Week 6 Draftkings Cash Game Core
Case Keenum – $5000
With Sam Bradford aggravating his knee injury in week 5, Keenum will likely be starting for Minnesota this weekend. If we’re being honest, the most attractive thing about Keenum is his price. The second most attractive thing is the beautiful matchup he gets with a very underwhelming Green Bay Packer secondary. While he may not be an elite option, Keenum has quietly made his way to PFF’s 6th highest graded QB so far this year, with a 64% completion rate and no picks under his belt. With the current state of the Vikings running game very much up in the air, expect Keenum to lean heavily on Diggs and Thielen, who both have exceptional WR/ CB matchups in this game. Green Bay currently ranks 17th in fantasy points allowed to quarterbacks, and game script should favor the pass heavily. At this price, I am looking for efficiency and floor, and the plus matchup with a suspect secondary is really a bonus.
Josh McCown – $5200
The New York Jets are home dogs this week, with the reigning champion New England Patriots coming to town. Though New England has one of the most prolific offenses in the NFL, Matt Patricia’s defense has been a utopia for opposing quarterbacks this year. Ranking dead last in pass DVOA, the Patriots have allowed at least two passing touchdowns in 4 of 5 games so far. Due to the quality of weapons, I do prefer Keenum at $200 more, but the Patriots have allowed every single opposing quarterback to hit 3X Draft Kings value this year. I don’t see any reason why that won’t be the case for McCown in week 6.
Mark Ingram – $4400
And then there were two… In my opinion, the departure of Adrian Peterson doesn’t do much for the workload of Ingram, as Peterson wasn’t seeing significant volume in the first place. However, it does make you think maybe Sean Payton hates Mark Ingram marginally less this year? While New Orleans is still very much in the honeymoon stage with their shiny new rookie, Alvin Kamara, it’s Ingram that is leading the backfield in both offensive snaps and rushing attempts. While I’m not in love with the matchup (Detroit ranks 5th in rushing DVOA), I am in love with the price tag, as it’s the cheapest Ingram has been all season. Ingram has seen at least 4 targets in every game and is averaging 4 YPC, in 2017. Though yet to find the end zone, you have to figure he’s due for some positive regression. What better place for that than a game that boasts the highest total of the week? For $4400 you’re getting a talented running back, on a dynamic offense, with a projected team total of 27.25 points. Ingram is a great piece to let you pay up elsewhere.
Leonard Fournette – $8000
Fournette had the quintessential breakout game last week, where he racked up 181 yards on the ground and two touchdowns against the Steelers. Enter week 6, and a matchup with the Los Angeles Rams, who rank 28th in schedule-adjusted DVOA against the run. The Rams rank bottom 6 in rushing yards allowed, and are giving up an average of 151 rush yards per game on the road in 2017. Fournette is leading the league in rushing attempts and owns an almost 15% market share of Jacksonville’s targets. While he hasn’t amassed a huge chunk of yardage through the air, I would say that’s mostly due to the game script, and Jacksonville playing ball control up to this point. The Rams rank second in points scored per game, and the Jaguars will have to be less conservative to keep up. Los Angeles is giving up almost 30 DK points per game to opposing running backs, and Fournette should have no issue hitting value as the best weapon on his team.
Adam Thielen – $6000
Hello, its week 6 and we are still targeting wide receivers against the Packers. Thielen is leading his team with a 23% market share of targets, and in a week where the Vikings might be without Stefon Diggs, I would expect Keenum to look to him early and often. This game boasts a healthy 46.5 point total, with Minnesota projected to account for 22 of those. With no real semblance of a run game, the Vikings are going to have to move it through the air to keep pace with Green Bay. In his last meeting with the Packers, Thielen torched them for 202 yards and two touchdowns. The Packers haven’t gotten any better, and Thielen has only become more relevant.
Jarvis Landry – $6600
Another wideout who stands to benefit from WR1 absence this week is Jarvis Landry. While Devante Parker’s status is still unknown for week 6, Landry still owns the best matchup on his team, regardless. In a date with Atlanta’s Brian Poole, who is allowing a 75% completion rate in the slot, Landry should flourish. Already seeing a team-high 33% target share, I’m not concerned with his 5.7 ADOT. In full PPR scoring on Draft Kings, the slot receiver holds one of the highest floors, due to volume. I’m not holding my breath for an amazing ceiling here, but at $6600, I will certainly take Cutler’s favorite look in a game where they should be steadily trying to rack up yardage.
Austin Seferian-Jenkins – $4300
I’m going back to the well with ASJ. Coming off his suspension, he is still getting acclimated to the team and should see a roll increase as the weeks pass. He posted a decent 6 for 29 and a touch down last week against the Browns, and this week will see a Patriot’s defense that ranks 24th in DVOA against the tight end. The Jets rushing attack is literally in shambles, and ASJ is far above the most talented receiving option on his team. He’s currently 3rd on the team in target share, and the Jets will absolutely need him when going to toe to with New England.