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TFA Dynasty Buy-Low Series: Jermaine Kearse

Jermaine Kearse

All fantasy football owners are looking for that next big splash player, especially those in dynasty leagues. With roster sizes typically ranging from 26-32 roster spots, there are usually a couple of seats reserved at the end of your bench for potential superstars. Here in the TFA Dynasty Buy-Low series, I will focus on a new “buy-low” candidate who you should be targeting to buy at their lowest value. This week we focus on a WR for the New York Jets, Jermaine Kearse.

Background

Kearse attended the University of Washington where he immediately began building a rapport with then-teammate and quarterback, Jake Locker. After playing sparingly as a freshman, Kearse broke out in his sophomore campaign when he posted a 50/866/8 line and saw his college breakout age hit 18.6 (96th-percentile). Kearse would go on to finish all four years of college ball and had his best season as a junior, where he had a line of 63/1005/12.

After graduation, Jermaine Kearse went undrafted and ultimately signed on with the Seattle Seahawks, where he would embark on a 5-year campaign with the club. Playing behind the always undervalued Doug Baldwin, Kearse would obtain moderate success as the Seattle WR2 and had his best pro season arrive in 2015, where he went for 49/685/5. Kearse also had his best fantasy productive season in 2015 when he finished with 147.50 fantasy points, good enough for WR48 that season.

Trade to New York

During week 4 of the 2017 NFL preseason, Kearse was dealt to the WR depleted New York Jets, along with a draft pick for Sheldon Richardson.

Potential Range of Outcomes

Kearse immediately inherited the no. 1 WR option on the Jets, leading a team of wide receivers that could be considered the worst receiving core in the NFL. Not all is bad though, as Kearse currently has an 11/123/2 line through 2 games. Those are certainly not Antonio Brown receiving numbers, but through 2 weeks Kearse is currently sitting at WR5 in PPR leagues, not bad for a guy who was going undrafted in virtually every fantasy league.

While it may seem crazy, playing with veteran Josh McCown can also prove to be beneficial to Kearse’s game. In 2013 while in Chicago, McCown (and Smokin’ Jay Cutler) supported TWO top 8 wide receivers! Brandon Marshall and Alshon Jeffrey finished 2013 in 6th and 8th in WR PPR standings, respectively. Kearse is obviously not made in the same mold as Marshall and Jeffrey, but McCown routinely eyes his top target, and unless the Jets somehow make a splash trade (they won’t), Kearse remains as the only viable receiving option. As we all know when it comes to fantasy, volume is king.

Buy Low

Jermaine Kearse could be viewed as the ultimate buy-low candidate. He is only owned in 28.5% of ESPN leagues, and he has risen from just 2.7% ownership from when the season began. His stock is rising fast as the fantasy community is recognizing the value that Kearse can provide. Prior to week 3 may be the last chance you will have to buy Kearse at this cheap price. He gets the Dolphins in week 3, who were just roasted by Keenan Allen for 9 receptions and 100 yards. Though Kearse may just be a one-year rental, the potential boom of his return for this season will heavily out-weigh the investment that it will take to buy him.

 

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