Since I am a 1-3 entry type player, and not everyone has the luxury of mass multi entering, I want to give you guys some insight into my three favorite stacks this weekend. These are the stacks I have narrowed down into my limited player pool. The goal is to find a tourney winning stack. Let’s get to it…
Watson / Fuller / OBJ
This is my #1 stack on the weekend, and for good reason. Through two weeks, Watson has been the most pressured QB in the NFL and has played both games on the road. Now he gets to face a Giants team that is dead last in QB pressures in the Texans home opener. The Giants have been missing Olivier Vernon to start the year as he is their main pass rusher. Now the Giants will also be without #2 CB Eli Apple. On top of that, Janoris Jenkins allowed 7 catches on 7 targets last week and was torched by Tavon Austin. The fact that he is going to shadow Hopkins is a good sign for this Texans offense.
Fuller is my favorite Texan however as he and Watson have a special connection. Fuller has caught a TD in every game he has played with Watson and I don’t expect that trend to stop this week as he gets Eli Apple’s backup. Apple is already terrible, so just imagine how bad the guy is who is backing up Apple.
On the other side of the ball, OBJ is one of my favorite plays on the entire slate. The Texans funnel opponents passes to the outer thirds of the field. Last year, OBJ saw 88% of his targets to the outer thirds and has seen 71% of his targets there this year. The Texans secondary is not what it used to be, and I expect this game to go way over its Vegas total of 42. On top of all this, the Texans are the most efficient defense at defending passes to the RB. So while the Cowboys funneled all of the Giants targets to the RB last week, the Texans are going to force the Giants to do the exact opposite this week.
Brees / Kamara (or Thomas) / Julio
If you can find value within the rest of your roster, this is the best ‘pay up’ stack. I expect this game to shoot out as neither defense has shown up this year. The Saints keep getting burned on the deep ball over and over again. The Falcons are missing their two most important defensive players. Michael Thomas has seen 30 targets in 2 games and has caught 28 of them. He and Kamara are the two Red Zone targets for Brees, but I don’t think you can fit both guys and Julio comfortably on the same team. Kamara gets a matchup with the Falcons who allow the most receptions to the running back position. McCaffrey just faced this Falcons team last week and had 15 targets and ended up with 30 DK points without scoring a TD.
As mentioned, the Saints are getting burned deep. The Falcons deep threat is Julio Jones as he owns over 70% of the teams Air Yards. It doesn’t take much for me to play Julio as he has one of the highest ceilings of any player in the NFL. This week we see his price has dropped below 8K which is cheap when considering his upside. If I am stacking this game, there is no way I am leaving Julio off of a stack.
Goff / Woods / Allen
This is probably the sneakiest stack that I think has a legit shot at taking down tournaments this weekend. The Rams keep their same personnel on the field for essentially every snap. This leads to predictable volume and upside for the Rams team on a weekly basis. This Chargers team is banged up and badly misses Bosa’s pass rushing ability. They gave up a few sustained drives to Josh Allen last week, and also allowed the Chiefs to dismantle them in Los Angeles. Until the Chargers get healthy, we can keep stacking against them. Woods is the main guy you want here as he leads the team in air yards and has seen nine targets both games so far. He is due for one of his signature explosion games. I think this is the week we get it and he is only 5100.
On the other side, the Rams defense is pretty daunting. However, if there is one weak spot, it is in the middle of the field. Robey-Coleman is their weakest corner and happens to be the slot corner. This is where Keenan Allen lines up a majority of the time. I expect the Chargers to be playing from behind in this one, so Allen could see 15 targets here. He is too talented to get shut down with this volume. I expect him to be relatively low owned, and this is the one afternoon game that has massive shootout potential.