It’s that time of the year again as the season is only a week away from beginning. The third week of the preseason just wrapped up as we head into the biggest weekend of the year. This is probably the biggest weekend for fantasy drafts in season-long leagues. We at TFA wanted to bring you some of our favorite breakouts, over and undervalued targets, and busts. This installment will focus on the top undervalued fantasy football targets you should be looking to take in your drafts this weekend. In addition to our answers, be sure to check out our rankings to see where we have each fantasy-relevant player placed.
Top Undervalued Fantasy Football Targets 2019
T.Y. Hilton –Hilton’s ADP is free fallin’ out into nothin’ now that Andrew Luck plans to leave the NFL world for a while. RIP Tom Petty. Hilton is still an elite talent at wide receiver and Jacoby Brissett actually might not be that bad. Simply put, I’ll gladly take the discount on his ADP. – Dan Haas (@Dan_Haas)
Tyler Boyd – A.J. Green recently underwent “minor” ankle surgery and Coach Zac Taylor indicated he hopes AJG returns at the “beginning half of the season”. I don’t know about you, but that doesn’t give me much confidence about his availability. John Ross is dinged up, so Boyd is the default WR1 for Cincinnati. Last season when AJG missed seven games, Boyd finished as the #15 fantasy WR in PPR (in 14 games). – Jen Smith (@theonlyjensmith)
Matt Breida – Kyle Shanahan is one of the brightest offensive minds in football. He’s widely considered to be a running-back whisperer which sets up nicely for the most talented back on the 49ers roster: Matt Breida. Tevin Coleman was brought in this offseason, but he’s never shouldered the full-load and Breida is just plain better than him. Of RBs to draw more than 30 targets, Breida finished #1 in receiving grade per PFF, ahead of Christian McCaffrey, Saquon Barkley, and Alvin Kamara. Expect Breida to command a 60/40 split in the Niners offense, finishing in the top 24 RBs if healthy – Ryan Murphy (@themurph34)
Royce Freeman – Freeman enters 2019 as a post-hype sleeper who you should be targeting in your upcoming drafts. This time last year, Freeman was being drafted in the 3rd round, however, a high ankle sprain hindered him most of the season which allowed Phillip Lindsay to seize control of the backfield. Fast forward a year and things have changed. The Broncos fired Vance Joseph and replaced him with Vic Fangio. The new staff has talked up the 2nd year back all offseason and earned valuable time while Lindsay was recovering from a wrist injury.
Freeman figures to be the early-down back while operating behind one of the best run-blocking offensive lines. The Broncos finished sixth in adjusted line yards and 7th in power run schemes. With the new staff, the offense will look to Freeman to carry a heavier workload after seeing only a 34% snapshare. Another issue was the Broncos predictable approach with Freeman. He faced a stacked box on 24.6% of plays. Every time he was on the field it was obvious what was coming so teams prepared for it.
With the reduced cost (9.04 or RB42) of Freeman and the strong possibility that he sees 15 touches per game while Lindsay operates more as the change of pace back, I will be hammering him as much as a can as a player who should have weekly flex appeal and would be a high-end RB2 if anything happened to Lindsay. – Kevin Steele (@FantasyWrath13)
Michael Gallup – Amari Cooper, Ezekiel Elliott, and Dak Prescott receive all the media attention. Meanwhile, Michael Gallup, the clear Cowboys WR2, is flying under the radar (current ADP 11.06). However, Cooper is battling plantar fasciitis, and Zeke might hold out. But even if Cooper is healthy and Zeke plays in week 1, I am still buying Gallup because I like new offensive coordinator, Kellen Moore’s new offense, which will rely more on the passing game. More passes mean more targets for Gallup, who is being drafted like a WR4, even though his ceiling is a WR2. He is a great value on a good offense. – Nate Henry (@NateHenryFF)
Marvin Jones – Marvin Jones and Matthew Stafford have developed a nice rapport over the last three years in DET which is why the discrepancy between Jones and Kenny Golladay in ADP is the latest example of recency bias you should be avoiding. A lot of people have already forgotten that in 2017, Marvin Jones put up a hyper-efficient stat line of 61/1,101/9 while finishing as the WR12 in PPR. This is another situation where you can get comparable numbers at a much-discounted price to his teammate “Kenny G” going in the 4th round. Here are some of the WRs I’d rather take in the 4th: Brandin Cooks, Robert Woods, Chris Godwin, Stefon Diggs, and Julian Edelman. Even in an offense that will likely be run-oriented, you can pencil in Marvin Jones for 5-7 targets a game. Before getting hurt in Week 10 last year, Jones averaged 7 targets per game which would be excellent volume for someone you’re getting in the 9th round. I’m avoiding Golladay at his 4th round price tag and scooping up Marvin Jones later on. – Alex Fagundes
Will Fuller – People hate me for this but I am true to my brand- IT’S WILL FULLER SZN. If – and I know it’s an IF – Fuller can stay healthy then he is in for a breakout season. I know the stats with Coutee on the field, but that was such a small sample size. Will Fuller is the clear number 2 option in this offense and it has proven it can carry two top-end fantasy options at the WR position. I am not here to say that Will Fuller is the best route runner or greatest football player on the planet. However, the chemistry with DeGOAT and the impact he has on this offense is undeniable. He is a fantastic fantasy option deep in drafts for the WR3 spot in the starting lineup who can return WR1 output on any given week. Will Fuller needs to be in your draft plan as you bake in high upside for those final starting positions. – Nick Cantatore
Tyrell Williams –I’ve always liked this guy’s game, and now that he’s with the Raiders, I really love his opportunity too! We saw him put up 69 receptions, 1,059 yards and 7 touchdowns in his sophomore season when Keenan Allen went out for the year, so he has the talent. The Antonio Brown/Tyrell Williams combo is arguably the best weapons Carr has had in his career and I’m excited to see how good this passing game can be. – Anthony Pinzone (@the1andonlypz)
Allen Robinson – I’m going all-in with Allen Robinson and I’m planting my flag on him for 2019. The fact you can get a legit number one receiver in the seventh round at WR31 is incredible value. This entire offense should take another step forward between head coach Matt Nagy, Mitchell Trubisky, and add in Robinson is another year removed from his 2017 ACL tear. I think we see a slight regression with Chicago’s defense which will (theoretically) open up more targets due to game script. – Cody Kutzer (@CKutzerFF)
The Fantasy Authority will release more round table articles with busts, breakouts, and more soon, so don’t forget to check those out! See more undervalued fantasy football players here and follow @FF_Authority for help all season long! #TFAFam