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2020 Dynasty Buy or Sell: Week 5

In dynasty, you usually have three types of owners: The “Win-Now” owners, who trade off all their youth and assets to go for that Championship. The “Wait-and-See” owners, who have a decent mix of veterans and rookies who could flip their team either way as the season progresses. Lastly, you have the “Rebuilders”, who sell off everyone who is 26 years or older and who invest heavily in rookies, draft picks, and (potentially) devy players. This article series is for every one of those categories! The dynasty season never ends, and you can build your team however you see fit. It is like Franchise Mode in video games! As the season goes on, injuries happen, depth charts get flipped, and UDFA’s become the superstars no one knew they could be. Let us see the options for Week 5 in this edition of The Fantasy Authority’s 2020 Dynasty Buy or Sell!

Check our dynasty rankings here

 

BUY!!! 

Tee Higgins, WR, Cincinnati Bengals – @Werpsu26

All offseason I have been telling anyone that will listen that Tee Higgins was my WR1 of this rookie class.  Now I will admit that Cowboys WR CeeDee Lamb looks like he may be taking that spot, but I would be happy with Higgins finishing in the top 2 or 3 amongst this very deep rookie class of WR’s.  The nice thing about Higgins is that he got off to an expectantly slow start which has kept his value relatively low.  But with his production showing a steady increase week over week that value buy window is closing fast.

Higgins was blanked in Week 1 but since then has shown a steady increase in production going for 12 catches, 152 yards, and 2 TD’s the past three weeks. Since we are currently crowning Lamb as WR1 we can compare his numbers to these, and we see Lamb has 21 catches, 309 yards, and 2 TD’s in four weeks. When you average these out you have production of 4 catches for 51 yards and 1 TD for Higgins and 5 catches for 77 yards and 1 TD for Lamb. This gives you a comparable stat line which puts their fantasy production at 13.5 ppg for Higgins and 16.45 ppg for Lamb if we eliminate week 1 for Higgins where he did not see the field.

Consider the cost to acquire Lamb to the cost of acquiring Higgins which I would put somewhere in the range of multiple firsts or more for Lamb to maybe a late first for Higgins. Right now, Higgins is a clear buy for me, and I would even call him a steal at this price point.

Buy Price:  A late 1st round pick

Sell Price:  Do not sell him

 

Justin Jackson, RB, Los Angeles Chargers – @Clubber_Lang83

Justin Jackson is in his 4th year out of Northwestern. He finished in the top four in Big 10 history in rush attempts, rushing yards, plays from scrimmage, and yards from scrimmage. He also has the 11th most yards from scrimmage, since 1956, in the entire NCAA history! He started his career off in San Diego behind Melvin Gordon III and started 2020 backing up Austin Ekeler. He has been dealing with a quad injury for a couple of years, but I firmly believe this is his chance to shine. Everyone is going after Joshua Kelley this week, but I am going after Jackson. He can catch, he is slippery with the ball in his hands, and will be a force inside the 20’s. Kelley is a North-South runner and hasn’t shown anything dynamic thus far. I think Kelley will get the goal line looks but Jackson will be in on third downs and passing situations. Prior to this season, he has only played 20 games and he has less than 90 carries and less than 35 targets. He is not even broken in yet. He is a dynamic running back and will show it!

Buy Price:  3rd round pick
Sell Price:  Wait a few weeks for him to pop and you could probably ask for a late 2nd round pick

 

Tim Patrick, WR, Denver Broncos – @Werpsu26

I owned Tim Patrick everywhere last year. Then the Broncos went out and drafted Jerry Jeudy and KJ Hamler and as much as I loved Patrick’s game I did not see a scenario where there were enough touches to make him relevant going forward, at least while he was on the Broncos. Then 2020 hit, Broncos star WR Courtland Sutton went down with a season-ending injury, and over the last two weeks, Patrick has averaged a stat line over the past two weeks of 5 catches, 78 yards, and 1 TD, totaling 18.8 fantasy ppg.  These numbers coming from a player that I was able to pick up on the waiver wire last week. Who would not want 18.8 points in their starting lineup at a cost of nothing?  If Patrick is available in your league, go get him.  If Patrick is owned in your league offer up a second-round pick to the owner and see where he is at.  I believe there is a legit chance Patrick could be on his way to replacing Sutton and who would not take that production at the cost of a second-round pick.

