Guys and gals. We’ve made it. We’re less than a week away from the first week of the NFL regular season. We should all be tidying up our rosters and taking an honest look at our teams. I’ve talked about this before, but having reliable depth often goes overlooked. Everybody wants a “sexy” roster full of studs and tantalizing talent. Somebody that you should be searching your leagues for is Kenny Stills. He’s exactly what I look for in a depth piece: cheap, defined role, and clear opportunity. Let’s dive into why Kenny Stills is a dynasty value!
If you’re targeting Stills (and you should be), your team is most likely a contender or you’re simply a truther. What could 2018 have in store for the 26-year-old Oklahoma alum? Miami is going into the season without Jarvis Landry and Julius Thomas, who combined for 223 targets and just over 30% of the team’s air yards. Last year, Stills had 105 targets and led the Dolphins in air yards, accounting for 32.38%. That number was also good for 15th overall, ahead of players like Mike Evans, Tyreek Hill, and Stefon Diggs. Yes, the Dolphins added rookie tight end Mike Gesicki and free agents Albert Wilson and Danny Amendola, but there’s more than enough to go around.
In 2017, Stills had his best season from a fantasy perspective, putting up a 58/847/6 line, good for 27th in half PPR scoring. When you consider he did this while catching balls from a less-than-desirable combination of Jay Cutler, Matt Moore, and David Fales, it becomes quite the feat.
Unless I’m big game hunting, the most important thing I’m taking into consideration is the price. If my team is a contender, I want to make moves that will help me this season and not cripple me for the future. Using Dynasty League Football’s ADP data and Trade Finder, let’s look where Kenny Stills is sitting in August. In startups, Stills currently has an ADP of 106 (up four spots from July) and is the 49th receiver. Per FFStatistics, Stills has only finished outside of the top 50 WRs twice – 2013 (his rookie year) and 2015 (his first year in Miami) where he didn’t eclipse 62 targets.
The price for acquiring Stills via trade is a little all over the place, but here are completed trades from this month.
- Player for player
- Chris Carson
- Latavius Murray
- Jeremy Hill
- Draft Picks
- 2019 5th
- 2020 2nd
- 2018 5.08+2019 1st+2019 4th
- Lamar Jackson+Kenny Stills for Devin Funchess (1 QB league)
- Zay Jones+2019 1st
- D’Onta Foreman+2019 3rd
- Marqise Lee+2019 3rd (PRIOR to Lee’s injury)
His value varies more than most players I’ve searched on DLF’s Trade Finder, but most of these are on the lower side of the scale. You should be able to put together a cheap package and steal Stills from your league’s current owner.
Kenny Stills is being valued way too low in dynasty leagues. Looking at the increase in opportunity he’ll be seeing, combined with the Dolphins having a weak defense, it’s easy to see Stills putting up WR2 numbers on a weekly basis. Add in the fact that Warren Sharp has Miami ranked as having the third easiest schedule (according to opponents’ passing defense efficiency), and Kenny Stills is a dynasty value. Let me know who you guys are targeting by dropping a comment or hitting me up on Twitter! Keep us opened in your browsers and check back daily, as the TFA Team will be cranking out content to help you all season long.