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Week 5 Fantasy Football Takeaways To Bring Into Week 6: Andrew Luck’s Back in QB1 Discussion

Andrew Luck put up a back-to-back top-three finish week 5 without T.Y. Hilton, Marquez Valdes-Scantling had a top-12 finish in place of injured Geronimo Allison and David Moore put himself on the fantasy radar with a two-touchdown game. Let’s jump into Week 5 takeaways!

Colts at Patriots

Colts

Andrew Luck is officially back! Unlike his week 4 top three finish, Luck did it this week on the road and without T.Y. Hilton. More importantly, his air yards per attempt was 8.2, up from his dismal average of less than five the first two weeks of the season. Luck’s targets will only improve when Hilton and Jack Doyle return to the lineup, in addition to left tackle Anthony Castonzo. The takeaway is Luck is a top 10 QB1 rest of season.

Since it’s unclear if Hilton will play week 6, if you’re looking for a Colts receiver to add, Ryan Grant paced receivers in snap count percentage (82 percent), while Chester Rogers paced receivers in targets (11). Grant had a six catches on nine targets for 58 yards, while Rogers had a 8-66 stat line. Zach Pascal, who had 10 targets week 4 in limited playing time, had one catch on seven targets while tying Rogers for second in snap count percentage, 77 percent.

The takeaway is to prioritize the Colts’ receiving corps during for waivers as the following: Rogers (22 targets last two weeks) > Grant (16) > Pascal (17). It’s worth noting Pascal nearly brought in a 20-yard touchdown in the end-zone during the first quarter.

 

As for the running game, Nyheim Hines has 16 catches on 20 targets the last two games for 108 yards and two touchdowns (7-45 week 5). While his 19 carries in that span have yielded 55 yards, the takeaway is Hines’ target share has made him a sturdy PPR flex, moving forward.

Patriots

With Julian Edelman back in the fold week 5 playing on 70 percent of snaps and commanding nine targets, the takeaway is that it’s safe to drop Chris Hogan, who had a 3-34 stat line on four targets. In four weeks without Edelman, Hogan commanded just 15 targets. Edelman’s a top 24 receiver rest of season.

Lastly, Josh Gordon’s snap count percentage spiked from 22 to 26 percent, but the takeaway is that’s not enough to flex him yet. The upside is there, though, as we saw on his touchdown catch. Gordon had a 2-50-1 stat line on four targets.

As for the running game, Sony Michel has put himself in the RB2 discussion after demonstrating he’s healthy the last two weeks rushing for 210 yards and two touchdowns on 43 carries (18-98-1 week 5). But, Michel’s in flex consideration in PPR formats, as he has one catch the last two games.

James White was already in the RB2 discussion, but I bet you didn’t know he was RB7 going into week 5. White had a 10-77-1 receiving stat line week 5 on 14 targets.

Titans at Bills

Titans

A sloppy game for the Titans’ offense, as Tawan Taylor fumbled around midfield on the first drive to set up a Josh Allen rushing touchdown, while Marcus Mariota threw a pick shortly after. In a competitive game, Derrick Henry had a 11-56 stat line. The takeaway is it’s time to introduce Henry to waivers in all formats. Dion Lewis wasn’t much better with a 12-34 rushing stat line, but he had a few catches and more playing time. Lewis is in flex consideration.

Corey Davis led all receivers in targets (six) and snap count percentage (91), so the takeaway is that Davis isn’t losing ground, rather he needs consistent good quarterback play. Mariota had a 129-0-1 stat line, a week after throwing for over 300 yards and multiple touchdowns. Because of volume, Davis remains a high-upside flex.

Bills

The takeaway here is it might be time to buy low on LeSean McCoy. The Buffalo back played on 72 percent of snaps, and had a 24-85 stat line, while catching two of three targets for 23 yards. McCoy is playing hurt, but his injury should subside the next few weeks. McCoy will face the Texans, Colts, Patriots and Bears in his next four games.

Another takeaway is to fade this pass attack until further notice. Kelvin Benjamin led the team with five targets, which isn’t enough in itself, but only had one catch.

Giants at Panthers

Giants

The biggest takeaway is Saquon Barkley injured himself in the fourth quarter scoring a touchdown, but all indications are he’s ‘fine’.

