Buy Low, Sell High week 4
What a weekend it was in the NFL! I think it is safe to say that no one saw the 41-39 Thursday night game coming, or many of the other anomalies of the day on Sunday. The events of the weekend make Buy Low, Sell High week 4 a little more interesting, to say the least. Those of you who got in on Jordan Howard or DeMarco Murray are sitting pretty this week but are there any more steals to be had? I will give you a hint, I’m going to tell you to sell one of them. Let’s take a look.
I think we all saw a bit of a regression coming for the man who did not have one multi-interception game in 2016. Ryan is averaging 17 points per game, and has had some good matchups. Th Falcons have also had some great running back play from Freeman and Coleman. Matt Ryan gets back to back good home matchups before traveling to New England who now seems to have a very suspect pass defense. Alex Smith and Deshaun Watson put up some gaudy numbers against the reigning champs. Let us remember that Ryan has a ton of weapons and teams will not continue to watch the RB duo run all over them. Oh, and his playoff schedule of New Orleans, Tampa Bay, and New Orleans is oh so nice!
Despite being sacked 5 times by the much-maligned Cowboys pass rush, Palmer managed to put up 29 fantasy points in an otherwise ugly game. The gunslinger has another promising matchup this week with the 49ers who allowed Jared Goff to torch them to the tune of 26 points. Larry Fitzgerald has experienced a re-birth in the absence of David Johnson and Palmer will throw the ball deep and with some accuracy. If he is on waivers, grab him today.
Wilson exploded in the second half after looking awful early on against the Titans on the road. As the Legion of Boom was worn down, Tennessee built a lead and Wilson lead the charge back into the game. Flaws were still evident from poor pass blocking to miscommunications with receivers. This game had all the makings of an outlier performance. If you can get a good return on Wilson, do it but if not you can wait one more week after he tears up the Colts on Sunday. After that, the schedule gets nasty and you would be wise to use this good stretch to get people to buy into the risky signal caller.
The Tampa Bay offense added some nice weapons in the passing game and that figured to pay dividends to Winston owners. The offense struggled this week against a good defense in Minnesota and with a tilt with the Giants forthcoming, don’t expect Jacquizz Rodgers to be able to hold onto the starting job once Martin is eligible week 5. Work a trade for the talented back now and you will at least receive a quality RB2.
With new play-caller Bill Lazor, the Bengals offense looked a little more familiar on Sunday but with one noticeable addition. Mixon is viewed by many to be the most talented of the three-headed monster the Bengals deploy from the backfield. On Sunday he received 21 touches after averaging 11 in the first two games. He did not blow up the stat sheet but he now holds the keys to the majority of shares out of the backfield in an offense still loaded with talent. Snag him before his breakout game that could come as early as next week @ Cleveland.
But wait, didn’t he put up 25 in PPR this week? He sure did. Don’t forget the previous two weeks and the fact that Derrick Henry has amassed 27 carries over the last two games. Murray broke one long run on a well-designed screen play. He will forever share the field with Derrick Henry and now he has allowed you get good value for his services. He has a tough matchup with Houston upcoming so don’t expect his stock to rise any higher.
Ravens Running Backs
This group is kind of a mess right now and it is hard to determine a trend going forward. We know that Danny Woodhead sits on the IR boomerang and will return late this season. Javorius “Buck” Allen paced the group with 13 touches but didn’t receive one until halfway through the 2nd quarter on Sunday. With West getting 6 touches and 9 for Collins, who knows what to expect from this group and from the Ravens for that matter. Allen has the most value currently so moving him for a nice bye week substitution would be highly profitable.
The speedster and Jameis Winston finally got on the same page on Sunday and connected for a long touchdown. Despite the big play pedigree, DJax has been quiet so far this season. One thing we know is that Jackson thrives with a QB who will throw the ball deep and soon, he will have Doug Martin to help keep defenses honest. Martin returns next week and I expect to see more boom than bust from Jackson going forward.
Garcon’s numbers won’t floor anybody, but we talk a lot about “floor” in fantasy football. Sometimes, you just need someone who won’t leave you with a 3 point performance when you have a bye or an injury. Garcon is a target-hog in SF and showed once again the great hands that made him a favorite target of Peyton Manning several years ago. Try and grab him for insurance and you’ll be glad you did.
The former Bill nearly tripled his point total from the previous two weeks with a big game on Thursday. If you were wearing a Rams jersey, you scored a TD. Let’s remember he put up single digits against the Colts secondary week 1 when the Rams offense broke out. Watkins may be part of an emerging offense, but his schedule is unfavorable going forward. You may get one more good week out of him vs. Dallas but after that its a tough stretch with JAX, SEA, AZ, NYG, HOU, and MIN. Yikes. I don’t see more good games coming in that stretch. Get what you can now because his floor is very low going forward.
I will use the same argument here for Baldwin. His schedule following his matchup with Indy is awful. We also need to remember that Seattle’s defense won’t get blasted often like they did @ Tennessee. Baldwin set a season-high with 10 catches for 105 yards on Sunday. The offensive line in Seattle is bad so I expect inconsistency from this offense. Maybe hold onto him for one more week but if you like what you can get now, go ahead and pull the trigger.
We hope you enjoyed the Buy Low, Sell High week 4 edition. Check back next week for week 5!