Through three weeks of football, I think we can say the season has been anything but predictable. The stars and scrubs approach to cash games has not been a lucrative one up to this point. With the sub $4k fillers posting gross stat lines, and the top tier options making us wonder if we really know how to play DFS, 2017 is showing us that fair and balanced gets you over the cash line. Draft Kings has really sharpened up their pricing this year, making cash lineups as difficult to construct as ever. I’ll be anchoring my lineups with a salary saving mobile quarterback, to make room for the more volatile skill positions. Rookie running backs rule in week four, and I’m paying up for some veteran wideouts. Please enjoy Week 4 Cash Game Core.
Week 4 Cash Game Core
Tyrod Taylor – $5300
Tyrod is checking all the boxes for me at cash game quarterback this week. Cheap? Check. Underdog? Check. Rushing floor? Check. For whatever reason, Tyrod is always criminally underpriced, even in great matchups. After posting a solid 17 point game against Denver last week, I’m optimistic he can get it done as an eight-point road dog in Atlanta this weekend. Through three games, the Falcons rank bottom 10 in passing yards allowed, and have only managed one interception. While he should have success through the air, the floor Tyrod provides with his legs in invaluable when going cheap at the position. Buffalo’s wideouts may not be elite, but LeSean McCoy is, and the pass catching back is kryptonite in Atlanta. Expect Tyrod to look to Shady early and often, and rack up YAC. At $5300, we are looking for a 16-17 point game, and a 200 yard, 2 TD game is certainly looking likely.
Dalvin Cook – $6500
Vikings are home favorites in week 4, hosting a Lions team that just surrendered 151 yards to the Atlanta backfield in week three. Cook has quietly racked up the second most rushing yards this season, with 288, and also ranks 2nd in attempts. He’s played on almost 70% of Minnesota’s offensive snaps and is priced incorrectly for the bell cow he is becoming. The Vikings are comfortable giving hook a hefty workload, as last week was his second 20 touch game this season. Volume is king in fantasy football, and Cook is a must play at his price.
Leonard Fournette – $6700
Another rookie flying under the radar, Fournette has scored three rushing in three consecutive games. This week, he will see a Jet’s defense has been atrocious against the run. They did rank dead last in rushing yards allowed, until last week’s win over Miami, during which Jay Ajayi sat out most of the game with a knee flare up. Still, they are giving up an average of 133 rushing yards per game, even with last week’s 30-yard outlier. Coach Doug Marrone has made it very clear that Jacksonville’s MO will be run first. Fournette, with no real depth behind him, should see the full workload in a positive game script.
Larry Fitzgerald – $6700
After we all but etched Fitz’s tombstone, he set us straight in week three with 13 receptions for 149 yards and a touchdown. Getting the Monday Night Football price exemption, Fitzgerald’s $6700 price tag is a steal for the great matchup he gets in the slot this week with San Francisco’s K’Waun Williams. Williams is PFF’s 96th rated CB out of 112 qualifiers, and is allowing a 62% completion rate in 2017. As predicted, without David Johnson, the Cardinals are focusing on the short passing game, and Fitz is the beneficiary. Through three games, he ranks third in targets and first overall in red zone targets. He has a great matchup this week and we should take advantage before the price adjustment.
AJ Green – $8600
He is who we thought he was. In his fantasy resurrection last week, Green posted an incredible 10 catch, 111 yard game with a touchdown. He had more catches in week 3 than he had targets in week one or two. The beneficiary of the OC change in Cincinnati, this offense should be funneled through Green for as long as they want to compete. The matchup against the Browns is a great one, as they rank 31st in DVOA against WR 1’s and have allowed 5 receiving touchdowns through three weeks. While this game doesn’t have a monster total, the Bengals are only three-point favorites, and with Eifert out, Dalton should be looking for AJ in the end zone. Green is in for another big week.
In week three, I am going back to Charles Clay. While he disappointed in a great spot last time, I’m optimistic he can turn it around in a game that boasts the highest total of the main slate. Clay is leading the Bills in targets, with an almost 25% market share, ranking fourth at his position. For the Bills to have any kind of success, they are going to need to get something going through the air. The favored target, Clay should be just fine at his $3700 price tag.
$3600 Jacksonville Jaguars – The Jets still don’t know whether they are coming or going, and the Jags have four interceptions through three games. Safest option, but you are paying that “Vs. the Jets Tax.”
$3500 Cincinnati Bengals – Probably my highest owned DST this weekend, Vontaze Burfict returns, and Kizer has thrown a league-high 8 interceptions. Cincinnati took Rodgers to the turf 6 times in week three, and no reason to think they can’t get after the rookie.