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Week 12 Fantasy Football Trends

jonathan taylor week 12 fantasy football

Not everybody can watch every game, so I give you some instant fantasy analysis and future trends from every game. This is hard-hitting, quick analysis to help you make Waiver Wire decisions, find trade targets, and digest each week’s action. If you prefer this in video form, be sure to subscribe to The Fantasy Authority YouTube channel for all future content! Without further ado, here is my Fantasy Football Week 12 Trends article.

Cardinals vs. Seahawks Trends

Now that Kenyon Drake is back, the timeshare is real. Drake dominated in carries (84%) and got more targets (5 to 4), but Chase Edmonds actually played more snaps. That said, Edmonds only surpassed Drake in snaps on the last, furious comeback drive. Edmonds is not a clear fantasy starter in this timeshare.

Lions vs. Panthers Trends

While the Lions are ravaged with injuries, T.J. Hockenson is the only Lion you can trust in fantasy, and that’s purely because he’s a tight end. It’s possible that dynamic players like Kenny Golladay and D’Andre Swift were held out this week to play in the Thanksgiving game, but none of them are responsible for Stafford getting sacked 5 times.

Bonus Impression: P.J. Walker’s game was expected to vibe better with D.J. Moore than Robby Anderson, and that played out. The impending return of McCaffery and Bridgewater will likely end the fun of the deeply concentrated offense we saw with Walker at the helm as Moore, Samuel, and Anderson all saw between 9 and 11 targets. (That’s a fantasy analyst’s dream come true.)

Steelers vs. Jaguars

Dionte Johnson’s 16 targets are eye-popping, but his 5.8 average air yards per target (AYA) aren’t. Meanwhile, Chase Claypool’s AYA was 17.1. This, along with the touchdown scoring, is why Claypool is the best Steelers’ pass-catcher to roster in fantasy. Also, just to crap on JuJu for fun, his AYA is 1.9. WOOF.

Patriots vs. Texans

If James White is available in your league, go pick him up. His 9 targets in this game is no fluke now that Burkhead will miss the remainder of the year.

Bonus impression: Cam Newton only running three times was very surprising. Are the Patriots trying to keep him healthy? It didn’t result in a win, so we will see if this continues.

Eagles vs. Browns

Bad weather in Cleveland. Sound familiar? There is really nothing to learn here. I did notice that teams are starting to shift over to Fulgham in the last two weeks, and he doesn’t appear to have the talent to overcome that type of attention. But, his two bad games have occurred in bad weather situations. Don’t drop him yet.

Titans vs. Ravens

It’s interesting to see J.K. Dobbins dominate the Ravens backfield. He handled 63% of the snaps, but more importantly 77% (!!!) of the touches, including being the only back targeted. I did notice Gus Edwards made a big mistake on a botched handoff in the red zone, which could explain why Edwards received only 20% of the snaps, but I have no explanation for Mark Ingram only getting 9% of the snaps. I’d want to see something similar again next week for Dobbins, just to ensure that his playing time wasn’t purely due to punishing Gus Edwards’ bonehead play. In my opinion, Dobbins is by far the most talented running back in Baltimore but hopefully my followers know not to fall for the fallacy of logical coaching.

Falcons vs. Saints

Hayden Hurst is unstartable whenever Ridley plays.

Bonus impression: take Taysom Hill’s solid day with a grain of salt – the Atlanta defense is quite poor. Just watch Hill’s throw to Emmanuel Sanders deep – his deep ball was probably about 15 yards short of the target  – it honestly looked like Sanders was catching a punt.

Bengals vs. Washington Football Team

I’d love to give you some impressions on the Bengals after Burrow’s injury, but Ryan Finley did nothing but get sacked for a quarter and a half. I’ll just mention that Antonio Gibson looked great and looks to be gaining confidence. RB1 ROS.

Jets vs. Chargers Trends

We are getting to the point in the year where we need to start thinking about trends for 2021 too. In that vein, Denzel Mims is a name to remember once the Jets get a new coach and draft Trevor Lawrence. Mims will go really late because the Adam Gase stink will still be associated with all Jets even after Gase is gone.

Dolphins vs. Broncos

Matt Breida’s health did nothing to interrupt Salvon Ahmed’s control over the Miami backfield. Myles Gaskin could be back this week though. It will be interesting to see that shake out.

Cowboys vs. Vikings

The Cowboys seemed to redesign the offense for Andy Dalton (credit Kellen Moore – an underrated Offensive Coordinator). The result was a lot of quick, shorter passes for Andy Dalton. Only Michael Gallup had an AYA over 10 yards/attempt, while Lamb, Schultz, and Cooper all had AYAs in the 5-9 range. Those target depths are not going to lead to huge numbers for any Cowboy, but it at least keeps the offense on the field. Thusly, Lamb and Cooper are back in the good graces of fantasy players.

Packers vs. Colts

Oh boy, ready for another spin on the Indianapolis Colts backfield roulette wheel? This time, it was Jonathan Taylor dominating the touches – 22 total carries plus 4 targets. I actually saw this coming and played Taylor with confidence this week against the league’s worst run defense. Does that mean I start him in week 12 against Tennessee? Yes… but not with confidence.

Chiefs vs. Raiders Trends

Again looking forward to 2021, Darren Waller needs to be drafted like an elite TE in 2021 with the likes of Kelce and Kittle. Nobody has a higher target share at the TE position, and the Oakland offense is trending up with a better supporting cast at wide receiver. That improved Waller’s touchdown upside, which has resulted in five touchdowns so far in 2020. A lesson to remember is that we always need to be aware of the teams whose #1 option is a tight end (SF, KC, Oakland, Baltimore). These are where tight end difference-makers live.

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