Who was Jeremy Maclin in 2015?
He was the WR 15 in PPR leagues, scoring 243.2 PPR points, averaging 16.2 points per game. He caught 87 passes for 1,088 yards, and 8 TDs, while also rushing for 14 yards and losing 1 fumble. He had at least 12 PPR points in 9 of his 15 games or 60% of his games played in 2015. He also outperformed his positional ADP (25th WR) by 10 spots. He averaged 16.8 PPG over the last two years (15 games), with 49% of his games over the last season, scoring 15+ points, with another 26% of his games scoring 10-15 points.
Who is Jeremy Maclin going to be in 2016?
The short answer: Good, very, very good. Maclin’s situation in Kansas City just kept getting better and better for a fantasy wide receiver this offseason. Jamaal Charles’ return to the KC offense gives Maclin a boost and Justin Houston as well as Eric Berry are not participating in training camp for various reasons.
Jamaal Charles’ return from his second torn ACL will only mean good things for Jeremy Maclin’s fantasy potential. With Jamaal Charles in the lineup, Weeks 1-5, Maclin was on pace for 287 PPR points, a 115/1546/3 receiving line, which would have been good for the WR 7 in 2015. Charles does so much for the Chiefs offense that almost no one in the NFL can replace him and provide the Chiefs with the same type of dynamic playmaking abilities. With the ability to take any touch to the house, defenses must respect Charles’ abilities, opening up the passing game for Maclin and others.
Andy Reid typically gets a bad rap as a conservative play caller, but in 17 years as a head coach, Reid has had 8 seasons with a top 10 passing offense in yards, with one more as the 13th offense. In another 8 seasons, he has had a top 10 offense in passing attempts, as well as two more as the 11th and 13th offenses in attempts. Reid’s passing offenses have been more productive in passing TDs with 12 seasons as a top 15 scoring passing offense, with 7 more as top 10, and 4 more seasons as either the 11th or 12th offense. Despite his “conservative” label, Reid has shown the propensity to let his QBs throw the rock.
In 2015, the Chiefs had 436 rushing plays and 473 pass attempts. They ranked 12th in rush attempts and tied for 29th (Rams) in pass attempts. The Chiefs offense ran the 31st most plays in 2015, barely outpacing the Rams. Their defense was a top 5 unit in the league rankings 3rd in scoring defense (17.9 ppg) and 7th in total yards (329.3 ypg). The Chiefs were able to dominate games on defense, especially the last 10 weeks, and pounded the ball with Charcandrick West and Spencer Ware.
Reid could have to bring out some more of those deep passing plays, with the Kansas City Chiefs defense missing two key pieces from their 3rd ranked scoring defense in 2015. Justin Houston remains on the PUP list with a “partially” torn ACL/LCL, which he had surgery on early in February. With 40.5 sacks in his last 3 seasons (38 games) including 22.0 sacks in 2015, Justin Houston is an integral piece of the Chiefs defense and without him, the Chiefs are relying on other players to step up and replace his production. The Chiefs are also missing their leader in the secondary, Eric Berry. Berry was slapped with the franchise tag in March and while looking for a new contract, Berry has held out of all offseason activities and has not reported for the start of the preseason. Without Berry and Houston, the Chiefs defense loses 2 top 5 defensive players at their position, which is hard to replace for any team. Expect this unit to take a step back, likely leaving the Chiefs in a few more shootouts than 2015.
Jeremy Maclin has been very productive in his career and provides a steady floor, but also a huge upside that we’ve only seen in his one year with Chip Kelly. 2016 could be the year he rediscovers his upside or if he doesn’t he still gives you 1,000 yards and 8 TDs. Maclin is a top 15 WR, and despite the ‘conservative’ label that’s been slapped on Alex Smith and Andy Reid, a huge year could be coming from the entire Chiefs offense, including Alex Smith, Jamaal Charles, and Travis Kelce. With an ADP of 45.70, WR 23, Jeremy Maclin is about to wreck some narratives and outperform his ADP in spectacular fashion.