Buy Low, Sell High, Week 8
Hello and welcome to Buy Low, Sell High, Week 8 edition. I hope you haven’t given up on that league championship yet because there is still plenty of time to right the ship. If you are practically a lock to make the playoffs as of now, it is time upgrade your roster and I hope that I will be able to help you do just that. Some folks may be mailing it in and now is the time to pounce. Let us get started.
Big Ben is heading into back-to-back dome contests and only faces 2 top-12 defenses in the next 7 games. One of those defenses is Cincinnati against whom he just put up a respectable 19 points. The Steelers’ offense is beginning to click and Ben is only owned in 73% of leagues.
Mariota was a pre-season favorite of mine but he is still a quarterback who relies on his legs for most of his fantasy upside. Due to the injury to Corey Davis and his own health concerns, Mariota has been wildly inconsistent and was just held to 11 points by the Browns. Mariota needs more help to be a reliable fantasy stud, but someone in your league could be chasing his upside. Consider shopping him as he is about to face 3 consecutive top 7 defenses vs. opposing quarterbacks. As much as he might want to get his team going, it doesn’t seem likely.
The fact that Joe Mixon did not receive a second-half carry vs. CIN is baffling. The rookie had already amassed two runs of over 15 yards and is clearly the most explosive running back on the roster. You can bet that after a week of criticism, OC Bill Lazor will get the ball back into the hands of his electric running back.
Call it a shot in the dark, but I think that Anderson is due. It has become apparent that Trevor Siemian has his limitations and pass protection has not been a strength of the Broncos. Denver will have to rely on the running game and their defense to win games. Look for Denver to be more committed to Anderson as the only true workhorse back on the roster. CJ has a favorable schedule down the stretch into playoff time and it is never too early to start getting prepared.
You only have a realistic shot at Freeman if he is owned by a cellar-dwelling team in your league. Freeman has seen both his attempts and production take a hit over the past 3 weeks while failing to total 100 yards in each contest. This has been due to some tough matchups and a disturbing trend of throwing the ball near the goal line. Look for the Falcons to realize the error of the red-zone ways and get back to feeding Freeman. He gets a better matchup with the Jets this week and like Anderson, his playoff schedule is very favorable.
Carlos Hyde has been healthy so far this season and that is nice for fantasy owners. Hyde has been consistent with his production when he is involved in the offense but his team often falls behind and he is not involved late in games. His matchups get very ugly over the next several weeks. His next 7 opponents feature defenses ranked in the top-half of the league in rushing defense. He also has a bye week mixed in. With the season having gotten away from the 49ers, don’t be shocked to see more of Matt Brieda.
Jones makes an ideal sell high candidate. He is lighting up the defense with regularity and appears to be the most talented back on the Packers’ roster. The problem is that the defense in Green Bay is not good and fill-in QB Brett Hundley is going to have to throw the ball a lot to get a win. Teams will most likely load up the box to contain Aaron Jones and there will likely be a lack of red-zone opportunities as well.
Go after Hilton if you feel pretty good about your next WR. Hilton is the definition of Boom or Bust. He seems to score 30 points a week, or 5. If an owner is struggling to put together wins and you think your team is one player away from being championship-ready, make a move for this guy. Hilton could prove to be a big difference-maker in a 2-week playoff game.
Michael Thomas is coming off of 2 disappointing outings and has not yet reached 100 yards in a game. He is receiving an average of 9 targets per game and is doing so while drawing the other teams’ top corner. The sudden addition of a running game in New Orleans will force teams to rethink their defensive strategy and present more favorable opportunities to Thomas. With Brees as his QB, the ceiling for Thomas is always high.
I am very happy to have acquired Cooper in a couple of leagues last week. Cooper got the start for my team on account of injuries and I was rewarded handsomely. I think Cooper is very talented and could actually continue to produce. However, anytime a player goes off like Cooper did, you owe it to yourself to see what you can get. His schedule is favorable down the stretch and we need to remember that Cooper has played half the season without Derek Carr. I told you to buy him last week for a reason but everyone has a price. Make sure you get a good one for Cooper.
It is fair to wonder if birthdays really apply to Fitzgerald. I have not seen a receiver produce at such a high level into his 30’s like the Arizona wideout. I put him on the sell list because just when things were starting to go right in the desert, they went wrong. Carson Palmer is done and Drew Stanton steps in. He has started 9 games since coming to Arizona and has thrown 9 touchdowns…..total. There is a lack of chemistry between the two and they will be hard-pressed to find the end-zone.