However, while Barkley is a top five back thru five weeks, another takeaway is the state of the offensive line for a full season may be too much for Barkley to overcome. I’m not saying trade Barkley for pennies on the dollar, but perhaps a trade for another top ten back and a position of need may suit you. Check this out:

In the passing game, Odell Beckham scored his first receiving and passing touchdown of the season. Beckham had a 8-131-1 receiving stat line, so the takeaway is to see if week 5 is the start of a string of vintage Beckham games. Beckham faces the Eagles week 6 on a short week. I think the answer is yes. I mean, look at this:

Sterling Shephard is a strong flex, too, going into week 6, after a 4-75 stat line week 5 on seven targets. Hopefully, him and Eli, I mean the trash can are on the same page this week.

By default, another takeaway is Eli Manning is an ok streaming option week 6, after putting up 23.2 fantasy points week 5. Don’t watch the game and just check the box score after.

Panthers

The biggest takeaway is it’s time to speculatively add Curtis Samuel. Yes. Samuel only played on 17 percent of snaps. Yes. Samuel caught 2-of-4 targets for 37 yards. But, Samuel scored and in an ESPN + article before the season it was reported that Samuel was going to be a big part of the Carolina offense before he was sidelined.

Another takeaway is the potential return of Greg Olsen week 6. Due to the state of the tight end position, fantasy owners welcome Olsen, even if he’s playing severely hurt. Olsen’s available in just under 40 percent of ESPN leagues.

Dolphins at Bengals

Dolphins

Kenyan Drake has arrived, right? No. Outside of the fact that 4.8 of his fantasy points came on the last possession in garbage time, takeaway that Drake’s 22-yard touchdown carried him to his 24.5-point performance. I just don’t know how many games Drake will have 11 targets. Drake had six carries for 46 yards, too, but Frank Gore had 12 carries for 63 yards. Obviously, Drake’s the better talent. Watch this:

But, temper expectations, moving forward. Drake’s a good sell high this week.

Kenny Stills remains in flex consideration averaging about five targets a game, and Ryan Tannehill missed Stills deep throwing from his end-zone to around midfield. So, the takeaway is you’re hoping Stills can catch a deep one and potentially score.

Bengals

The biggest takeaway is Joe Mixon is back! Reports he’d be on a pitch count week 5 proved false, as Mixon had a 22-93 rushing stat line, in addition to three catches for 22 yards and a touchdown. Kudos if you pried Mixon away while he was hurt or if you stayed afloat in his absence. You have an RB1 rest of season.

Also, takeaway that you shouldn’t panic on Tyler Boyd. Boyd had a 4-44 stat line on seven targets. The Bengals offense stalled the first half of the game, and the team was down 14-0 at halftime. Boyd will bounce back the next two weeks against the Steelers and Chiefs, respectfully.

Ravens at Browns

Ravens

The biggest takeaway is the debut of rookie tight end Hayden Hurst! In his first game, Hurst played on 24 percent of snaps, and had one catch for seven yards on two targets.

Also, takeaway the Alex Collins v. Javorius Allen battle took another turn. Allen paced Collins in snap count percentage 57-31, but Collins had more carries 12-8. In addition, Allen out-touched Collins 14-13. If I had to start a Ravens back, I’d go Allen over Collins based on him seeing more playing time and total touches. Problem is neither is a superior talent, so there’s little to no chance one back runs away with the majority of touches.

Lastly, takeaway Willie Snead jumped John Brown in snap count percentage, pacing him 77-68, but Snead was firmly behind Brown and Michael Crabtree in targets with seven. Brown and Crabtree both had double digit targets. Consider Snead a situation to monitor, especially with bye weeks in effect.

Browns

So much for Nick Chubb getting more involved, as he had three carries for the consecutive week. But, this week he didn’t have two touchdowns. Takeaway, for now, Carlos Hyde is still the bellcow, as he out-touched Chubb and Duke Johnson combined 19-9. With Rashard Higgins out at least two games, takeaway there’s no Cleveland receiver worth rostering, for now, except Jarvis Landry.

However, with Baker Mayfield as the starter, David Njoku has seen 18 targets the last two weeks, and he’s produced 11 catches for 121 yards. Thank you, Mayfield, for making another tight end fantasy-relevant.

Packers at Lions

Packers

A special teams blunder and two strip-sack fumble recoveries put the Lions up 24-0 going into halftime. From a fantasy football perspective, in the absence of Randall Cobb and Geronimo Allison, rookie Marquez Valdes-Scantling paced all receivers in snap count percentage, while catching seven of 10 targets for 68 yards and a touchdown. In fact, Valdes-Scantling had another touchdown called back, as he was ruled down on the one-yard line.

