right now is his lack of involvement in the passing game. He has had exactly one target per game over the Chiefs first three contests.
The Chiefs receiving core is much more enticing. Tyreek Hill leads the way at $8,200 and checks in as the second highest priced receiver on this slate. Hill is a highlight reel and we are all well aware of it. After Hill’s 45.3 point outburst in week one, Travis Kelce has been the main guy the last two weeks. He has been targeted 20 times over the past two weeks, catching 15 balls and over a hundred yards in both contests. At $6,900, Kelce offers a much safer floor than the previously mentioned Hill.
The Broncos have gotten off to a solid 2-1 start with new quarterback Case Keenum at the helm. He is the third priced quarterback on this slate at $5,600 which seems a little too cheap. He hasn’t been great the past two games, but the Chiefs defense could be the cure-all when it comes to fantasy points this year.
The Broncos backfield trio has provided some fantasy-relevant games this season. It is a hard puzzle when deciding who is playable between Phillip Lindsay ($4,900), Royce Freeman ($4,200) and Devontae Booker ($3,700). Each of the three Broncos backs provides nice savings, but this could be a slate where paying up at RB could be wise.
In the Broncos receiving core, the targets have been concentrated for quite a few years now between Emmanuel Sanders ($7,200) and Demaryius Thomas ($5,400). Thomas has not been nearly as productive as Sanders to start the season, but he has still been getting a lot of looks. From a tournament standpoint, Thomas will carry significantly lower ownership but has just as good a chance to put up numbers against this weak Chiefs secondary.
Well, that does it for the week three edition of the Primetime Playsheet. Here’s to hoping you see some green screens after Monday night comes to a close.