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Dynasty Cheat Sheet – Second Edition

Finding the right information (maybe a cheat sheet?) to help you build the perfect fantasy football dynasty can be very similar to drinking from a fire hose.  Yes, the off-season is a lot of fun.  Everyone has their go-to few sites that pump out quality dynasty content all throughout the off-season.  But then it happens. The redraft noise starts to hit in June.  In July everything starts to be about single-year #basic leagues.  By August it seems that all of the top sites are calling their “sleepers” who are really just guys you have known about since January.

Sound familiar?

Yeah.

As dynasty owners, the number of questions we’re faced with on a weekly basis is insane.  Every snap, injury, reception, touch, and transaction can have implications extending for years to come.  Finding as much helpful information in one place (like a cheat sheet) at the right time can be a real life saver.

And that’s what I always wanted.  I just wanted simple advice that I could apply every week based on the mayhem that just wrapped up from the previous NFL week.  That’s where this article comes in.  This “Dynasty Cheat Sheet” is designed to cover as many players as possible with some practical “do this now” advice to help you build a sustainable dynasty.

So without further ado, let’s dive into the second edition of the Dynasty Cheat Sheet.

Player Values

DeAndre Hopkins – Don’t let Deshaun Watson’s short-term yardage ceiling scare you off.  Watson is targeting Nuk more than 50% of the time.  Go package something for Nuk before he’s back to being a top seven or eight dynasty asset here soon.

Joe Mixon – It’s time to buy.  There’s a reason so many were excited for his talent coming into draft season.  Yes, the Bengals are sputtering, but they won’t be forever.  Mixon is already taking the touch lead in that muddy backfield.  Get him before his first big game.

LeSean McCoy – It’s hilarious how fickle dynasty owners can be.  There was already worry that the Bills offense would be too far gone heading into this year.  Take advantage of a panicking owner looking to move an “aging” asset and enjoy the championship run.

Devin Funchess – Devin is led the wide receivers in snaps for Carolina this week.  A few weeks ago he was almost free.  That price hasn’t changed for what could be a decent deep flex or bye week filler option.

James White – He has one of the safest roles in PPR for running backs.  Now that Gillislee seems to have taken the lead in New England, look to buy from an owner that was already probably looking to sell.  White should easily produce RB3 numbers all year long in PPR.

Brandon Coleman – SELL!  Or grab him off of the waiver wire and sell.  He had the same number of targets as Ted Ginn this week, but that’s not going to be a trend.  We’ve been here before.  Fool me once, Brandon, that’s on you.  Fool me twice, that’s on me.

Matt Forte – Before the season I bought all of the Matt Forte.  Why?  He’s a future hall of famer competing with a slew of back up running backs for touches.  The Jets remembered that this week.  Trading for veteran RBs is free money.  Bilal, who?  Rookie team mate Elijah McGuire out-touched the guy who was supposed to take the starting job from Forte this year.  For some reason people are surprised by this.

Jermaine Kearse – Any time a wide receiver leaves the Seahawks it seems like it’s time to buy.  Kearse was always an adequate wide receiver.  He’s now clearly the WR1 on a team with no other options.  Kearse will still cost you next to nothing to bolster your flex depth.

Michael Crabtree – This “old” wide receiver is the perfect example of why you DO NOT sell off your productive “aging” assets.  Some will scream sell high.  NOPE.  Ride his production in a healthy offense.  Enjoy!

Demaryius Thomas – Speaking of “old and dead” wide receivers, keep buying all of the Demaryius Thomas.  He’s a lock for eight or more targets per week.  His floor is a WR2 for the season, and that won’t change any time soon.  Demaryius is on pace for his sixth season in a row with at least 1083 receiving yards.

Jarvis Landry – Man, we’re on a roll here with “dead and dying” fantasy assets.  For the third off-season in a row Fantasy Football analysts everywhere were pushing DeVante Parker over Jarvis Landry.  Parker had more yards this week, but in PPR land Landry’s demise was highly exaggerated.  18 targets in the first game of the year looks pretty nice.

Chris Carson – Carson may seem hard to acquire on the surface.  However, the owner likely spent nothing to acquire him and may be looking to sell for a pick or a “safer” option.  Give a depth flex option and some change.  He’s a bigger, faster, stronger version of Rawls without the health concerns coming off a game with 21 touches.

Carlos Hyde – I’m old enough to remember when Carlos Hyde was a “cut candidate” for the 49ers.  The off-season is so much fun.  I hope you bought over the summer because he’s pretty expensive now.  If you own him DO NOT sell unless you get a WR2 or better.  Hyde has one of the best and safest roles in the NFL right now.