According to Next Gen Stats, Valdes-Scantling’s average receiver separation was 4.59, up from the 2.79 league average. But, Cobb and Allison are expected back week 6, but if one or both suffer a setback takeaway Valdes-Scantling warrants flex consideration.

For the backfield, in a game which they trailed, Aaron Jones was paced by Jamaal Williams and Ty Montgomery in snaps. For now, takeaway this backfield is too messy to confidently start anyone. If you must start one, I’d go Jamaal Williams based on snaps and touches (9). Though Jones played on the least amount of snaps, he had eight touchhes, too.

Lions

LeGarette Blount vultured two rushing touchdowns, while Kerryon Johnson paced Blount in snap count percentage, 47-29, and touches, 14-12. The takeaway is until/if the Lions fully commit to Johnson, especially in the red-zone, Johnson’s a high-upside flex. Johnson had a 12-70 rushing stat line, in addition to two catches for 15 yards.

In the passing attack, takeaway that Kenny Golladay is slowly taking over as the no. 1 receiver. Marvin Jones paced all receivers in snap count percentage, but had just four targets. Golladay and Golden Tate played on 79 and 77 percent, respectfully, and Golladay paced Tate in targets, 9-7. On the season, Tate has 51 targets to Golladay’s 42. Jones is a distant third with 33. Slowly, but surely.

Cowboys at Texans

Cowboys

The receivers remain non-fantasy-relevant, but only in 2018 with the state of the tight end position takeaway that Geoff Swaim, who played on 95 percent of snaps, is worth an add. Through two weeks, he has eight targets, and in week 5 he caught all three of targets for a 3-55 stat line. Yardage upside might not there, and he most likely doesn’t score against the Jaguars week 6, but if you’re simply looking 6-8 points from your tight end Swaim’s your guy.

Texans

So, you thought Keke Coutee’s week 4 was a fluke, especially with Will Fuller back in the lineup week 5, huh? Well, Fuller paced Coutee in snap count percentage, 96-71, but Coutee paced Fuller in targets, 7-3. Takeaway, for now, both are flex plays, but watch closely week 6 which receiver gets more targets. If it’s Coutee, I’ll be back here next week crowning him no. 2 receiver in fantasy.

While Alfred Blue had 19.6 fantasy points in Lamar Miller’s absence (was active, but didn’t play a snap) Miller’s expected back week 6. Still, watch to see if Blue’s week 5 earns him more playing time, moving forward.

Also, monitor the health of Deshaun Watson. He got injured and came back, but is considered day-to-day going into week 6. (Feeling lucky enough to stream the Bills defense? I am.).

Jaguars at Chiefs

Jaguars

As long as Leonard Fournette’s out, takeaway that T.J. Yeldon’s a top 10 back. Yeldon’s scored at least 15 fantasy points in all but one game this season. If only the Jacksonville pass attack was this easy to analyze.

However, Keelan Cole paced all receivers in snap count percentage, but Donte Moncreif, playing seven percent less snaps, led all receivers in targets with 15. Week 5 marks Moncfreif’s second week leading in targets. Dede Westbrook led in targets weeks 3 and 4, while Cole led week 1.

If I had to start one receiver, I’d go Westbrook over Moncreif because of upside. But honestly, all three are in flex consideration. I wouldn’t hold my breath waiting for one to emerge as the guy, though.

Chiefs

Patrick Mahomes, in the words of Mike Clay, is regressing to the mean. After 13 passing touchdowns the first three weeks, Mahomes has the last two weeks. While I don’t expect Mahomes to score 15 fantasy points a game, takeaway that his mean rest of season is more around 30 fantasy points a game, than the 31-plus he gave you the first three weeks, respectfully.

Some of Mahomes drop off is due to Kareem Hunt picking, who now has four touchdowns the last three games. Lastly, Tyreek Hill and Travis Kelce sit firmly atop the pass catchers in targets the last two weeks with 20 apiece. Sammy Watkins is fourth with nine, behind Chris Conley at third with 11. Watkins paced Conley in snaps, though, 86-61. Takeaway it’s drop Watkins, and Conley may be worth a speculative add in a week or two.

