October is a beautiful time of year. Football season is in full swing, the fall leaves are changing colors. Or at least I imagine they must be in other parts of the US. Long Beach, California remains a steady 85 degrees. I miss rain. With this lovely weather and pleasant football excitement surrounding me, I find myself stuck. I’m sitting here in my Aquaman costume — it’s for a Halloween party — deliberating: will Bennie Fowler be a strong PPR Flex Favorites play this week?
Despite having only two NFL teams on bye this week, I find myself rattled with line up decisions. It’s only Week 7 and both receivers and backs have been ravaged with injuries. Looking for stable ground in my flex options, I look to friendly match ups and volume. I’ll lead off with obvious favorites and then into guys you may have overlooked. The point is to cover the spread, and give you a list that will help you compare your own players. Double check the defense your guys are lined up with and cross check it with their receptions, attempts, and targets. Fantasy is basically all luck in the end, but using the stats we’re given is always the best guide. Also for those wondering, I’m dressed as the new, way cooler, bad-ass Aquaman. Not the one that looked like a figure skater. On to this week’s Flex Favorites!
It appears Adrian Peterson may have some gas left in the tank. If you were patient enough to hold onto him, then you’ll be reaping the fantasy rewards. With a healthy offensive line, Arizona is a great fit for AP to stretch his legs as we saw last week. In his debut, he saw 48 snaps and received 74% of overall snaps played. He had 26 rushing attempts for 134 yards and two touchdowns, one of which came on a 27-yard run. The Rams have allowed 4.8 yards per carry to backs. For more reasons to love Adrian Peterson check out my latest on the veteran here.
Continuing to trend on the up and up, I have to mention Mixon again. Which is ironic because as a Steelers fan I despise the Bengals. You have to set those biases aside if you want to be successful in fantasy. On to the matchup value for Mixon. The Steelers have given up 112.2 yards per game to backs. After the shift in coaching staff, Mixon has seen an average of 18 touches a game in the last two weeks. Neither other Bengals option has seen over 5.5 touches per game during these past 2 weeks. As Mixon’s carries rise going into a game that will be a heavy grind on both sides of the ball, I like the possibility for yards here. I’ll likely be screaming at the TV during this matchup — which is no different than any other Sunday.
The Falcons fly into New England to play against the league’s worst pass defense. As the Super Bowl rematch unfolds, expect this to be a high scoring endeavor on both sides of the ball. One wideout you can look to for PPR Flex goodness is Mohamed Sanu. That is if he gets the green light to start Sunday, coming off his hamstring injury. Sanu has been a leader in targets for the Falcons during the first three weeks, in which he averaged 7.0 per game. Against a weak secondary you can expect healthy fantasy value from Sanu.
Matthews and the Titans travel to Cleveland this week, where receivers may find fantasy gold. The Browns secondary has given up the seventh most touchdowns to wideouts so far this season. Naturally, with Matthews leading the team in targets over the past six weeks, you should be looking to him for value. Depending on league depth you may already be starting him as a WR2. However for those o, the fence in PPR formats, who aren’t battling WR injuries, I think Matthews is a safe bet.
The Cardinals and Rams travel to London for the early game across the pond. Jared Goff is ranked fourth in yards per attempt, and averaging 247 yards a game this season. Already a vast improvement from last season. McVay’s pass happy offense is bringing value to what was a barren wasteland. So there’s a lot to look forward to in this divisional match up. Someone who could have a breakout game here would be Cooper Kupp. Kupp ranks second in receptions, yards and targets. He’s also tied for touchdowns with Sammy Watkins. If you’re rattled with injuries and desperate for some upside, Kupp is your guy.
The Broncos are headed to LA to face the Chargers. This really isn’t much of an away game for Denver though. Having been to a Chargers game myself this season, I can tell you the crowd will be a minimum of 60% Broncos fans. By halftime, they’ll be feeling perfectly at home. The last time the Broncos faced the Chargers, Bennie Fowler had three receptions for 21 yards and two touchdowns. Though the two TDs seems like a stretch to repeat, the odds are in his favor. Emmanuel Sanders is out with an ankle injury, so Fowler will see a boost in targets. He also started in Week 6 and saw the highest volume of snaps amongst wideouts at 71, over Demaryius Thomas’ 57 and Emmanuel Sanders’ 50 snaps played. Fowler will line up in the slot and fit nicely into your PPR flex spot on Sunday.