Draftkings Price: $6800
I’ll be interested to know how many people play Cam on Sunday in a big game on the road in Oakland. Both teams are implied to score over 22 points. What makes rostering Newton so much fun is you get exposure to both the passing game and running game. He has 13 rushing attempts for four scores in the red zone. The Raiders pass defense has been better over the past couple of weeks, but still is ranked 28th in yards per pass attempt. Cam hasn’t thrown for over 300 yards or multiple scores since week 6. That’s very alarming, but if the Raiders put up points on Carolina early we could see Cam Newton throwing the ball 40 times. In a must win game, I believe Cam will look to put the team on his back and get them a W on the road.
Draftkings Price: $5300
If you take away nothing else from this article this week, I want you to consider Palmer as a great tournament play with him being priced just $100 above Jay Cutler and $200 more than Ryan Fitzpatrick, Brock Osweiler, and Trevor Siemian. Look, I get it. Palmer has looked BAD. Not good. But he gets a great match-up this week against a 22nd ranked Falcons pass defense that just gives up points. David Johnson is pretty much the stone cold lock for lineups I assure you, but a great way to get ahead of those teams with Johnson is to pair him with Palmer which few will do. The game over/under is at 50 points. If Palmer throws a touchdown to David Johnson and someone else that will be enough to make you happy. If this turns out not to be a DJ game, well you’ll have all the leverage in the world. Before week 11 versus the Vikings, Palmer had three straight games with 300+ passing yards. Remember, DK awards you 3 bonus points for your QB reaching the 300-yard passing plateau.
Draftkings Price: $7000
Take this free square and build the rest of your lineup. The Houston defense is not good. Don’t take what you watched last Monday Night versus the Oakland Raiders as gospel. They’re allowing the 7th most DK points (20) to running backs per game. They’re also giving up over 230 yards passing to opposing running backs. This is Falcons bad. All we’ve seen since Danny Woodhead went down is Gordon, Gordon, Gordon. He’s had 26 touches per game since the Woodhead injury. If that’s not enough for you, Melvin Gordon leads the league in carries from 10 yards in. He has 51 rushes inside the red zone for 9 touchdowns. The next closest on the team is Woodhead with three. There’s no competition there to take chances away from Gordon. Plug him in and work out the rest of your lineup.
Draftkings Price: $3600
Most people will be trying to get Tyler Boyd into their lineups this week. At his price, I don’t think it’s a “bad” call perse but we really don’t know what Boyd is capable of as a No. 1 receiver in this offense. Let’s not forget, this guy is still a rookie. Jeremy Hill is facing the No. 1 defense in DVOA – the Baltimore Ravens. He’s only seen 11 targets in the passing game all season. So why write him up? At this price, Hill almost feels like a free square. At 15 yards and a touchdown, he would already double his price tag in points. I can see the Bengals getting into the red zone and taking a run-heavy approach with AJ Green and Giovani Bernard out of the lineup. Hill has 5 touchdowns in the red zone on the season and I think he’ll be adding one or two more onto that total in week 12.
Draftkings Price: $5600
I really wish I would have had more exposure to Jennings last week versus the Bears at just $3600. Draftkings has not made the same mistake again. Even with a $2000 boost in price, Jennings is worth it considering he’s playing the Browns. He’s gotten 15 and 21 carries respectively in his last two games. In his last three of four games he’s topped double-digit DK points. His floor versus the Browns should be 10 DK points. The Browns are allowing the second-most fantasy points to opposing running backs and have allowed over 100 yards rushing in each of their last five games. Game script should favor Jennings in this one, too, as the Giants should be playing with the lead a majority of the game.
Draftkings Price: $5400
I wasn’t going to put any Saints back in this piece due to the Rams being stout against the run. But Ingram is still questionable for Sunday as he’s in concussion protocol and might not be cleared. That would give Hightower lead-back duties in a game where the Saints have an implied team-total of 26.25 points. At $5400 I can’t ignore it. Hightower put up decent numbers against Seattle and on the road against Carolina. If the Saints get in the red zone or are up big in this game, Hightower will get plenty of touches to return value. He’s scored over 14 DK points in three out his last four games. I expect him to see 20 touches and a line of 20-80-1 with 5 targets is not at all out of the realm of possibility for him which could put him well over 3x his price tag.
Draftkings Price: $5200
Willie Snead is forgotten receiver in the Saints offense and this guy can go off in any given week. He is just two weeks removed from his 21-point outburst on DK – his most since week 1 when he scored 35.2. Both of these games came at home and he now has a home match-up versus a weak Rams secondary. He doesn’t need much volume to exceed value which is great for a receiver at his price. It’s hard to predict which receiver is going to “eat” for the Saints because Brees spreads the ball around so much. I expect many people want to play Brandin Cooks because of his home splits and Michael Thomas because he’s #goodatfootball. Just don’t overlook Snead today and maybe try to fit him into some of your Saints stacks to give yourself the edge.
Draftkings Price: $5500
Shepard has 72 targets this year. Color me shocked. That’s only 20 behind OBJ. This Browns defense is bad, but they will have most of their focus on OBJ. Shepard makes for the perfect pivot. He’s had double-digit DK points in three straight games. He just is coming off a match-up versus the Bears where he saw a team-high 11 targets. He is developing quite the rapport with Manning and should see about seven to eight targets in this match-up. We’ve seen Shepard post great fantasy days on only a few catches and he’s only hit 100 yards receiving once this year yet he’s still averaging 13 DK points. Shepard’s had a touchdown in three straight games and I think Sunday will mark four. If you want exposure to the Giants offense or need a reliable mid-tier receiver, this is your guy.
Draftkings Price: $3100
I’m targeting Saints as much as I can this week. The perfect leverage play for your team is Coby Fleener. Fleener is not a sexy name when it comes to fantasy, but with Brees, at Quarterback every pass catcher is in play. Did you know…Fleener is actually leading the entire Saints offense in red zone targets with 11…yeah. He only has 2 touchdowns off of those two targets, but that’s definitely something I like to target with my players. He’s averaging 13.3 DK points at home as opposed to his 6.6 average in road games. Tight End is fairly loaded this weekend, but Fleener’s price gives you an opportunity to pay up at the running back and wide receiver positions.
Draftkings Price: $3600
Josh McCown is back under center. That means good things for GB. We saw last year that Barnidge could be a TE 1 with McCown at the helm. No one has Barnidge on their radar because he has been so bad with every other Browns quarterback. Barnidge caught his first TD of the season last week from, guess who? You got it – Josh McCown. In games with McCown, Barnidge has seen 5 targets in every game. The Giants are giving up at least 7 receptions or 60 yards to Tight Ends in their past four games. The Browns will have to throw a ton Sunday playing from behind which only further helps Barnidge’s upside.
My Draftkings Lineup for the $27 Milli-Maker
QB: Carson Palmer
RBs: Melvin Gordon & Jay Ajayi
WRs: Julio Jones, Devante Parker & Brandin Cooks
TE: Gary Barnidge
Flex: Coby Fleener
Total Salary: $49, 700