Isaiah Crowell – Did you really think the Browns lead running back was going to be a trustworthy RB2 on a consistent basis?  Crowell had a few good weeks last year thanks to a few isolated big plays that skewed his yards after contact numbers.  He’ll be an adequate flex most weeks because of usage.  And that’s okay.  But hey, just make sure you sell him the first week that he breaks free for a 50-yard touchdown.

Stefon Diggs – So did Stefon Diggs just die or something?  No.  But he did have a horrible quarterback trying to get him the ball last week. Before you start throwing low ball offers out there for Stefon, let his price sink even more with Case Keenum.  His owner will want to call it quits in a week or two.

Melvin Gordon – Melvin Gordon has a fantastic opportunity to score points every week for the Chargers.  But let’s be real for second.  He has been absolutely horrific from an efficiency standpoint for his entire career.  If you aren’t competing, moving Melvin in some package for David Johnson or Le’Veon Bell may be the best idea this cheat sheet could ever have.  Go upgrade to one of the elite options with buy low windows if you can.  Don’t trade down to a bundle of “meh” options.

Jason Witten – This is the last sell high window you probably have with Jason Witten.  Depending on the format he is your TE1 right now.  He was an easy buy all off-season, and surprisingly enough can still be had for a fair price in most places.  Yes, Witten is  the odd player that’s both a sell and buy option.  Can you win the ship?  If not, sell.  But if so, buy.  A solid mix of age and production makes for fair value either way.

Evan Engram – I repeat.  Buy Evan Engram.  His price just went up scoring a touchdown in primetime.  Yes.  But that’s still lower than his price will be after he continues to average four catches for 47 yards for the rest of the season.  His 16-game pace right now as a rookie is 64 catches for 744 yards and eight touchdowns.  Engram will finish as a TE1.

Eric Ebron – Ebron had a super efficient night against the Giants catching all five of his passes and a touchdown.  Odds are against him continuing that level of efficiency unless he massively improved in just one week all of the sudden.  He’s a young TE worth shopping.  The trade value has always exceeded any consistent production and that should continue.

Delanie Walker – I’ll stop banging this drum when every reader promises me that they’re going to go out and buy Delanie right now.  His age depresses his price.  There is zero sign of Delanie slowing down, and he continues to dominate linebackers and defensive backs every week.  He’s on pace for 100+ targets again.  Go throw a second at the Delanie owner right this second.

Trevor Siemian – If you play in superflex or have even been streaming Siemian it’s time to sell for a more trustworthy long-term option.  Yes, he’s looked good through two weeks.  And yes, he has two great receiving options to trust.  However, he’s tossing touchdowns at an unsustainable rate.  10% of his attempts are resulting in touchdowns.  Last year, the league leader (Matt Ryan) finished with 7.1% of his touchdowns resulting in touchdowns.  Sell now.

Andrew Luck – Every week Andrew Luck’s price continues to drop.  Keep bothering his owner every week.  However, you probably don’t need a cheat sheet to tell you to do that.

Simple Strategies

No cheat sheet is complete without some practical things that can help you accomplish your dynasty goals today.

So after two weeks the true nature of dynasty teams start to take shape.  However, regardless of whether you’re 2-0, 1-1, or 0-2, it’s time to ask yourself a very important question.  What is my team, exactly?  And if the answer to that question is anything besides “a contender” then you need to ask yourself why that might be.  What are you missing?  Is it just a matter of one or two more players?  Compile a couple flexes for a better WR2 or RB2.  If you’re 2-0, it’s already going to be hard for you to miss the playoffs unless your team truly is garbage.

Trade for injured players right now and throughout the coming weeks.  Unless they’re both injured AND old their value will come around again.

And yes, again, trade for picks.

“But I’m competing, Travis.”

Trade for picks while they are the cheapest.  That opens up a bench spot for you to fill it with better depth via waivers or trade without you making any “zero value” move like dropping someone.

And that’s all folks.  Week two of the Dynasty Cheat Sheet is in the books.  I hope you enjoyed it.  Feel free to ask questions or suggest players and topics on Twitter @FF_TravisM.  This cheat sheet is for you.  Let’s build your dynasty all season long!

 

He’s married to his beautiful wife, Kelsey. Purdue University Class of 2011. Boiler Up! Lives in Nashville, TN. Titans fan (sympathetic gifts accepted). Works on music row by day. Writes about fantasy football by night. He plays club ultimate frisbee because it’s awesome. He longboards to work because he can. Find him on Twitter @FF_TravisM.

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