Buy Price:  Late 2nd round or early 3rd round pick
Sell Price:  I would push for a late 2nd round pick

 

 

SELL!!!

Tyler Lockett, WR, Seattle Seahawks – @Werpsu26

The early season is a great time to sell guys off to a quick start and to try and capitalize on that start.  One player who I have done exactly that with the past couple of years is Tyler Lockett.  Now full disclosure, every time I sell him, including this year, I immediately regret it and then he crashes back down to earth.  I sold Lockett in a deal for Giants RB Saquon Barkley right before Lockett went for 9 catches, 100 yards, and 3 TD’s against Dallas, OUCH!!  But in Week 4 against Miami he went for a very pedestrian 2 catches, 39 yards.

Lockett has a history of fast starts followed by slow finishes. In 2019 he went through Week 9 on an absolute tear with 6 touchdowns through 9 weeks and averaged 19 fantasy ppg depending on your leagues scoring. In Weeks 10 and beyond in 2019 he went for 2 TD’s and averaged 8.34 ppg in the same scoring format. I believe long-term DK Metcalf is going to be the focus of this offense and as DK develops and Lockett faces his late-season fade now may be the time to cash out the Lockett lottery ticket. I would be looking for multiple mid to late first-round picks or a single early first for Lockett at this point or a solid starting RB if your team needs help.

Buy Price- Late 1st round pick
Sell Price- Early to mid-1st round pick

 

Tyler Higbee, TE, Los Angeles Rams – @Clubber_Lang83

Tyler Higbee had a great end to 2019, where he had 43 catches, 522 yards, and 2 TD’s in the last five weeks of the season. This season, in Week 2 at Philly, Higbee had a monster game with 5 catches, 54 yards, and 3 touchdowns.  But unfortunately, if you remove that game from this season, he is averaging a paltry 2.6 catches, 33 yards and 0 TD’s per game. Holy hell. The Rams are just not utilizing him as they did to end last season. He still has a lot of name recognition and the Rams other TE Gerald Everett is not doing anything special to overtake him as the TE1 on that team. It is time to get rid of him before this negative trend continues to spiral downward. Use the remaining value that he has and prop up the run he had at the end of last year to sell him.

Buy Price:  A 3rd round pick
Sell Price:  Any 2nd round pick

 

Tom Brady, QB, Tampa Bay Buccaneers – @Clubber_Lang83

This physically and emotionally hurts me to write because I have been a lifelong Patriots fan and of course a Tom Brady fan. Though over the last couple of seasons I could see his sharpness and decision-making starting to fade and this season it looks a lot more evident. He had a very Brady-Esque stat-line this week going 30 of 46, 369 yards, 5 TDs and one INT. That interception was a pick-six which is his second so far this season and his fourth in his last six games. Many of the catches that the Buccaneers receivers caught were inaccurate and underthrown, yet they caught them anyways. With Godwin out, O.J. Howard is done for the season, and Mike Evans nicked up again, I think now is the time to sell Brady while he is still a low-end QB1. With upcoming games vs Chicago, Green Bay, and Las Vegas, use that to your advantage and sell a buyer that he will be having to air it out. A win-now team would probably love to have him especially with all the injuries going down these days.

Buy Price:  An early 3rd round pick
Sell Price:  Late 2nd round pick

 

Thanks for reading! Drop a comment to let us know your thoughts and don’t forget to check out The Fantasy Authority YouTube channel where we have video content for ALL of your fantasy football needs!

 

CJ was born and raised in New England. He has been active duty Air Force for the past 18 years and is an avid fantasy football fanatic. He has a Bachelor's degree in Organizational Leadership from the University of Louisville and is pursuing a Master's degree in Business Administration from Western Kentucky University. When he is not spending time with his beautiful wife & daughter, he is immersed in dynasty and devy leagues. You can find him on Twitter @Clubber_Lang83 and Facebook/Instagram @CJ Lang.

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