Welcome back for your Studs and Duds Week 10 edition!
We’ve hit the double digits, it’s week 10 of the NFL season! Hopefully you delivered the smack down and picked up a much needed win. Week 10 has some favorable match-ups for you to take advantage of, so if you need to make up some ground, this is the week to do it. Before we dive into that, let’s take a look at how we did last week!
Calls of the Week: Week 9
I had a good feeling about Latavius Murray vs. that Denver Broncos defense and man did I nail it! With 114 yards rushing and 3 scores on the day, Murray either gave you a huge lead, or got you back in the game. Either way, he was huge!
Jameis Winston also had a big day! His match-up on Thursday Night football was a little risky, as the Falcons defense had been playing a bit better as of late. Winston did not care one bit, posting a terrific 261 yards and 3 scores. He’s an extremely solid rest of season option going forward too.
Fails of the Week: Week 9
My lack of faith in Melvin Gordon came back to bite me. I did NOT bench him, but I wasn’t expecting much. I was pleasantly shocked with the result! Gordon went off on the normally strong Titans run defense, ripping them for 260 all-purpose yards and a score. He’s a rest of season RB1 and a big-time keeper candidate.
I went out on a limb and thought Odell Beckham Jr. was going to have a down game. If it wasn’t for those two touchdowns, I would have been right. “If ‘Ifs’ and ‘Buts’ were ‘Candy’ and ‘Nuts’ we’d all have a Merry Christmas.” Translation? My bad.
That’s enough of last week, let’s get into my studs and duds week 10 edition!
Bye Week: Bills, Lions, Colts, Raiders
Carson Palmer vs. San Francisco 49ers
We joked on this week’s podcast that the 49ers should just give up on trying to play defense. Seriously, have we ever seen a worse unit? Palmer went into the bye week posting a 363 yard and 3 touchdown stat line, his best of the season. It shouldn’t be too hard for him to put up back to back big games for the first time since weeks 1 and 2.
Eli Manning vs. Cincinnati Bengals
I did not like the Eli Manning call last week on the TFA Gameday Show. Something about him just makes me cringe when thinking of him as a possible fantasy starter. His 257 yard, 4 touchdown performance was his second 30+ point fantasy performance in his last 3 games, and sure made me look a tad foolish. Well Eli, I’m on board, let’s dial up another 30 point performance against that Bengals 6th worst defense to fantasy QB’s!
Cam Newton vs. Kansas City Chiefs
Cam (and his owners) have had a rough season this year. This match-up should help stop the bleeding, as the red-hot Chiefs have allowed 7 passing touchdowns over their last 3 games. With Cam and the Panthers playing in Carolina, and the Chiefs defense obviously struggling, I think fantasy owners can wipe off the dust and put him back in the lineup.
Ryan Tannehill vs. San Diego Chargers
Despite the Dolphins recent success, winning their last 3, it has not been due to the play of Ryan Tannehill. With a strong running game and a “bend don’t break” defense, the Phins have utilized Tannehill as game manager more than anything. In a super-juicy match-up last week vs. the Jets horrific pass defense, he managed just 150 yards and a score. Tannehill is a safe drop candidate and really not even a great match-up play.
Blake Bortles vs. Houston Texans
Have we ever seen such a big gap between good NFL QB and good fantasy QB as we do with Blake Bortles? He’s made a name for himself as the King of Garbage Time this season. With that said, I don’t like him this week at all. The Texans offense may be a wreck, but their defense has been stout. Only once have they allowed multiple touchdowns to an opposing QB, plus, they’ve yet to allow a 300-yard passer.
Colin Kaepernick vs. Arizona Cardinals
So much could be said about this guy, but I’ll keep it football related. That nearly 400 yard passing performance vs. the Saints was crazy! In his 3 starts he actually hasn’t been a half bad streaming option. He also hasn’t won a game. In a fierce competition with Mr. Bortles above for the King of Garbage Time, Kaepernick has made his fantasy living off of late-game prevent defenses. The red-hot Cardinals defense should put an end to that, they’ve held their last three opponents to zero passing touchdowns.
Running Back Studs
Devontae Booker vs. New Orleans Saints
He experienced his first dud game last week vs. Oakland and the fantasy world is ready to bury him. Not so fast Booker owners! Booker has a prime match-up this week vs. a Saints unit thats allowing the 2nd most points to opposing backs.
Jordan Howard vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Followed up that dud game vs. GB nicely with a huge 153 yard day vs. the stout Vikings defense. Now coming off the bye he gets a Bucs defense that’s allowing 150 all-purpose yards and a touchdown PER GAME to the RB position.
Darren Sproles vs. Atlanta Falcons
Doug Pederson has finally admitted that Sproles is the lead back in Philly. Was that so hard? This is the week we could see Sproles finally blow it up, facing off vs. a Falcons defense that’s allowing the most RECEIVING yards/game to RB’s. Overall, they’ve allowed the 5th most points to the position.
Running Back Duds
Isaiah Crowell vs. Baltimore Ravens
He’s steadily losing touches to Duke Johnson, and for the second time this year, he carried the ball less than 10 times. Averaging just 12 touches/game over his last 4, and facing the Ravens 4th best fantasy run defense, spells another sit week for Crowell.
