In this article, I’m going to take a look at some of the under the radar players from the 2020 NFL Draft class and discuss what I think their current trade cost is. Let’s take a look at some 2020 rookie price checks!
A Senior Bowl darling, Jefferson had a preseason rookie ADP that was barely in the top 30 post-NFL Draft. This was despite going to a high octane Rams offense with 2nd round draft capital to boot. Jefferson lacks any flex appeal as he is buried on the depth chart behind annual stalwarts Bob Woods and Cooper Kupp. After promising snap counts through the first two weeks, the Rams parked the Van for weeks 3 and 4, accounting for only 11 offensive snaps over those two weeks. The buy window does not project to close in the near future so there is no rush here, but if you are a patient owner who doesn’t mind sitting on Van Jefferson for a while, he could pay off down the road.
Probable cost– late 2nd
Heading into week 3, the Chargers had split carries almost right down the middle between Joshua Kelley and PPR specialist, Austin Ekeler (47 for Ekeler and 43 for Kelley). Then, in week 4, Ekeler went down leaving the Chargers backfield primed for a Kelley incursion. Of course, Kelley responded to the opportunity by posting a 12 touch, 33 yard dud. Last year, Melvin Gordon and Ekeler accounted for 294 carries and 134 catches between the two of them. With the news that Ekeler is going to miss several weeks, I do not think volume is going to be tough for Kelley to come by. The buy window might already by closed unless Kelley continues to fall flat with the added workload.
Probable Cost– early 2nd
This UDFA has hit the ground running in Jacksonville. Robinson has been perhaps the biggest riser in all of fantasy to start the season. While I am on the record as saying he is a must sell, it does not take away from how productive he has been. Robinson is averaging over 110 yards from scrimmage on 18 touches per game. Congratulations if you found yourself holding onto this lottery ticket after it was announced that Jacksonville was moving on from Fournette, because you won big. Robinson was certainly a waiver wire add just a month ago and you should be able to cash this stock in for a late 1st.
Probable Cost – Late 1st/Early 2nd
Carrying a Rookie ADP of 51(!!!!!) into August, Gabriel Davis was my most targeted late-round flier this offseason. A big-bodied deep threat who posted a 72/1241/12 line his senior year at UCF, I was a big fan of his heading into the pre-draft process. Considering the overall strength of this wide receiver class, it was easy for me to consider his early fourth-round draft capital as more of a plus than it would have been in previous years. Coming out, his route combinations were his greatest critique, but his strengths matched up well with Josh Allen’s big arm and I projected him to be a bigger John Brown once Smokey was all burned out. I expected a redshirt year out of Davis but his 8/129/2 line is already enough for optimism, especially considering he put up 4 catches for 81 yards after Brown left week 3 with a calf injury. This is another buy window that should remain open for most of the year barring long-term injury to Brown or Stefon Diggs.
Probable cost -Late 2nd
As of this writing, Mooney still doesn’t appear on DLF’s ADP list. He was 60th on their post-draft rookie ADP in May but hasn’t made the cut yet on their startup ADP. In week 4, Mooney was 2nd among Bears receivers in catches, targets, and yards and was leading in all of those categories until Allen Robinson absorbed all of the garbage time production on the Bears’ final drive. It was the third consecutive week that Mooney has out-snapped Anthony Miller. All signs point to Mooney being the WR2 in this offense and if this offense ever becomes league average than Mooney could severely outplay his current price tag. The buy window here might remain cracked open as long as the Bears struggle to find competent quarterback play.
Probable cost – 3rd round pick
Cephus splashed onto the scene in week one with 10 targets (albeit only resulting in 3 catches for 43 yards). It did not take too much foresight to realize ahead of time that the return of Kenny Golladay would relegate Cephus to a bench role and that his 10 targets in week 1 were more of an aberration than the norm. However, not a single starting wide receiver is under contract for next year and there is plenty of reason to believe Danny Amendola, Marvin Jones, or both could walk this offseason. Golladay is probably going to be around for the long term, but Cephus could step in to the WR2 role in this offense simply by showing up next season. Cephus has not been targeted since Golladay returned in week 3 leaving his buy window wide open unless an injury occurs ahead of him.
Probable cost – Late 3rd round pick
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