Below you’re going to find five of our must-have fantasy football players for 2020 redraft leagues. If you’re familiar with the movie “Draft Day”, you can write these names down on a sticky note with “…no matter what” underneath. These are the guys we are willing to reach on above their current ADPs because we simply have to have them in every draft! Let’s get to it.
*Note: ADP was obtained through 4for4’s ADP data which looks at ADP from six different fantasy football platforms.
ADP: 5.07 (55th overall – WR21)
I’m not leaving drafts in 2020 without, MY GUY, Bobby Woods. He finished last year at WR14 with 15 games played and has somehow lost ADP ground despite being one of the most obvious positive regression candidates for TDs. Of the 13 players who had at least 90 receptions in 2019, the average number of receiving TDs was six. That’s an extra four TDs that Woods will likely see this upcoming season if he just keeps his 2019 form. Four extra TDs last season puts Woods at WR7….in 15 games. Give him a 16th game at that pace, and he goes to the WR2. You can see how Woods is extremely enticing at his ridiculously cheap ADP. With Brandin Cooks in Houston and Todd Gurley in Atlanta, this offense will run through Woods and Cooper Kupp. Woods has Top-3 WR upside with Top-12 floor. Do NOT leave drafts without him.
Players I’d draft him over – A.J. Brown, Mark Ingram, Allen Robinson, D.J. Moore, Melvin Gordon
ADP: 4.10 (46th overall – WR17)
From Week 7 to Week 17, A.J. Brown was the WR3 in .5 PPR formats, behind only Michael Thomas and DeVante Parker. You might think that’s an arbitrary time period, but it’s not. First, Brown was a rookie last year, and historically, it takes rookie wide receivers a few weeks to acclimate to the NFL. But more relevantly, Week 7 was the same week that Ryan Tannehill became Tennessee’s full-time QB starter. During that same time period, Brown received a healthy 22% target share, was second in the league in yards per reception (20.2!), and broke 16 tackles on his way to leading the league in yards after the catch (8.9). Tannehill may not be the best quarterback in the league, but Brown’s ability to make something happen after the catch means he’s certain to outperform his ADP and could be in line for a top-5 WR finish if his volume increases even slightly. He’s an absolute steal in the 4th round.
Players I’d draft him over: Mark Andrews, Calvin Ridley, James Conner, Cooper Kupp, Amari Cooper, Melvin Gordon, Le’Veon Bell
ADP: 6.10 (70th overall – RB29)
What do Alvin Kamara and Nick Chubb have in common? They both helped lead teams to fantasy championships their rookie seasons, in spite of being drafted after round 4 in fantasy drafts their respective years. Cam Akers is next. After not drafting until the 52nd pick of the 2020 NFL draft, the Rams made Akers their first pick. Akers moves into a situation with Darrell Henderson (meh) as his main competition. This situation is RIPE for Akers to burst onto the scene. The Rams system is at its best when ran through one elite running back, as we saw with Todd Gurley. After Gurley fell off, it seemed that genius coach Sean McVay forgot how to call plays. Kudos for the Rams front office giving McVay the elite talent he needs at running back to have a high-octane offense. Expect Akers to explode onto the scene this year and lead your team to titles.
Players I’d draft him over: Devin Singletary, Raheem Mostert, David Montgomery, Mark Ingram, Kareem Hunt, DeAndre Swift
ADP: 3.02 (26th overall – RB14)
Todd Gurley is set for a resurgence. With an ADP of 3.02 I would have no problem grabbing him a full round earlier at the back end of the first or the beginning of the second after the turn. In 2018, in only 14 games Gurley was third in rushing yards with 1251 and first in touchdowns with 17. While he regressed last year with just over 800 rushing yards he was still fifth in touchdowns with 12. He accomplished this while playing 100 fewer snaps than he did in 2018. If he can put together a healthy and complete 16 game season, coupled with a resurgence from a change in scenery and security as “the guy” in Atlanta, Gurley has the potential to return to top 5 RB status this year. I would happily have him as my RB1 in a redraft.
Players I’d draft him over: Clyde Edwards-Helaire, Austin Ekeler, Nick Chubb, Kenyan Drake, Julio Jones, Tyreek Hill, DeAndre Hopkins.
ADP: 5.08 (56th overall – WR22)
If you’ve been following along with the TFA pod or our YouTube channel throughout the offseason, there’s no way you’re surprised by my answer. DK Metcalf absolutely tops my list of must-have fantasy football players for 2020. Metcalf was used in a limited role last year through the first half of his rookie season (limited routes, lined up only on the left side of the field) and still finished with 900 receiving yards on just 58 catches. His 15.5 yards per reception ranks 9th amongst rookies with at least 50 catches over the last 10 seasons. In 2019, he had the 15th-highest aDOT among receivers with at least 80 targets. Metcalf accomplished this with having one of the lower catch rates a Russell Wilson pass-catcher has posted in recent seasons. Metcalf’s 58% catch rate was lower than the mid-60% most of his leading receivers posted. Even if Metcalf’s targets don’t increase significantly, he could blow up simply by becoming more efficient in his catch rate numbers. If his targets AND catch rate increase in 2020? We could be looking at a WR1 fantasy season from the physical freak in his second NFL season.
Players I’d draft him over: Darren Waller, Keenan Allen, David Johnson, Courtland Sutton, Odell Beckham, A.J. Brown, D.J. Chark
That’ll do it! Who is your “no matter what” guy heading into the 2020 fantasy football season? Drop a comment below or reach out to us on your favorite social media platform as you can find us just about everywhere. Don’t forget to bookmark our redraft and dynasty tabs and check back often as we’ll be dropping plenty of content for you to enjoy!