Welcome back for my top DraftKings week 3 GPP plays! Week three is here! Let’s keep this train rolling. My sole focus is to help you identify the best team stacks that push you ahead in tournaments. I’ll select a few POTENTIALLY low-owned GPP plays as well. Primarily on DraftKings. I’ll also be referencing various tools I use from sites such as 4for4.com, ProFootballFocus.com, and Establishtherun.com. These sites have some of the best tools and insight in the industry. My overall goal here is to help you come to your own logical conclusion. To trust yourself and develop your own process. Because at the end of the day, you make the final decisions. You must hold yourselves accountable. It’s the only way we’re going to learn and improve our game. So, let’s plant our flag, not waiver on convictions and start winning some money! Let’s look at some of the top DraftKings Week 3 stacks and GPP plays!
Josh Allen ($5900), Frank Gore ($4400), John Brown ($5500)
The Bills “no-fear” cannon arm QB, Josh Allen, has got off to a nice 2019. Scoring DK points of 19.96 and 22.22 on the road against the Jets and Giants. Now that he’s Snake Plissken’d his way out of New York he heads home to the comfy confines of NEW ERA FIELD for the Bills home opener against a Cincinnati Bengals defense that has yielded stat lines of 14/20-196-2 and 17/25-297-3-1 to Russell Wilson and Jimmy Garoppolo. Oh yea, did you know Allen has wheels too? Through the first two games, he has already rushed for 59yds and 2TDs. FIRE THE CANNONS ON JOSH ALLEN! After giving up a moderately combined stat line of 5-133-1 to Tyler Lockett and DK Metcalf in week 1 the Bengals got beat by a combined line of 8-164-2 to Deebo Samuel and Marquise Goodwin. This sets up well for John Brown who has been peppered with 18 targets through the first two games. I’m calling my shot and saying Brown will go for two long bombs against this Cincy secondary. According to 4fo4’s average adjusted fantasy points allowed (aFPA) the Bengals are bottom five against PPR backs allowing 29.7pts through two games. Game script, pace, and potentially not having Devin Singletary in the mix paves the way for a possible vintage performance from the age-less wonder, Frank Gore. Patrick DiMarco and TJ Yeldon will get snaps to give Gore a breather. But this is shaping up to be Gore’s backfield. This kind of double-stack will give you leverage in large field GPP’s where everyone will likely be paying up for RB. It’s the home opener. It’s going to be loud. The Bills implied team total sits at a tasty 25. THERE.WILL.BE.POINTS.
Phillip Rivers ($5800), Austin Ekeler ($7200), Keenan Allen ($7000)
With a healthy 48pt game implied total the Texans and Chargers shapes up as a possible shootout. The Texans defense has yielded the second-most (aFPA) to WRs (42.3) and third most (20.6) to QBs. That puts a Rivers/Allen stack squarely in play. Houston is better against RBs but are still allowing (22.8), (aFPA). ETR’s current DFS ownership projections currently show Ekler and Allen at around 30% each. Not exactly what we want in a tournament stack. But this is where we can get creative. Rivers is currently showing a sub 5% ownership projection. That tells me people won’t be stacking this team. Allen and Ekeler will be used as one-offs. Get yourself some leverage and double stack them. You could even add in Nuk. People may be off of him since he struggled last week (THANKS DUDE). Then again maybe not as his ownership projection is sitting around 20%. But again, think leverage. If nobody else is on Rivers, then your stack will be the only one moving up the leaderboard.
LET’S GET CRAZY BOUNS STACK!
Daniel Jones ($5000), Saquon Barkley ($9100), Evan Engram ($5200)
You know you want to pull the trigger on the unknown. Load up on Danny Dimes and his top playmakers as most will be too scared to go anywhere near this stack. You aren’t scared though. Are you? Do it. DO IT!
Lamar Jackson ($7000)
I love paying up for guys like Lamar Jackson when I MME a GPP. It allows me to mix things up with my Josh Allen shares. Even though Jackson is priced behind Mahomes he leads all QBs in DK points at 35.2 per game. You could say Jackson is underpriced considering his ceiling. A week after he threw for 324yds and 5TDs he tossed another 272yds, 2TDs AND rushed for 120 yds. The skies the limit for the second year QB who now gets a glorious matchup against the Chiefs who rank last in (aFPA) at 23.0. That was against Derek Carr and Nick Foles/Gardner Minshew. It wouldn’t surprise me if this game is reminiscent of last year’s Chiefs/Rams Monday night explosion. It’s certainly set up for it.