Jeremy Hill vs. New York Giants
With back to back positive performances heading into the bye, I’m sure Hill owners would have loved to see a better match-up here in week 10. The Giants revamped front 4 has been on fire lately, and really has been pretty solid all year long. They’ve yet to allow a 100 yard rusher and only 1 opposing back has managed 15 fantasy points or more (standard leagues).
Devonta Freeman vs. Philadelphia Eagles
There’s a small chance that Tevin Coleman could return this week, and if he does, that could severely cripple his value coming out of the backfield. Given that’s really what’s boosted his value this past few weeks, that could be a huge blow. Even if Coleman isn’t good to go, I don’t like this match-up. The Eagles defense has struggled lately, but even struggling, hasn’t allowed a rushing touchdown since week 6, and has only allowed 3 rushing touchdowns overall.
Wide Receiver Studs
Corey Coleman vs. Baltimore Ravens
His return to football saw just a 3/41 stat line, but it sure was good to see him back out there. This week’s match-up vs. the Ravens 6th worst fantasy defense against WR’s should open things up for him to have a much better day.
Ty Williams vs. Miami Dolphins
With two 100 yard games and 3 touchdowns already in his young career, Williams has been a huge part of keeping this Chargers passing game afloat. Although Miami’s defense hasn’t allowed a 100 yard receiver since AJ Green in week 4, they’re allowing more than a touchdown/game to opposing pass catchers. The secondary is beatable, and I expect Williams to beat em.
JJ Nelson vs. San Francisco 49ers
In his first start this season, Nelson pulled in 8 of 12 targets, for 79 yards and 2 scores. He clearly is a favorite of Palmers, and gets another great match-up vs. a 49ers defense that’s allowing 2 TD’s a game to the WR.
Wide Receiver Duds
Doug Baldwin vs. New England Patriots
He hasn’t scored a touchdown since week 3, and while the Seahawks looked much better Monday night, I’m not jumping back on that bandwagon vs. the ever dangerous Pats. They’ve allowed just 4 receiving touchdowns since week 2 and have held top targets like AJ Green and Antonio Brown to less than 15 fantasy points (standard).
Brandon Cooks vs. Denver Broncos
We talked about it this week on the TFA Podcast (w/ guest Matt Harmon), Brandin Cooks has been supplanted by Michael Thomas as the Saints WR1. While his targets continue to dwindle, his match-up this week only gets tougher. The Broncos secondary has been dominant once again, having held all but 1 opposing WR to less than 10 fantasy points (standard).
DeAndre Hopkins vs. Jacksonville Jaguars
Brock Osweiler is an awful QB. Considering guys like Brian Hoyer and Ryan Mallet still managed to get D-Hop his work last year, it’s baffling that Osweiler can’t get it together. The targets are there, but the chemistry is not. Despite a plus match-up this week vs. a Jags defense that’s allowing 160 yards and 1.4 touchdowns/game to opposing receivers, I just can’t depend on Hopkins as a must-start anymore.
Tight End Studs
Zach Miller vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
With Jay Cutler returning to the lineup, Miller saw 10 targets, pulling in 7 of them for 88 yards. If that’s not enough to get you excited, the Buccaneers have allowed a touchdown to the TE in 3 of their last 4 games.
Lance Kendricks vs. New York Jets
My colleague Travis May has him as a “Mustache”, or a guy who won’t keep up the production, but I disagree. The TE position has been weak all-season long, so to see a guy averaging nearly 10 targets a game is relieving. He’s readily available in most leagues, and has a great match-up vs. a Jets team that’s 12th worst against the TE.
Jason Witten vs. Pittsburgh Steelers
Don’t look now, but Jason Witten has scored a touchdown in back to back games for the first time this year! With 10 targets last week, it’s possible Dak Prescott is starting to realize what an asset Witten can be. While I’m not crazy excited about the possibility of starting Jason Witten, it could be a good week to do it vs. the Steelers 11th worst defense vs. the position.
Tight End Duds
Gary Barnidge vs. Baltimore Ravens
He’s probably one of the most consistent TE’s in the league, it’s too bad that consistent production has been average at best. He’s yet to score a touchdown, and given the Ravens haven’t given up a TD to the position yet, it may be tough for him to find his first score in this one.
Austin Hooper vs. Philadelphia Eagles
Put up a solid 3/46/1 in his lone start of the season last week, flashing signs of things to come for fantasy owners. Unfortunately all signs are pointing to Tamme coming back this week, and the Eagles top 5 defense vs. the TE is probably not a great start anyways.
Julius Thomas vs. Houston Texans
If only the Jaguars could find a way to utilize their talent. Thomas hasn’t pulled in more than 3 passes or put up more than 30 yards since week 2 of this season. The Texans only allow 36 yards/game to TE’s and have allowed just 1 score. If you still have Thomas, keep him on the shelf.
That’s all for your Studs and Duds Week 10 edition!
Whether you agree or disagree, reach out on Twitter @the1andonlypz and let’s discuss! As always, enjoy another week of great football action, and best of luck to you in your fantasy match-ups!