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Player Summary

Mike Wallace is the presumed WR2 in Baltimore, with Steve Smith assuming the WR1 role. However, Steve Smith has been injured for the past two games with an ankle injury. This injury has pushed Wallace into a de facto WR1 role. Over the past three games, which starts with Smith’s injury, Wallace has received 29 targets. He’s turned those 29 targets into 15 receptions, 204 yards, and 0 TDs. While he is typically used as a deep threat, the absence of Steve Smith has pushed Wallace into a slightly more PPR role, given the high number of targets he is receiving.

 

Consensus Ranking and Projected Stats

For week 7, Wallace is ranked as the 54th Flex PPR player overall, and the 30th wide receiver. His projections for the week:

Receiving:            3.8 catches, 57.4 yards, 0.4 TDs

Total Points:       12.3 PPR points

 

Current Week Match-up

This week, the Ravens travel to New York to square off against the Jets. The total Vegas over/under is set at 42.5, a low total on the week. The New York Jets have been a mess lately, on both the offensive and defensive side. The Jets run defense has still been respectable, having not given up more than 75 yards rushing to any individual player this season. However, their aerial defense leaves a lot to be desired. The Jets have given up the third most passing yards to wideouts this year. In fact, during their recent struggles, they have given up at least 89 yards and a touchdown to four different receivers over their first five games. Look for the Ravens to still try to establish the run, but attempt to attack New York through the air.

With the Jets allowing 303 yards per game, Wallace’s consistent target share should lead to points this week. He should be able to contribute with a few long plays and get some red zone opportunities as well.

 

Comparable Flex Starters

I’ve analyzed some comparable flex starters, along with a brief description of why I like them more or less:

 

TE Zach Miller, Chicago Bears. Projected PPR points – 11.0 points

I chose Miller in this piece a few weeks ago, highlighting how Miller has lost his sleeper appeal. Zach Miller was a popular sleeper pick at TE for many experts coming into the season, giving his strong finish to the 2015 season and his rapport with Jay Cutler. However, while Miller has some rapport with Hoyer, it’s not the same as his Cutler connection. Hoyer is the model of inefficiency, as he’ll routinely attempt 35+ passes a game and target several players. With the emergence of Cameron Meredith, Miller has lost his pecking order in the target progression. Playing behind Alshon Jeffrey, Meredith, and Jordan Howard, Miller won’t see enough consistency in his target share.

Conclusion: Start Wallace over Miller

 

WR Jordan Matthews, Philadelphia Eagles. Projected PPR points – 12.6 points

Matthews is definitely the WR1 in Philadelphia, having accumulated 22 catches for 344 yards and 2 TDS on the year. However, the big is this week is that he is battling both tendinitis in his right knee and the ferocious Minnesota Vikings defense. The Vikings have given up the second-fewest fantasy points to wide receivers this season, and have routinely shut down opposing WR1. Furthermore, top corner Xavier Rhodes will likely line-up across from Matthews this Sunday. Look for Matthews to struggle in what should be a low-scoring affair.

Conclusion: Start Wallace over Matthews

 

Record to Date:

Player Projections: 1 – 4, 1 N/A

Start/Sit Recommendations: 7 – 3, 2 N/A

Accountant by trade, I enjoy stats and numbers far more than anyone ever should. Despite being born and raised in Winnipeg, Manitoba, Canada, I’ve somehow become a Dallas Cowboys fan (praise Romo). While I love all fantasy sports, fantasy football is my favorite. Twitter @TFA_Andrew

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