We’re back baby! Week 5 is here, and that means another week of the DFS Building Blocks. We’re already into the second quarter of the season, and hopefully, we can get things related to COVID-19 under control to finish this thing out! This season has been a ton of fun with all of the points we’re seeing. I bring that up with the five plays below I’m highlighting all playing in games Vegas is expecting to score around 50+ points. This week we get a narrative, two running backs who will be hard to avoid even if they are popular, and two wide receivers that should go bananas in the same game. Let’s get to Week 5 DFS Building Blocks!
Price: $6900 on DraftKings, $7900
*NARRATIVE ALERT* If you have ever listened to the DegeNation Pod or read any of my pieces in the past, you know how I love narrative plays. Birthday games, revenge games, you name it, I’m all over it. This week we get the ultimate narrative with Bill O’Brien being relieved of his duties coming into Week 5, and Deshaun Watson finally being free! He’s been professional, all things considered, over the years handling all the heat the organization has gotten with Mr. B.O.B. at the helm but seeing how Watson is excited moving forward made me even more excited to play him this week:
Let’s get into the actual play here. The Jacksonville defense was one we were looking to target coming into the season with all of the pieces that they have lost over the years. It’s shown threw the first four weeks of the season with mediocre offenses like the Titans, Dolphins, and Bengals (better this year than last) all putting up over 30 points. For the Texans to get 30 here, I believe it will be with Watson leading the charge. He’s priced around guys like Lamar, Mahomes, and Dak who will all garner more ownership than him on Sunday, I believe. We will get to see Watson unleashed on Sunday, and I want to be ahead of the curve which is leading Watson to be the main guy I build around in tournaments this week.
Price: $6800 on DraftKings, $7900 on FanDuel
Welcome to the Week 5 DFS Building Blocks, Mr. Clyde-Edwards-Helaire. Emphasis on the E. CEH will be chalk-y on Sunday, barring any crazy news that comes out. That does not scare me off into forcing him into lineups, both cash, and GPPs alike. This is especially true for lineups where I’m not getting to Mahomes this week. I planned on touching on Mahomes in my Top Low-Owned Plays video on the TFA YouTube channel, but he is looking to be popular this week. For good reason, too, as he’s had plenty of success versus this Raiders defense. However, the way you attack the Raiders is on the ground. The Raiders are allowing 182 yards from scrimmage to opposing backs, and that’s led them to allow nearly 40 points to running backs on DraftKings and just around 35 on FanDuel. It’s a dream matchup for CEH, as Rex Burkhead (34), Alvin Kamara (38), and Christian McCaffrey (28) put up great DraftKings scores due to the PPR-format. CEH has 14 receptions on 19 targets, and I expect Mahomes to be able to find him plenty in this game. I also want to point out that in the RedZone, CEH is due. He has six carries inside the five, but no touchdown since Week 1. He should without a doubt pay off on DraftKings and could end up being a must-have if he sees paydirt on Sunday.
Price: $6400 on DraftKings, $6800 on FanDuel
Mike Davis was close to being my cover boy this week, but I love Amari Cooper this week slightly more. For Mike Davis, it comes down to his usage in the Carolina offense and the matchup with Atlanta. Let’s talk about his usage first.
The Panthers offensive coordinator Joe Brady is scheming up ways to get Davis the ball in any way he can. Davis has practically become McCaffrey-lite in this offense with the third-most running back targets through the first four weeks. Only seven running backs have higher snap shares than Davis since McCaffrey has been out of the picture. It should even be higher with the Panthers giving work to backup Reggie Bonnafon, who now finds himself on IR. Only Kamara, Elliott, and Austin Ekeler have more yards after the catch than Davis, with Davis ranking eighth overall in the league. There’s not much not to like from this play, and when we look at the matchup you can see why Davis is many people’s lock of the week.
The way you attack this Atlanta defense is with pass-catching backs. Aaron Rodgers showed this to us on National television Monday night. No Davante Adams, no Allen Lazard, no problem. Aaron Jones and Jamaal Williams combined for 13-135-1. It’s no wonder that Atlanta allows the most receptions to opposing running backs and Mike Davis has the third-most running back receptions over the past two weeks. Shout out to Rich Hribar of Sharp Football Analysis for this stat: Atlanta is allowing 3.5 RedZone touchdowns on the year. Factor in Mike Davis has 14 (!) red zone opportunities the past two weeks (6 targets, 8 carries) and Davis should be a staple for lineups this week without thinking.
Price: $7400 on DraftKings, $7900 on FanDuel
This play is very simple for me – Amari Cooper is at home. That’s it…that’s the reason. You shouldn’t need more reasons than that. Since coming to Dallas in 2018, Cooper has put up five games where he’s had 120+ yards receiving. In each of those games, he scored once. He’s averaging 23 fantasy points per game in Dallas. Cooper has 18-234-1 is his two home games this year. Don’t let the fact he’s the WR3 on DK and the WR5 on FD (by price) scare you off playing Cooper AT HOME! I just can’t say it enough.
Outside of that, you like that Dallas has been passing a ton this year, ranking fifth in pass play rate. First in plays per game! That could be because, and shout out to co-host of the DegeNation Pod Matty D for this stat – they’ve only led in games for 7 TOTAL snaps this year. Cooper has been the alpha in this offense that has great pieces across the board. Dak still looks to feed Cooper as the overall WR1. Cooper has 21 more targets than the next Cowboys player (Zeke). He leads the league in targets through four weeks played (ARob is no. 1 but played Thursday). He also is second in receptions to DeAndre Hopkins.
The last thing I’ll say here is that James Bradberry has been great this year for the New York Giants. Pro Football Focus expects Bradberry to shadow Cooper. I will say though, competition plays a role there. They have faced Goff (meh), Trubisky (c’mon), and then Big Ben in Week 1. In that game, Ben was able to get Diontae Johnson 6-57 on 10 targets. Dak isn’t going to shy away from getting his No. 1 the ball here. Play Amari this week.
Price: $4500 on Draftkings, $5800 on FanDuel
Another popular play for Sunday, Darius Slayton rounds out the Week 5 DFS Building Blocks. Look, when it comes to good plays, I ignore ownership. I’m hoping that he isn’t popular as a 1-off and people play him mostly in game stacks. There is a reasonable scenario where Slayton ends up being the only piece from the Giants that ends up being a good play. He is the only pass-catcher on the team to score in a game for the Giants this year. Slayton has their lone two receiving touchdowns on the season. He also leads the team in receiving yards and has 37% of their team’s share of Air Yards.
This Dallas defense has proven to be one of the best to attack through the air, allowing points in bunches to opposing wide receivers. Three of Dallas’ games in a row have reached a total of 69 points or higher which is absolutely absurd. While points have been plentiful in this matchup, it’s really been the wideouts on teams eating versus this Dallas defense. Dallas has allowed the third-most fantasy points to wide receivers – second-most to outside wide receivers. Robert Woods had his best game of the year in this matchup. DK Metcalf should have had two scores in Week 3. OBJ just obliterated them on the ground and through the air.
With this game being on the afternoon slate, Slayton could be the reason your lineups cash or the reason you shoot up higher on the leaderboards on Sunday. Don’t miss out on what has been a profitable matchup all season long.
You can follow Ryan Williams on twitter @RyanAlexander_W – he is one-third of the DegeNation Podcast. Subscribe to our TFA YouTube channel where you can catch more of his DFS content and listen to the DegeNation Podcast each week breaking down the DFS main slate!