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TFA Dynasty Buy-Low Series: Paul Richardson

Paul Richardson

All fantasy football owners are looking for that next big splash player, especially those in dynasty leagues. With roster sizes typically ranging from 26-32 roster spots, there are usually a couple of seats reserved at the end of your bench for potential superstars. Here in the TFA Dynasty Buy-Low series, I will focus on a new “buy-low” candidate who you should be targeting to buy at their lowest value. This week we focus on a WR for the Seattle Seahawks, Paul Richardson.

Background

Paul Richardson dominated in college while playing at Colorado and vaulted himself into a 2nd round selection by the Seattle Seahawks. Richardson posted a 46.3% College Dominator Score (91st– percentile) and as a breakout age of 18.4 (98TH– percentile).

Richardson spent all of 2014 and 2016 sitting low on the depth chart playing behind receivers Doug Baldwin, Jermaine Kearse, and later, Tyler Lockett.  Richardson only played in one game in 2015 while recovering from a torn ACL injury.

Jermaine Kearse Trade

A seemingly non-noteworthy trade occurred following week 4 of the preseason when Seattle traded long time receiver Jermaine Kearse to the New York Jets. The trade provided a huge boost to Richardson elevating him to starting wide receiver along with pro bowler Doug Baldwin.

Potential Range of Outcomes

At first glance, Richardson would appear to slide right into the role vacated by Kearse. Over the past 3 seasons, Kearse has an average of 75 targets, 43 receptions, 577 yards, and 2.3 touchdowns. The 115.7 averaged points would have ranked Kearse around 69th overall in 2016, a WR 5/6 weekly. Those stats don’t necessarily jump off the page, nor do they warrant a viable roster spot. What Richardson brings to the table though, is advanced physical ability and athleticism. Along with a 4.40 recorded forty, Richardson also ranks in the 75th-plus percentile in both the Burst Score and Catch Radius.

Richardson had a nice week 1 for the 2017 season, leading his team in targets (7), catches (4), and finished 2nd in receiving yards (59) while finishing with 9.9 fantasy points. Seattle also drew up a nice play in the red zone for Richardson which ultimately fell incomplete, but the offensive coach’s belief in Richardson is already coming into focus. Richardson was on the field for 84% of the team’s offensive plays, second only to Baldwin’s 88%.

Buy Low

Paul Richardson is an ultimate buy-low right now as he has an ADP of 174.17, the 75th WR taken, according to dynastyleaguefoootball.com. According to the trade finder at DLF, Richardson has been a throw-in in most trades and is basically free in current dynasty drafts. Not too bad for a player who is a starter and has a 2nd round draft pedigree. It’s not unfathomable to foresee Richardson finishing 2017 as a WR3 overall on a team with no stability in the running game. At just 25 years old, Richardson still has plenty of room to grow and will see plenty of action in his first opportunity to be a starting wide receiver.

 

 

 

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