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Fantasy Forecast: Week 3

Fantasy Forecast

Here we are again with your fantasy forecast for Week 3.  If you are not familiar with this series, I will be providing an extended look at fantasy schedules for the next month.  This report will be similar to an extended weather forecast except much more accurate.  The goal is to put you one step ahead of your league mates, as they are likely focused on this week alone, but you can get a jump start on next week and beyond. Let’s get to it.

Clear Skies (Favorable Schedule)

Jarvis Landry & DeVante Parker
Next 4 Opponents: @NYJ, NO, TEN, @ATL
Owners will be happy that they held onto the Dolphins pass catchers through the Week 1 bye.  Nobody is threatened by the Jets and Falcons defenses while the Saints and Titans each rank in the top 5 in the league in most points allowed to opposing WRs.  Jay Cutler has shown he can get the ball to his playmakers and appears to be locked onto Parker and Landry.  The duo combined for 24 targets last week in Los Angeles.

Jay Ajayi
Next 4 Opponents: @NYJ, NO, TEN, @ATL
This should come as no surprise, bad defenses are generally not good across the board.  However, Ajayi’s schedule is actually more favorable than his pass-catching teammates’.  The Jets, Saints, and Falcons are all in the top 5 in fantasy points surrendered to opposing RBs.  Start Ajayi with confidence.  Also, don’t be afraid to make aggressive trade offers to acquire him, as he has already had his bye.  Many owners may fail to see the value in the extra game.

Kelvin Benjamin
Next 4 Opponents: NO, @NE, @DET, PHI
The Panthers offense is going to be looking for answers following the injury to Greg Olsen.  Kelvin Benjamin’s size and skill set fit what Cam Newton needs in a WR.  A big bodied WR with good hands who can win contested catches and get to less than accurate passes.  With 13 targets over the past two weeks, I expect Benjamin to get increased targets without Olsen in the lineup.  This will give him plenty of opportunities to exploit a soft upcoming schedule.

Evacuation Advisory (Sell High)

C.J. Anderson
Next 4 Opponents: @BUF, OAK, BYE, NYG
Selling a player high is always difficult.  It is too tempting to hold onto a player who is performing well.  Depending on your scoring system, Anderson is a top 10 RB so far this season.  However, Anderson has a lengthy injury history and two of his next three games are against top 5 run defenses.  The 3rd game? Well, that is his bye.  I’d recommend selling high before the production or health declines for Mr. Anderson.

Cold Front (Poor Schedule)

Ben Roethlisberger
Next 4 Opponents: @CHI, @BAL, JAX, @KC
At the risk of repeating myself, you should make other plans if Roethlisberger is your current starting QB.  Last week the Steelers caught a break with the absence of Sam Bradford and subsequently steamrolled the Vikings.  However, Big Ben still failed to surpass 250 yards passing and the schedule outlook is possibly worse than it was last week.  3 of Roethlisberger’s next 4 games are on the road, with the other coming against Jacksonville who has allowed the 4th fewest fantasy points to opposing QBs.

Low Pressure (Buy Low)

Austin Seferian-Jenkins
Next 4 opponents: MIA, JAX, @CLE, NE
When I say buy low, I mean it with ASJ. Available in 97% of Yahoo leagues, the Jets TE is free and is returning from suspension at the perfect time.  Over the next month, the Jets face 4 defenses who all rank in the bottom 5 in the league in defending against TEs.  The Jets will likely have to throw, throw and throw some more, and is already a team that has given Jermaine Kearse fantasy viability.  Imagine what they can do for a physical athlete like Seferian-Jenkins.  Stash him where you can.  Start him where you must.

On the Horizon

Week 5 Byes: Denver, Washington, New Orleans, Atlanta
Week 6 Byes: Seattle, Dallas, Buffalo, Cincinnati

 

California native, proud dad, and graduate from the University of California, San Diego as well as Cal Northern School of Law. A political scientist by day, but by night I’m a fantasy football hot takes machine. I’m also a fan of the football franchise formerly known as the San Diego Super Chargers.

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