It is time for another edition of Buy Low, Sell High! Are you ready for the playoffs? I for one am a bit excited. I made deals for Jordan Howard and Tyreek Hill this week. What are some deals you all have made? Leave a comment or tweet @SparkMan386 and brag about your negotiating prowess. By now, each one of you knows exactly what stars needs to align to allow you to ride into the postseason.
Week 11 Buy Low, Sell High
Bortles is coming off a two-interception game and plays in a run-heavy offense. Factor in all of the injuries to the receiving core and Bortles’ value may never be lower. If you take a look at his schedule down the stretch, it is hard to find a quarterback who has it easier. He finishes up the season with Cleveland, AZ, Indy, Houston, and San Francisco. This week’s opponent Cleveland has allowed at least 2 passing touchdowns in 5 of their last 6 games. If you are a quarterback streamer, you may be able to ride the Bortles bandwagon to the league title.
Eli has a choice matchup with the Chiefs who are giving up 269 yards through the air on average and 398 total yards. Eli leads the NFL in pass attempts and is averaging 23.75 points per game vs. pass defenses ranked 20th or worse. The futility of the New York running game is yet another reason I look for a big day from Eli.
Goff has experienced the opposite of a sophomore slump under new head coach, Sean McVay. He has thrown for 7 touchdowns and 0 interceptions over the past 2 weeks, but I look for a bit of a regression going forward. In a one-quarterback league, I would look to move Goff now. He has back-to-back tough matchups with the stout Vikings defense and the Saints number-one pass defense. He also will face Seattle during the fantasy playoffs. They held him to a measly 10 fantasy points. With the multitude of streaming options available such as the names in my “Buy” section, it would be wise to secure a stud flex player for the Goff’s services.
Along with his bye week, McCown is looking at a brutal 3-game stretch at Denver, at New Orleans who as I said earlier is the top pass defense over the past 6 weeks, and then the Chargers. Each of those teams ranks in the top-10 in both yards and touchdowns allowed via the pass. McCown has put up some good numbers because he spends a lot of time playing from behind, but these matchups offer a very low floor that one does not want in the playoffs.
Alfred Morris did receive the bulk of the carries but was out- snapped 37 to 26. Smith is the better receiver of the two and the team is high on him. He only put up 5 points against Atlanta but he clearly has the highest ceiling between the two. All-Pro left tackle Tyron Smith is expected back this week so do expect the run game to be serviceable again.
Thompson has put up single-digit fantasy points in each of the past two weeks and has seen his touches decline as well. Rob Kelley’s injury opens the door for Thompson. Many players hit the waiver wire in hopes that Samaje Perine could be a diamond in the rough but I would expect Thompson to see more work and few backs are more elusive. As of now, Terrelle Pryor Sr. and Jordan Reed are expected to miss Sunday’s game. That should lead to even more targets for Thompson who is averaging 4 receptions per game already. The Redskins’ offensive line is healing with Trent Williams expected to play, so I look for Thompson to produce down the stretch.
Howard is worth an offer due to his volatility week to week. Some owners walked away from last week wondering what was wrong with Howard. He gained 56 yards in the pouring rain against a poor defense. We do know that the first rule of fantasy is to trust your studs and Howard has a favorable schedule including San Francisco and Cleveland during the playoffs.
Crowell has found the end zone in each of the last 2 games but we all know that the Browns offense is a mess. Duke Johnson is the back to own in Cleveland but you may be able to sell Crowell to an Aaron Jones or Devonta Freeman owner. Take out this last outlier game for Crowell, and he is only averaging 3.3 yards per attempt. Running backs are thin this time of year, if you don’t need one, find someone who does!
The best player on the Giants’ offensive line, right tackle Justin Pugh, is out for an extended time with a back injury. Darkwa has been the best of the New York backfield but will likely see too many negative game scripts going forward. He faces Dallas, Oakland, Philly, and Arizona during playoff time so he figures to stay around his average of 15 carries per game while playing from behind. To make matters worse, the Giants rank 27th in time of possession. All that adds up to a reduced upside for Darkwa.
This guy is wearing me out. I have been needing this man to break out and still think he could. He faces a Bills defense who will likely be on the field for much of the game in light of their QB change. They have given up the most points in the league over the last 3 weeks so look for Allen to bust out, provided Philip Rivers is available.
Corey Davis is the lead man in Tennessee, even though the numbers don’t look great. He has been fed 10 targets in 2 of his 4 games played this year, and one of those was this past Sunday. Look for the Titans to involve Davis early as Joe Haden is likely to miss the game for Pittsburgh.
He appears to be the favorite target of new QB Brett Hundley. He has hauled in 18 passes since Hundley took over 3 1/2 games ago. He also has been on the receiving end of both of Hundley’s touchdown passes. That said, the upside for Adams is low and he is likely to get fewer scoring opportunities due to the injuries to the Packers’ backfield. You may use the stats I gave as selling points but I don’t expect big things from Adams any longer.
This is a risky one but hey, fortune favors the bold! Woods is leading the way in what has become a top-notch passing attack in L.A. Woods has feasted on two cupcake match-ups with the Giants (no Jenkins) and the Texans (no defense). This will likely result in a nosedive vs. Xavier Rhodes and Marshon Lattimore in the next two tilts. We will find out about this Rams offense very soon.
That’s it for Buy Low, Sell High: Week 11! Switch tabs to your team homepage and see what you can do. Follow The Fantasy Authority for all your fantasy needs. Good luck!