Broncos at Jets

Broncos

Interestingly enough, Courtland Sutton paced Demaryius Thomas in snap count percentage, 77-61. In fact, both receivers had six targets and manged to score. Sutton had a 2-18-1 stat line and another touchdown called back, while Thomas had a 5-105-1 stat line. Thomas scored on 42-yard 50/50 ball in garbage time.

Takeaway that Sutton’s worth a speculative add with six targets in three of the last four games, including the last two. Emmanuel Sanders played on 95 percent of the snaps and had a 9-72 stat line.

In the running game, Royce Freeman and Phillip Lindsay both played on just under 40 percent of snaps. Lindsay out-touched Freeman 15-8. However, takeaway that both are flex plays, Lindsay in PPR because of the catching and Freeman in standard because of the potential touchdowns.

Jets

After catching at least four passes the first four weeks of the season, Quincy Enunwa was catch-less week 5 on five targets. Takeaway that it was just one of those games. Enunwa paced all receivers in snap count percentage and tied Robby Anderson for the team-lead in targets, 5. Anderson was able to expose the Broncos’ cornerbacks with his speed for two touchdowns, so this could’ve been match-up based. Still, Enunwa had several drops on his targets.

In the run game, and maybe burying the lead, Isaiah Crowell and Bilal Powell combined to rush for over 300 yards. Powell paced Crowell in touches and snaps, but at least for this week against the Colts, takeaway that both backs are plug-and-play flexes.

Vikings at Eagles

Vikings

The biggest takeaway is thru five weeks I was wrong about the Vikings. Perhaps no one will bust, and the trio of Kirk Cousins, Stefon Diggs and Adam Thielen is just that damn good. Diggs had a 10-91 stat line, while Thielen had a 7-116-1 stat line. When Dalvin Coook returns presumably week 7 (out week 6), this offense might chase records.

Eagles

The biggest takeaway is the season-ending injury to Jay Ajayi. Reportedly, the Eagles reached out to the Bills about LeSean McCoy. For now, takeaway that Wendall Smallwood and Corey Clement need to be added. Clement was active week 5, but didn’t play, while Smallwood had a 3-44-1 receiving stat line, in addition to three carries for 27 yards. On a short week and Clement still hobbled, Smallwood’s the better play. That could change, moving forward.

Falcons at Steelers

Falcons

The biggest takeaway is the return of Devonta Freeman. But, the bakfield appears to be in a 40/40/20 split with Freeman, Tevin Coleman and Ito Smith. This is a situation to monitor, as Freeman had just 10 touches. Coleman had nine, while Smith had four.

Austin Hooper drew 12 targets, and had a 9-77 stat line. Steelers have been terrible against tight ends this season, so takeaway this was because of match-up and not a Hooper breakout game. In other news, C.J. Uzomah’s worth a desperation tight end play this week.

For the receivers, Mohamed Sanu paced all receivers in snap count percentage and was second to Julio Jones in targets 9-7. Sanu’s scored at least 15 fantasy points the last three weeks and is available in 47 percent of ESPN leagues. Falcons should be in a shoot out against the Bucs week 6.

Steelers

The biggest takeaway is to sell high on James Conner. Every back has a good game against the Falcons, and Le’Veon Bell is reportedly returning during the Steelers bye week. I’m not saying Conner won’t have any more productive weeks, but he won’t 30 points, let alone 34.5, rest of season.

Through the air, Ben Roethlisberger and Antonio Brown were able to get on the same page, or wifi connection. Brown had a 6-101-2 stat line on 13 targets. Steelers, too, should be in a shoot out week 6, against the Bengals, so watch for Ben and Brown to keep the momentum going.

Raiders at Chargers

Raiders

Outside of Jared Cook being a top five fantasy tight end, the Raiders aren’t very fantasy-relevant. I mean, Cooper’s a WR2, but he’s alternated 20-plus fantasy weeks with duds the first weeks. Hell, Marshawn Lynch was bypassed on the one-yard line week 5 and watch Derek Carr throw a pick. Takeaway outside of the aforementioned two (minus Carr) Oakland is a fantasy wasteland.

Yeah. Jordy Nelson scored, but it was on an illegal formation that was missed by the refs. That’s not sustainable.

Chargers

Even with Travis Benjamin out, Mike Williams couldn’t get more than four targets. Williams didn’t score for the consecutive week and has produced less than 10 fantasy points in that span. Takeaway that perhaps Williams can turn it around with Benjamin expected out multiple weeks, but he’s got a seat on the bench for me, moving forward.

