Week 6 of the NFL season is already upon us. If you didn’t have multiple plays from the monster performances last week, you didn’t stand a chance. Whenever Tyler Boyd’s 10/123/1 line lands him at WR8 for the week, you know some crazy ish went down. Enough looking back, though. Onward and upward to my Week 6 FanDuel picks! (Or something like that.)
Kyler Murray vs ATL, $7700 – If you’ve been reading this article regularly (first of all, thank you!), you know I’ve been on Murray a lot. Glutton for punishment I suppose. This one is simple, however. Although Murray’s passing totals have dipped from the first two weeks, his rushing attempts, yardage, and rushing touchdowns have increased. Over the past three weeks, Murray has at least 69 (nice) rushing yards or a touchdown in two of the three. He now gets the Falcons at home who give up the second-most points per game to quarterbacks. Both teams rank in the top-5 in neutral game pace, setting up for a fantasy-friendly showdown.
If you want to pay up this week, it’s hard to pass on Deshaun Watson ($8400) facing off against Kansas City. This game is set up for a fantasy bonanza. As explosive as their offenses are, both defenses are equally as terrible. Both defenses are in the top-9 for fantasy points allowed per game to the position, and both offenses are in the top-10 for neutral game pace. The other highly-priced quarterbacks are also obviously in play: Lamar Jackson ($8200) and Matt Ryan ($8100). Kirk Cousins ($7000) showed he can still put up some fantasy points when Pappy Zimmer lets the leash loose. I’d be lying if I said I felt fantastic playing Cousins, but the matchup against Philadelphia sets up better through the air than on the ground.
Chris Carson at CLE, $7200 – The Browns were just eviscerated by Matt Breida and the 49ers ground game on Monday night. Although they’ll be returning home to the Dawg Pound, we all know what Seattle wants to do: #EstablishTheRun. After Carson’s shaky start to the season, he’s seen 22+ carries and 100+ yards in his last two games with no fumbles. Rashaad Penny returned to the lineup last week, and Carson dominated touches (82%) and snaps (84%). Even if Penny starts to get more snaps and touches, Carson is a safe cash play going up against a Cleveland rushing defense that PFF has ranked as 31st in the NFL, with only the Chiefs behind them.
Le’Veon Bell vs DAL, $6800 – Whether it’s DFS or season long, we want running backs who are seeing volume. Bell currently accounts for over 87% of the Jets’ running back rush attempts, leads the team in targets, and is seeing a 94% snap share. Priced at $6800, he should be in all of your cash lineups. The Cowboys were just bullied on the ground by Aaron Jones last week, and even if Dallas jumps out to a lead and stays ahead for the entirety of the game, that may bode even better for Bell. The Cowboys are giving up the third-most receptions to running backs and if they can get Bell matched up with Jaylon Smith in coverage, even better. Smith currently carries a PFF coverage grade of 43.1 (read: not good).
Like Le’Veon Bell, Leonard Fournette($7200), is basically the only running back seeing any touches for Jacksonville and is now priced to reflect that. If you want another cheap option, Derrick Henry ($6700) gets to face off against an up-and-down Denver rushing defense, and game script should favor Henry seeing 20+ carries. Damien Williams ($6600), seems to be back in the lead role. After missing two games with a hamstring injury, he saw 56% of the snaps, all of the rush attempts (9), and saw four targets to LeSean McCoy’s two. In this high-paced, high-scoring affair, Williams could crush his price tag.
*Note: Alvin Kamara is in a great spot but is carrying a questionable tag going into Sunday. Pay attention to pregame reports to see if he’s playing and if he’ll be on a snap count.
Larry Fitzgerald vs ATL, $5600 – I love cheap and I love production, and that’s what Larry Legend gives us here. Much has been made of Arizona seemingly only utilizing their slot receivers, and the Falcons allow the second-most points per game to inside receivers. Even if Christian Kirk is back, David Johnson is potentially looking at a reduced role, so Fitz will get his.
DeAndre Hopkins at KC, $8400 – If DHop doesn’t do DHop things this week, you won’t see him in this article ever again. Alright, maybe that’s a bit much, but I’m bitter. This certainly sets up as a great spot for him for all of the reasons why I’d pay up for Deshaun Watson above. The “intent” stats are all there for Hopkins, his production just hasn’t matched recently.
Tyler Boyd ($6400) continues to be a value as he’s seen double-digit targets in all but one game. Speaking of being priced too low, Tyler Lockett ($6300) is in a nice spot going up against a Cleveland team that’s reeling. Even if both Denzel Ward and Greedy Williams return to the lineup, Lockett is lining up in the slot on nearly 65% of his snaps. The top-5 priced receivers are all in play depending on how you treat running back and tight end this week. I’ll be paying up for at least one depending on final construction.
Austin Hooper at ARI, $6400 – Hooper went from the highest-priced tight end last week to the fourth-highest this week. Going up against the free pass that is the Cardinals’ tight end coverage, Hooper has to be your first look.
Noah Fant vs TEN, $4500 – If you’re looking for a spot for some savings, Fant is my punt play. The Titans have given up the fourth-most total fantasy points as well as the fourth-most points per game to the tight end position. Fant has run the tenth-most routes at tight end, with just one fewer than Mark Andrews.