The trade market was on fire yesterday with a pair of the league’s best pass catchers on the move. We’ve already talked about DeAndre Hopkins in a separate article but Stefon Diggs also has packed his bags. The Vikings and Bills announced late Monday evening that the Pro Bowl-caliber receiver would be changing teams. Here are Justin and Cody’s thoughts on the Stefon Diggs trade from both dynasty and redraft perspectives.
Diggs, who has yet to make it to the Pro Bowl, has been a consistent performer for the Vikings in his five-year career. Diggs finished the 2019 fantasy season as WR19 in half-PPR, securing his second straight 1,000 yard season. He added six touchdowns through the air last season which makes three-straight with at least six scores. Diggs heads to a team that had a thousand-yard receiver in John Brown in 2019.
For the Bills, both Brown and Cole Beasley added six touchdowns through the air. It is clear the addition of Stefon Diggs is going to take away from both Brown and Cole, however, it’s also going to be a hit to Diggs as well.
In early mocks, Diggs has been going in the 3rd round. The Minnesota Vikings were the 3rd best passing offense based on PFF grades while the Bills ranked 26th. After several months of disgruntled tweets and public discrepancies, that has soured the relationship between Diggs and Minnesota. This trade was an excellent move for the Vikes but not so much for Diggs’s fantasy value.
Diggs is currently being drafted as WR18 in March startup ADP from DLF. I’m in agreeance with Justin on this, as I believe his value takes a hit in dynasty leagues as well as redraft. Diggs has long felt like a guy who we’ve been waiting to truly take the next step and have a dominant season. After landing with Josh Allen and the Bills, we’re going to be waiting a bit longer.
Diggs is a technician on the field. A surgeon. A route-running-savant, if you will. He’ll now be paired with a quarterback who is known for his cannon of an arm and lack of accuracy. While Allen has improved his accuracy, it’s not saying much. In 2018, Allen ranked last in adjusted completion percentage amongst quarterbacks with 350 dropbacks. With those same conditions, Allen ranked 22 out of 27 qualified signal-callers. I don’t think we ever see Allen rank in the top half of any accuracy category, so Diggs’s ceiling is certainly in question.
I won’t be surprised to see Diggs fall to the WR24-28 range once we get April ADP data. This move feels more beneficial to the Bills as a team than it does to Diggs. On the plus side, if you’ve been trying to get your hands on a share of Diggs, now is the easiest time since his rookie year.