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Week 10 Fantasy Football Trends

fantasy football week 10 trends christian mccaffrey

Not everybody can watch every game, so I give you some instant fantasy analysis and future trends from every game. This is hard-hitting, quick analysis to help you make Waiver Wire decisions, find trade targets, and digest each week’s action. If you prefer this in video form, be sure to subscribe to The Fantasy Authority YouTube channel for all future content! Without further ado, here is my Fantasy Football Week 10 Trends article.

Packers vs. 49ers

Aaron Jones had some health concerns coming into this game, but he managed to play 61% of the snaps, which is about his season average. He was efficient in his 15 carries and caught all five targets, so GB more or less used him normally with one exception: they never gave him a goal-line carry. And it wasn’t like Green Bay didn’t have opportunities to punch the ball in from short. I saw Jones on the field three times inside the opponent 5. Normally, those carries go to Jones. Maybe Green Bay wanted to avoid risking Jones’s health in those goal-line pile-ups and opted to score via the air instead to protect him. I am not worried about this one week outlier.

Texans vs. Jaguars

New Jaguars QB Jake Luton locked into D.J. Chark right from the start (12 total targets). Luton will be starting for the foreseeable future, so I like Chark to bounce back from his mediocre performances Weeks 1-9. I think Chark’s issues were more a function of Minshew trying to play through an obvious hand injury than any loss of talent.

Giants vs. Football Team

There really weren’t any new trends in this game. Gibson’s usage vis-a-vis McKissic was the result of coaching punishment for fumbling – the NFL’s dumbest and most antiquated policy. Why do teams take their best players off the field for one mistake? Do running backs only have time to feel bad about hurting their team with a fumble if they sit on the bench? Why doesn’t this policy apply to Quarterbacks with bad interceptions or Centers who make a bad snap? This wasn’t even Gibson’s fault. His arm got hit with a helmet as he was being tackled – even Tiki Barber would have fumbled in that scenario. Anyway, diatribe over.

Ravens vs. Colts

There isn’t a ton to learn about either offense because both played against a really good defense (IND and BAL are probably the best two defenses in the league). Adding to the noisy data is the clear fumble punishment Jonathan Taylor received (again, stupid). Michael Pittman’s usage is at least notable, as he played 89% of the snaps, led the team in targets (7), and led the team in air yards (107). He’s worth a stash if he could somehow rise to an alpha-type role in this mediocre offense.

Lions vs. Vikings

Despite the final score, the Lions had a fair share of longer drives before Stafford left the game, but Stafford turned it over twice in the red zone. Notably, both of those interceptions were intended for T.J. Hockenson. Later in the game, on the 2 yard line, the Lions split Hock out wide and scored easily when Hock was matched up on a defensive back. Hock is a major red zone target, especially with Golladay out.

Bears vs. Titans

The Bears split Montgomery’s role between Cordarrelle Patterson and Ryan Nall after Montgomery’s concussion in a similar manner as Montgomery and Cohen at the beginning of the season. I’m not rushing out to add either Patterson or Nall.

Panthers vs. Chiefs Trends

I saw a fair amount of Mike Davis in this game (31% of the snaps). He almost exclusively played in passing downs (only one carry). Seems like Carolina liked what they saw out of Davis, especially in the passing game (he saw 6 targets). McCaffrey’s talent demanded more and more playing time, but I wonder if Carolina plays it safe with him the rest of the season now that he’s been hurt twice. The point is, don’t drop Davis.

Seahawks vs. Bills

Really fun game that gave us several trends. First, I saw a ton of 4 WR sets from Buffalo. As a result, Josh Allen was chucking it all around the field (only 12 total designed rushing plays). This was likely the game plan since Seattle’s defense is awful. But I think Buffalo had an ulterior motive hoping to get Allen back on track. It worked (over 400 yards passing). I wouldn’t be surprised if Buffalo stays pass-heavy down the stretch because their running game is putrid.

Bonus trend: Tyler Lockett’s down day could have been much better. He was tackled at the half yard line on one catch and was a half step away from catching a deep touchdown pass that Russ threw off his back foot. Better days are ahead for Lockett.

Bonus Bonus trend: Jacob Hollister played the most TE snaps for Seattle. This might be a result of Seattle being down big, but Greg Olsen isn’t really cutting it. Hollister had seven targets as a result of this playing time, which is great, but Seattle is still rotating three tight ends. Just remember this for now.

Broncos vs. Falcons Trends

Jerry Jeudy is getting a lot of press for his massive game, which mostly happened due to a furious comeback against a poor defense (especially in crunch time). But I liked KJ Hamler’s understated stat line. He had 10 targets which led to 75 yards. His 75% snap share might be due solely to the game script, but I’m paying attention. Hamler is a big play waiting to happen (if Lock can get him the ball).

Raiders vs. Chargers

I continue to like what I see out of Nelson Agholor this year. He’s becoming what we thought Henry Ruggs would be – a deep threat who scores long TDs. But I saw Agholor run a full route tree. However, what I was watching for most in this game was whether Bryan Edwards would receive his starting role back. He did not – only 1 snap. Agholor has taken the role from him and will be usable down the stretch.

Dolphins vs. Cardinals

Christian Kirk is really emerging. No, he likely won’t continue this trend of scoring touchdowns every few catches, but he’s clearly the WR2 in the NFL’s best offense. 8 targets in this one suggests he’s integral. The Cardinals may have been avoiding Xavien Howard by targeting Kirk so often, but I like the upside, I like the offense, and I like the potential. He’s a start for me rest of season.

Steelers vs. Cowboys

Earlier in the year, I debated whether Juju or Dionte Johnson was the Steelers’ WR1. I was wrong because it’s Chase Claypool. He’s always on the field and looks like Ben’s first read in the red zone. JuJu and Dionte are solid plays, but Claypool has the most upside.

Saints vs. Buccaneers Trends

Antonio Brown played a lot right away (80%), but it really didn’t affect Chris Godwin or Mike Evans’ playing time or targets. The Bucs base set looks to be 11 personnel. I prefer Godwin and Brown over Evans right now because Brown managed 90 air yards in this one, and Godwin looks to remain Brady’s favorite target.

Patriots vs. Jets Trends

Breshad Perriman and Denzel Mims got a ton of air yards. Do we care? Probably not.

Bonus trend: Jakobi Myers was all over the field. He was wide open when targeted and caught a ton of passes. I know, the Patriots offense has been awful and so is the Jets defense, but I still think he’s my top WR pickup.

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