Week 5 HOT TAKES!
The only thing more fun than leading your fantasy football team to a win is winning because you were bold and went against the grain. And now is the time to heat up even more! If you’re 1-3 or 0-4, your fantasy season is in trouble. There’s no denying that, but what can you do about it? Now is the time to take chances. Now is the time for action, quickly before it’s too late! Some of my week 5 hot takes could be your week winning picks!
In this piece, I’ll try to make some bold predictions, hot takes, or whatever you want to call them. Most of them may end up false, but I hope you can at least entertain a world in which they’re possible.
That’s enough ado, let’s recap the hot takes from Week 4!
Prediction: Christian McCaffery has 250 yards from scrimmage
Result: 16 yards rushing, 33 receiving (Fozzy Whitaker had a 28 yard receiving TD)
Grade: Sad Trombone Noise(woaa, wah, woh, waaaa)
Prediction: Marquise Goodwin is a top 10 WR in standard
Result: Left the first quarter with a concussion after one 18 yard reception (Aldrick Robinson got 12 targets in his place, but only caught three of them for 52 yards)
Prediction: Joe Mixon will be a top 5 flex play
Result: 21 touches for 48 yards, RB37 in PPR
Grade: An October Cold Front
Prediction: Marcedes Lewis scores 3 TDs again
Result: 4 targets, 0 catches
Grade: The Dark Side of the Moon
Prediction: Amari Cooper and Michael Crabtree score 0 combined points
Result: Cooper – 8 targets, 2 catches, 9 yards, 3 Raider receivers finished with more points (Crabtree misses the game with an injury, Derek Carr also left the game late in the third quarter)
Grade: Your Oven When Preheated
Now light that fire, here are my Week 5 Hot Takes!!!
5. HUNTER HENRY AND ANTONIO GATES BOTH FINISH IN THE TOP 10
The Giants are sooooooo bad against the tight end position this season, they make the Browns look good. They give up an average of 7.25 receptions and 77.25 yards per game to TEs. But how can two TEs finish that high? The TE position is, in a word, icky. 30 different TEs have had a top 12 week so far. That’s maddening levels of inconsistency. This is what makes matchups so important for the TE position. Here are the TEs against the Giants so far: Jason Witten(TE3), Eric Ebron(TE7), Zach Ertz(TE3), Cameron Brate(TE3), OJ Howard(TE6). All of those players had their highest-scoring week against the Giants except Witten who had his 2nd highest score. The Chargers have utilized both Henry and Gates all season, with both of them playing over 50% of the team snaps. They are both going to run free in the middle of the field.
4. MARLON MACK IS A TOP 20 PPR BACK
After sustaining a shoulder injury in Week 2, the Colts rookie is ready to return to the lineup. He should be on your rosters already, but I’m saying you can start him against the 49ers. Mack earned more playing time than expected after his debut with 17 snaps, 11 touches, 45 yards and a score with Scott Tolzein in at QB. Top that off with the fact that San Francisco has allowed the most targets to running backs in the league with 10+ per game and an average of 61.75 yards receiving as well. Brian Hoyer has led his team to 12 scoring drives over their last two games while the Colts have just 13 scoring drives on the entire season. I think Indianapolis will be behind for a good portion of this game. Because of that, Brissett will be under fire against a defense that sacked Cardinals QB Carson Palmer six times last week. They’ll need dump-off, catch-and-run plays from Mack to help them stay in the game.
3. MITCH TRUBISKY DEBUTS WITH 250 YARDS AND 3 TDs
Let’s face it. Trubisky was the most comfortable looking rookie QB during the preseason, and you can take that for what it’s worth. We’ve seen Deshaun Watson tear it up recently, and even DeShone Kizer had a good couple of halves. Now it’s the Bears’ turn to see what they have in their rookie. His defense should be of some help, as their best games have been at home. A dual-threat backfield is always a plus for a young passer as well. The Vikings are a good defense, but they’ve been surprisingly vulnerable through the air this year. They’ve given up an average of 267.75 passing yards through Week 4. The receiving core is still bereft of anyone that would even make the roster on teams like New England or Pittsburgh, but the coaches seem to think he’s ready, so let’s go!
2. COREY BROWN LEADS THE BILLS IN RECEIVING YARDS
The artist formerly known as “Downtown” Philly Brown was signed by the Bills this week after failing to survive the final cuts at the end of the preseason. With Jordan Matthews set to miss at least a month with thumb surgery, a spot opened up alongside Zay Jones and Andre Holmes. QB Tyrod Taylor’s best weapon in the passing game this season has been TE Charles Clay, but the Bengals have been stingy to the position so far.
The Bengals have allowed an average of 2.5 receptions and 24 yards per game to the position. #1 and #2 receiver threats have also done poorly against the Bengals, but teams have had success with #3+ wideouts who can get deep. The Brown’s Ricardo Louis had five catches for 64 yards in Week 4, and Packer Geronimo Allison had six catches for 122 yards the week prior. The Texans were missing Will Fuller in a Week 2 slugfest in which only two WRs even caught a pass for Houston, and game flow dictated Joe Flacco attempting just one deep pass in a dominant 20-0 game.
Though Corey Brown hasn’t been with the team long, he did have a 58 yard TD catch in the preseason. He also has 30 career receptions over 15 yards and seven career games with at least 50 yards receiving. The cherry on top is that Taylor throws a nice-looking deep ball. So, go long Corey… or Philly… or whatever you want to call yourself!
1. KAREEM HUNT WILL FINISH OUTSIDE THE TOP 30 RBs
What? Why are you looking at me like that? Look, eventually the Chiefs’ boy wonder will have a bad game. I’m just saying that his first one is this week in Houston. No RB escapes the year without some off-games. Last year, only David Johnson, Ezekiel Elliott, and Le’Veon Bell finished inside the top 30 in every game they played, and I don’t think Hunt and his role in the offense are at that level yet. His fantasy points have gone down every week he’s played, and the most important factor is his opponent.
Since their Week 1 disaster, the Texans defense has held running backs under three yards per carry. No RB had more than 5.5 points, and no team had over 12.6 points, during this period. That’s in PPR scoring! Teams haven’t been able to run the ball effectively because the defense is stout for one, but also because of how many points Deshaun Watson and the offense have been putting up. I still think Hunt finishes as an RB1 for the season, and I don’t think you should be trying to sell him for potatoes. I would start most RB2s over him this week though. How’s that for a week 5 hot take?!
Thanks for checking out this week’s hot takes. If you have your own hot takes, agree/disagree with mine, or just want to chat about fantasy football, feel free to hit me up on Twitter @Kaisquared. I’ll be back next week with a recap of these and some more Fantasy Hot Takes. Until then, good luck, and stay spicy! And as always, make sure you check The Fantasy Authority for all your in-season fantasy football advice.