You’re going to see a couple of Buccaneers on this week’s list, and honestly, I like receivers on both sides of this matchup. If it’s true that good defensives win games, then this one will probably end in a tie. Atlanta is giving up 43.4 and Tampa Bay is giving up 48.9 fantasy points per game (FP/G) to wide receivers (Pro Football Focus). Luckily, we’re getting a more consistent feel for how defenses are going to perform after six weeks of play. Below are my picks based on this week’s matchups.
Tyreek Hill (KC) vs. Jason McCourty (NE)
Draft Kings $7800/Fan Duel $7800 – Projected @ 18.5 pts.
The Cheetah makes the list again this week. Although McCourty is the highest graded corner on the Patriots (he’s giving up the least yards per catch), he faces the fastest ball carrier in the league. Hill ran the 40-yard dash in 4.24 sec at this Pro Day – .06 seconds faster than McCourty (who is still ridiculously fast). New England gives up 39.7 FP/G to wide receivers and Hill outpaces McCourty’s fantasy points per route (FP/R) .53 to .20 (PFF). This game is shaping up to be a shootout, and this Chiefs receiver is a solid play this week.
Mike Evans (TB) vs. Desmond Trufant (ATL)
Draft Kings $8100/Fan Duel $8000 – Projected @ 17.6 pts.
If you could mold a receiver with a deadly combination of size and talent, he should look like Mike Evans. Evans is a big dude, and at 6-foot 5-inches, he is taller than any cornerback in the NFL (there are a few corners that max out at 6’3”). Evans is five inches taller than Desmond Trufant, and more importantly, is earning .38 more FP/R (PFF). This game should be raining points, and Evans should perform this week. According to Scott Reynolds with PewterReport.com, “He’s caught more passes for more yards and more touchdowns against Atlanta than any other team (WFLA).”
Corey Davis (TEN) vs. Marlon Humphrey (BLT)
Draft Kings $5800/Fan Duel $6300– Projected @ 15.3 pts.
The Baltimore defense is pretty stingy with fantasy points against QBs and RBs this season, but wide receivers have fared alright. Corey Davis is the clear favorite WR with 44 of the 92 total targets this season (PFF). Even though he can be inconsistent and was held to just 49 yards against Buffalo in week 5 (PFF), he has the best matchup of Titan receivers this week. Davis earns .44 FP/R versus Marlon Humphrey’s .25 FP/R, has an extra three inches and has a higher PFF grade. The Ravens are giving up 36.1 FP/G to WRs this season and there should be plenty of air time given the wall the defense puts up against RBs. Davis is a good volume play, and even with his unpredictability, he could be a sneaky option this week.
DeSean Jackson (TB) vs. Robert Alford (ATL)
Draft Kings $5900/Fan Duel $6500 – Projected @ 11.6 pts.
If you are looking for a stealthier play than Evans, look no further than DeSean Jackson. He is playing the same ineffective defense as Evans, but PFF is projecting him at a lower ownership (8.26% to 21.83%). Are you as blown away by Jackson’s performance so far this season as I am? Jackson is the top WR in the NFL right now (PPF receiving grade of 90.7) and is averaging 24.9 YPR right now. He matches up against Robert Alford who is only graded at a 63 and is putting up .32 FP/R (PFF). With a juicy matchup against the Falcon’s this week, I’m riding the DeSean Jackson train this week!
Penny Pinching Matchups
Jordy Nelson (OAK) vs. Tre Flowers (SEA)
Draft Kings $4900/Fan Duel $5600 – Projected @ 12.5 pts.
As a former WR1, Jordy Nelson is pretty unremarkable this season (except week 3 when he put up 173 yards against Miami). He has a touchdown in the last three games and I expect the trend to continue against Seattle. He’s four inches taller than Tre Flowers and has a PFF receiving grade of 67.7 versus Flowers’ 43.3 coverage grade. Nelson is earning a respectable 15.9 yards per reception and is getting 31% target share among the Raiders receiving corps (PFF). Vegas expects this to be a close game, so I’m betting on Carr airing it out against the Seahawks in London.
KeKe Coutee (HST) vs. Taron Johnson (BUF)
Draft Kings $4600/Fan Duel $5700 – Projected @ 12.0 pts.
Although KeKe Coutee is the WR3, he has already put up 160 yards in just two outings (which also means there isn’t a sizeable body of work to evaluate Coutee on). This week he faces off against Buffalo’s Taron Johnson. Both players have a similar grade, Coutee is earning .43 FP/R versus Johnson’s .24 FP/R. Since the Bills are giving up 40.4 FP/G to wide receivers, and with Watson at the helm, Coutee is a great value this week. Read more about Coutee on TFA’s Week 6 Risers list.
Be sure to check the injury report before the start of the game – Watson is questionable for Sunday’s game.