The only thing more fun than leading your fantasy football team to a win is winning because you were bold and went against the grain. If you picked up and started Marlon Mack over Kareem Hunt last week, you got 1.7-3.7 extra points for your troubles. Some of my week 6 hot takes could be your winning picks!
In this piece, I’ll try to make some bold predictions, hot takes, or whatever you want to call them. Most of them may end up false, but I hope you can at least entertain a world in which they’re possible.
That’s enough ado, let’s recap the hot takes from Week 5!
Prediction: Marlon Mack is a top 20 PPR back
Result: 10 touches, 93 yards and a TD, RB8 in PPR (RB5 in standard)
Grade: Feelin’ Hot, Hot, Hot
Prediction: Kareem Hunt will finish outside the top 30 running backs
Result: RB12 in standard and RB14 in PPR (Had lowest yards from scrimmage and yards per carry of the season, Was the RB33 in PPR entering the 4th quarter in Sunday night’s game)
Grade: Locked in a Walk-In Refrigerator
Prediction: Hunter Henry and Antonio Gates both finish in the top 10
Result: Henry TE8 in standard, Gates TE28
Prediction: Mitch Trubisky debuts with 250 yards and 3 TDs
Result: 128 passing yards, 22 rushing, 1 TD, 2 turnovers, 1 Two point conversion
Grade: “Ice to See You!” – Batman and Robin
Prediction: Corey Brown leads the Bills in receiving yards
Result: Brown cut by the team on Saturday, but Brandon Tate did have a TD and the most receiving yards among Bills wideouts
Grade: Hell…When Frozen Over
Now light that fire, here are my hot takes for Week 6!!!
5 . GEORGE KITTLE HAS 100 YARDS AND A TD
We will look back on his seven catch, 83-yard outing against the Colts as his breakout game. The 49ers offense not exactly overflowing with talent, but Brian Hoyer is making the best of what he has in guys like Pierre Garcon, Marquise Goodwin, and George Kittle. The Washington Redskins are quietly the third worst team against the TE on the season. They’ve given up over 100 receiving yards to the position in every game but their Raiders matchup in which Derek Carr imploded and Jared Cook still had 43 yards and a TD. Fading rookie TEs has been the best strategy in recent years, but not this season, where 15% of TE1 scoring weeks have come from rookies. This team knows it has no shot at 0-5 and will look to involve their younger players more and more throughout the season.
4. DESEAN JACKSON IS A TOP 3 WR
This isn’t the first game where Jackson outscores Mike Evans, and it won’t be the last either. The biggest factor is one we’ve touched on before. The Cardinals #2 CB Justin Bethel has been picked on for a long time now, and it hasn’t changed. Just last week, Alshon Jeffrey was held to just 31 yards, but Nelson Agholar and Torrey Smith combined for 163 yards and two TDs. No #1 WR has had 50 yards receiving against the Cardinals this season. (Bravo Patrick Peterson) We’ve covered it before on the Hot Takes. You have to start the #2 and sometimes #3 WR against the Cardinals if you want some cheap and easy points. D-Jax is also the best #2 wideout they have faced and will have an impressive day, even better than his 106-yard performance last Thursday.
3. THEO RIDDICK IS A TOP 15 RB IN PPR
Riddick has had 26 targets through Week 5 and is still consistently seeing between 40% and 50% snaps in the Lions offense, to the chagrin if many Ameer Abdullah owners. The Saints have allowed the most receiving yards to RBs per game, and that includes a London game where the Dolphins only had 13 receiving yards from their backs. The Saints have also given up 94.25 yards per game on the ground and 4.4 yards per carry as well. Teams have been able to use their running backs very effectively against the Saints and Riddick is due for a big game in a dome game where the Lions are going to have to keep pace with Drew Brees and that stellar offense on the other side.
2. WILL FULLER HAS LESS THAN 30 YARDS AND WON’T SCORE
Six catches…and Four TDs!!! That is what Will Fuller has done in his first two games coming back from injury. 5.7 fantasy points per touch in standard scoring is outrageously high and unsustainable. He is due for a pretty hefty regression, and it will come this week against the Browns. You hear Browns, and you automatically think bad defense, and they have been destroyed by #1 receivers, but here are the game logs for the #2 WR option against them: 4 catches for 38 yards (Jermaine Kearse), 2 for 17 (Brandon LaFell), 2 for 44 (Donte Moncrief), 1 for 7 (Mike Wallace) and 2 for 14 (Martavis Bryant). Now, none of those WRs are playing very well right now, but against the Browns, teams spend most or all of the game with a lead against Cleveland and don’t have to use all of their weapons. Fuller cannot keep this up, even if Deshaun Watson and DeAndre Hopkins are able to dominate the Browns.
1. PHILLIP RIVERS SCORES 30 POINTS
The LA Chargers signal-caller has not passed the 30 point threshold this season, but he has had his best two games in his last two games. The Oakland Raiders defense is the softest matchup Rivers has had all season, and it looks like Derek Carr might have a chance to play, which would force Rivers into a high scoring QB duel. Even if Carr is not able to suit up, EJ Manuel can put up solid numbers at home. First-round pick Mike Williams could play this week, giving Rivers an even deeper cast of weapons to go with Keenan Allen, Tyrell Williams, Travis Benjamin, Hunter Henry, Antonio Gates, Melvin Gordon and Austin Ekeler. This is a perfect storm of the matchup, weapons, and game script that should result in a top three QB performance this week.
Thanks for checking out this week’s hot takes. If you have your own hot takes, agree/disagree with mine, or just want to chat about fantasy football, feel free to hit me up on Twitter @Kaisquared. I’ll be back next week with a recap of these and some more Fantasy Hot Takes. Until then, good luck, and stay spicy! And as always, make sure you check The Fantasy Authority for all your in-season fantasy football advice.