In the run game, Austin Ekeler continues to produce double digit fantasy weeks, outside of week 3, playing on less than half the Chargers’ snaps. Sell high.

Rams at Seahawks

Rams

The biggest takeaways are the injuries to Cooper Kupp and Bradin Cooks. Both are dealing with concussions. Josh Reynolds played on 55 percent of snaps week 5 after both receivers left, while KhaDarel Hodge played on 41 percent.

Reynolds is the guy to add, and I wouldn’t both with Hodge at all, as the tight ends should become more involved if both receivers are out. Tyler Higbee played on 80 percent of snaps week 5 and had four targets. Monitor Kupp and Cooks’ status, but Reynolds and Higbee (because of the state of the tight end position) must be added. Rams have a juicy match up against the Broncos week 6.

Seahawks

While Russell Wilson won’t fully be back to his old form unless he starts to scramble again, it was good to see some scramble drill improv from him week 5. In the run game, Chris Carson (19-116, 1-11 receiving) and Mike Davis (12-68-1, 2-7 receiving) proved to be dominant duo.

But, second-year receiver David Moore caught my eye. He’s worth a speculative add. I get it. Moore only played on 52 percent of snaps and just four targets. You could argue his 3-38-2 stat line is fool’s gold based on his playing time, but did you see how he scored? The first touchdown was on a Russell Wilson scramble drill in which the rookie got himself open. Check. The second was on a double move on all-pro Marcus Peters. Check. Speculative add. Check.

Cardinals at Niners

Cardinals

The biggest takeaway is it’s time to welcome Larry Fitzgerald to waivers. The ageless wonder is now just aging with 10 catches for 100 yards the last four games. Hate to see it. However, also takeaway that rookie Christian Kirk is a thing now with Josh Rosen at quarterback. In two weeks with Rosen, Kirk has seven catches on nine targets for 113 yards and a touchdown.

Lastly, continue to monitor David Johnson. Perhaps, you can sell high after his 20-plus point performance week 5. Frankly, he’s still not getting the targets and touchdowns aren’t predictable, though he had two last week. Johnson’s rushing stat line was 18-55-2. Ew.

Niners

C.J. Beathard is not a starting quarterback. You have to be good to be lucky, vice versa, but it was unfortunate Beathard was picked off after his throw bounced off Pierre Garcon’s hands. In addition, Beathard fumbled to end another drive and was stip-sacked for a fumble recovery taken to the crib by the Cardinals’ defense. I say all this to say that with Beathard at quarterback the only fantasy-relevant pass catcher is George Kittle.

Kittle has produced at least 13 fantasy points in every game the last three weeks.

Another takeaway is the injury to Matt Breida, that’ll keep him out of action a few weeks. Try your luck with Alfred Morris, but I’m going to pass.

Redskins at Saints

Redskins

The biggest takeaway is that it’s time to welcome the Redskins’ skill position players, outside of Jordan Reed, to waivers. Alex Smith hasn’t hit the 25-point mark (six-point passing touchdown) once all season, not even in a juicy match up against the Saints. Adrian Peterson is banged up and Chris Thompson has regressed to the mean after back-to-back 20-plus point performances.

Even with Josh Docston out, nor could Jamison Crowder or Paul Richardson exploit the match up against the Saints defensive backs. With Josh Docston expected back in the fold week 6 and a tougher match up, do you feel comfortable starting any of these receivers? Fade.

Saints

The biggest takeaway is Alvin Kamara being limited to nine touches with the return of Mark Ingram. I wouldn’t panic or look to trade Kamara, as the Saints were in control of this game early on and didn’t need to exploit match ups with Kamara on linebackers. Consider both backs RB1s, moving forward, after their week 6 bye.

In the passing game, Tre’Quan Smith caught all three of his targets for 111 yards and two touchdowns. The encouraging sign was he was second behind Michael Thomas in snap count percentage, but we want to see his targets increase. The Saints are on a bye this week, but if you have the space add him this week. However, Ted Ginn was out week 5, so take that into consideration.

With week 5’s takeaways in the book, watch out for week 6 rankings.

Joshua Kellem is a Slippery Rock University graduate with a BS in Journalism. In addition, he is the creator of fantasy football website fftalk.org

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