Saquon Barkley ($9100)
I’m feeling like Shang Tsung in 1995’s, forever classic, Mortal Kombat. All the competitors, on some random dragon boat, headed for their impending doom, or in this case my GPP LU build. The stench of washed up QB Eli Manning is gone. Potential now looms for Evan Engram and all world RB Saquon MF’N Barkley. I yell “THE DANNY DIMES ERA HAS BEGUN!”. Might the New York Giants offense, dare I say, show a bit of spark now? Maybe. But, what’s great about a situation like this one is people will be extremely hesitant to use Giants players. This is the PERFECT situation to “be greedy when others are fearful”. Barkley is the highest priced RB on the slate. Ownership projections, according to ETR, show Dalvin Cook, CMC, Austin Ekeler and Zeke will get the most attention. Barkley has a tough matchup. But the great thing he has working in his favor is VOLUME, VOLUME, VOLUME. He’s been in on 83% of the team’s snaps, target rate is at 11.2% (third on the team) and leads the team touch rate at 31.0%. For context, Evan Engram is second at 15.7%. Barkley is going to get fed and Danny Dimes is only going to improve this situation. Fire up Barkley as a contrarian RB play.
Mike Evans ($6600)
Unproductive, underachieving, struggling offense, failed fantasy football prospect. No, no, no I’m talking about Trent Richardson. AND I’m not talking about Mike Evans either. Seriously, guys. Get a grip. We’re two games into the Bruce Arians era and people are already writing off Mike Evans like “OH HERE WE GO AGAIN!”. Guys let me share a few things with you. When it comes to Targets, Evans trails Christ GODwin by only two and their target percentage is separated by 1%. THAT’S IT. He’s getting the volume. It’s not his fault his QB is Jameis friggin Winston. Evans is doing the best he can what he has. It’s the same thing I tell myself when I drive my crappy BUT sturdy 2000 Toyota Corolla. “Hey, let’s get from points A to B. I’m just asking for safety.” That safety should come this week in the form of the New York Football Giants. The G-men sport a bottom 10 (aFPA) against WRs after getting waxed by Amari Cooper (6-106-1) and Michael Gallup (7-158) in week 1. Then getting kidney shots from John Brown (7-72), Isaiah McKenzie (2-40-1) and some dude named Cole Beasly (4-83). This duo is much more talented than what the Bills put on the field last week. Oh, wait! Do you hear that? POP, POP, POP, POP, POP! (Pardon my terrible Pennywise impression) That’s Mike Evans popping as a top 5 candidate in Josh Hermsmeyer Air Yards Buy-Low Model. FIRE.UP. EVANS. SCORE.ALL.THE.POINTS. WIN.ALL.THE.MONIES.
Mark Andrews ($4600)
One game that will be hard to get away from this weekend is the Chiefs/Ravens showdown. The implied game total sits atop the main slate at a mouth-watering 52pts. You are going to want pieces and there are certain spots to find. One that could pay huge dividends is rookie TE, Mark Andrews. Through two games he has been targeted a whopping 17 times (tied with Travis Kelce), fourth-most in the league with only Zach Ertz, Evan Engram and Greg Olsen ahead of him. But, amongst them, he has been targeted at the highest rate of 23.0%. Through two weeks he leads all TEs in DK points scoring, 27.8 and 28.2pts. The guy is straight balling. This week he gets a prime bazooka matchup against a Kansas City defense that has given up the most (aFPA) to TEs (17.0). Pat Thorman of ETR has this game rated as one of the higher paced games on the slate. Not to mention his current projected ownership sits at sub 15%. With attention being focused on guys like Engram, Kelce, Ertz, and Kittle, Mark Andrews is looking like a fantastic pivot in a game that could see him potentially eclipse double digit targets. Don’t overthink this one. Make Mark Andrews your trojan horse in GPPs this week.
Thanks for checking out my top Draftkings Week 2 GPP stacks and players! Be sure to come back all season and let me help you win money! Follow me @PacingPete on Twitter and check out all our DFS and redraft content at TFA!