If you’re like me then one of your favorite parts of fantasy football is trading with the other managers in your league. There’s a rush you get when you manage to pull off a deal, and it feels even better if it works out in your favor. If you’re an experienced trader then you know some of the best bargains can be had by buying or selling players coming off exceptionally low or high points totals at the end of the week. Whether you sell a below average player that happened to go off or you buy a star who had a rough week there’s always great value to be had. However one of the hardest aspects of this is telling whether or not each player is better or worse than their point total. Below I’ve compiled a list of two players at each skill position, one you should buy low, and one you should sell high.
Buy Low: Russell Wilson
It was a frustrating week for Wilson owners, at least partially through no fault of his own. During the season opener against the Miami Dolphins Wilson had his ankle stepped on by Dolphins DT Ndamukong Suh. The injury seemed minor and Wilson managed to stay in the game and complete a game-winning drive that ended with a touchdown pass to Doug Baldwin. However, the effects of the injury were apparent as Wilson had only 16 rushing yards in total, less than half of what the QB usually averages. Overall the QB finished 19th in fantasy scoring. In addition to his less than stellar performance on Sunday, there are rumors that Wilson may sit out the next game against a weak Rams team. All of this together could have the Wilson owner in your league willing to sell at a discount, an opportunity you should jump on considering that the QB was a consensus top five pick at the position.
Sell High: Alex Smith
Alex Smith surprised everyone this past weekend, coming out of nowhere to finish as the third best QB on the week. Smith is owned is just 21% of Yahoo leagues but if you do have him on your team this will more than likely be the best time to sell. Part of what made Smith’s performance so great was the fact that the Chiefs were down most of the game. This inevitably led to some gun slinging from Smith in an attempt to win. While that attempt was successful, the Chiefs are looking to be a playoff team this year and as such should not be down nearly as much the rest of the season. This means less rock slinging, and fewer fantasy points, from Smith. If you have an owner in your league unhappy with their QB situation it might be worth seeing if you can get them to bite.
Buy Low: Ezekiel Elliott
The Cowboy’s rookie RB had a pretty abysmal game despite what his fantasy total might suggest. While Elliott finished with 11.2 points in standard scoring that total masks a terrible YPC game. He had just 50 yards on 20 carries, equivalent to 2.5 YPC total. This is definitely a worrying stat, but the fact is that the Giants D looked better than most were expecting and stacked the box against the rookie all game. The fact of the matter is that Elliott is still running behind the best O-Line in the league and as the passing game improves under Dak Prescott opposing defenses will not be able to put eight men in the box the way they did this past Sunday. However, the Elliott owner in your league is probably sweating about that YPC and now is the time you should be buying.
Sell High: Carlos Hyde
Hyde finished fifth overall for RBs this past Monday night with 21.3 points. However, this had less to do with how well Hyde and the Niners played and more to do with how bad the Rams were. They truly played like the worst team in the league and that may have some owners forgetting that Hyde just isn’t as good as his week one finish. Last season Hyde started out strong with the best fantasy performance in the league week one as well, but you should not expect Hyde to maintain this pace. Last year most Hyde owners ended up wishing they’d traded him after week one, you still have the opportunity to not make the same mistake they did.
Buy Low: Dez Bryant
This one should be the most self-explanatory buy low on the list. In a loss to the Giants Bryant had just 0.8 fantasy points on five targets. If this is worrying you should be comforted by the fact that we’re talking about Dez Bryant. Sure the situation in Dallas isn’t as great as it could be with Romo sidelined for the first 10 or so weeks, but Dak Prescott is no slouch. Prescott was not connecting on passes to Dez but I expect this issue to smooth itself out. Rookie QBs generally love to feed the top option on the team, and the fact that Dez is a top option in the league makes this all the more likely. In addition, the Cowboys know that after a heartbreaking loss they need to be looking to Dez a bit more often. Buy low now because barring injury you’re not going to see another game with this few targets or fantasy points from Bryant.
Sell High: Willie Snead
I think that Snead has great potential this season and he could easily finish within the top 10 a few other weeks. However, the Saints receiving situation always seems to be volatile with Brees looking the way of different receivers seemingly every week. Snead will have more big games but it’s going to be hard to predict when they’ll occur. Just look at Brandin Cooks last season, he had a lot of great weeks but you had to be a psychic to predict when they would happen. Take advantage of this opportunity while Snead is at a peak and sell him for as much as you can.
Buy Low: Delanie Walker
Based on ADP Delanie Walker was the fifth tight end off the board in most leagues. His week one performance did not quite live up to that with just three receptions for 42 yards and no touchdowns. Just like every wide receiver aside from Gronk, Walker is going to have down weeks. In other words, you should not be fooled by Walker’s poor start out of the gate. It’s easy to forget that Walker led all TEs last season in both targets and receptions. Hopefully, for you, the Walker owner in your league forgets about that when you try to buy low.
Sell High: Jack Doyle
As I said above nearly every TE has ups and downs during a season. So when you see Jack Doyle’s number one finish with 15.5 points you should not see it as a trend. TE is far and away the most TD dependent position, and when you take away the two that Doyle pulled in week one that leaves you with just 3.5 standard points. There are a lot of mouths to feed in Indy and Luck won’t be throwing four touchdowns every week, so don’t expect Doyle’s production to stay nearly that high.