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Player Summary

Robert Woods is the new go-to wide receiver in Buffalo with Sammy Watkins suffering constant foot pain. Now that Watkins on the injured reserve, Woods has a nice opportunity to carve out a role for himself. The severity of Watkins’ injury wasn’t known until week 3, at which point he was officially moved to the injured reserve list by Buffalo. Since then, Woods has had 8 targets in week 3, and 10 targets in week 4. Of those 18 targets, Woods has secured 13 catches, 140 yards and no TDs. He is building a rapport with Tyrod Taylor and appears to be earning his QB’s trust on intermediate routes. He typically works as a possession receiver, establishing a decent floor in PPR leagues.

 

Consensus Ranking and Projected Stats

For week 5, Woods is ranked as the 65th Flex PPR player overall, and the 36th wide receiver. (according to FantasyPros) His projections for the week:

Receiving:            4.4 catches, 49.0 yards, 0.3 TDs

Total Points:       10.7 PPR points

 

Current Week Match-up

This week, the Buffalo Bills travel to LA to play against the Rams. The total Vegas over/under is set at 40.5, a fairly low total. While the overall total for the game is low, there are a few reasons why Woods should do well this week. LA is among the worst in the league in stopping the pass, averaging 275.0 yards allowed per contest. Woods should be able to work underneath against the LA rams soft secondary. The ability to catch short and intermediate passes bodes well for his PPR appeal. Woods may not have the redzone ability or separation, but he also has the ability to score with a slant or screen play.

Woods is becoming the number one wide receiver in Buffalo in the absence of Sammy Watkins, and he should pay dividends in PPR leagues going forward.

 

Comparable Flex Starters

I’ve analyzed some comparable flex starters, along with a brief description of why I like them more or less:

 

WR Tajae Sharpe, Tennessee Titans. Projected PPR points – 10.1 points

Sharpe showed a lot of promise heading into the 2016 season, with reports coming out that the rookie was the assumed WR1 in the Titans WR group. While the Titans are a low volume based aerial attack, the benefits of being the lead receiver are enormous. However, through 4 weeks of the season, Sharpe has done nothing to excite fantasy owners. With an upcoming match-up against the Dolphins, who are struggling as well, Sharpe may not be even able to do well in this match-up. Look for Sharpe to regress sharply this week.

Conclusion: Start Woods over Sharpe

 

TE Eric Ebron, Detroit Lions. Projected PPR points – 9.8 points

Entering his third year in the league, Ebron was predicted by many to make a huge leap this year. The Lions starting tight end has become one of Stafford’s favorite targets this season. However, the trouble with Ebron is that he always seems to be injured. Last week against the Bears, Ebron left in the first quarter with knee and ankle injuries, but he returned late in the second quarter. It’s worth noting that he caught all four of his targets after the injury. However, he faces a tough match-up against the undefeated Philadelphia Eagles this week, and could still be hobbled by injuries.

Conclusion: Start Woods over Ebron

 

Record to Date:

Player Projections: 1 – 3

Start/Sit Recommendations: 5 – 3

Accountant by trade, I enjoy stats and numbers far more than anyone ever should. Despite being born and raised in Winnipeg, Manitoba, Canada, I’ve somehow become a Dallas Cowboys fan (praise Romo). While I love all fantasy sports, fantasy football is my favorite. Twitter @TFA_Andrew

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