Welcome back for your Studs and Duds Week 9 edition!
Now officially at the mid-season point of the fantasy season, it’s put up or shut up time! Over the next few weeks I’ll be doing my best to get you the players you need (or don’t need) to get your team back on track or help you maintain your dominance. That may beg the question, what have I been doing leading up to this point? Well, I was still trying, but now I’ll try harder! Let’s get you to the playoffs!
Need lineup advice?
Hit me up on Twitter (@the1andonlypz) or come chat about it during the TFA GAMEDAY Podcast this Sunday morning from 11:30AM EST to kickoff! I’d be happy to help a fellow fantasy nerd get the job done.
Calls of the Week: Week 8
Back to back weeks with a receiver vs. the Jets landing in this section. Big shout out to Terrelle Pryor who continues his dominant season with a 6 reception, 101 yard performance. He even threw in a 2 point conversion! Pryor has easily been one of the biggest surprises of this season. Kudos to him, and that Browns coaching staff, for developing the former college QB into a fine NFL WR.
Fails of the Week: Week 8
I know there’s no way to predict injuries, especially since I release this article on Thursdays. However, having THREE guys on the list last week that didn’t even play was inexplicable. Ty Montgomery, Randall Cobb and Jerod McKinnon were all on the list, and not a single one suited up.
As for guys who did suit up, I thought for sure Zach Miller would have a down week, but boy was I wrong! The return of Cutler was huge for him, pulling in 7 of 10 targets for 88 yards and probably winning a few games for his owners on Monday night.
That’s enough of last week, let’s get into my studs and duds week 9 edition!
Bye Week: Cardinals, Bears, Bengals, Texans, Patriots, Redskins
Dak Prescott vs. Cleveland Browns
I was right about him struggling last week, but I was VERY wrong about the game being too big for him. Dak is approaching every week starter status. He has a chance to solidify that status this week vs. a Browns defense that’s allowed 20+ points to every opposing QB but one.
Jameis Winston vs. Atlanta Falcons
Another great match-up for Winston after posting two-straight solid outings for the first time this year. This may be his easiest match-up of the year, as the Falcons allow 300 yards and over 2 touchdowns a game.
Trevor Siemian vs. Oakland Raiders
While he wasn’t super impressive last week, I think he’s starting to find his rhythm again. Devontae Booker and the running game are certainly helping as well! So is this match-up vs. the Raiders, who have allowed the 7th most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks.
Tyrod Taylor vs. Seattle Seahawks
It’s been an average season at best for Taylor, as he’s struggled to put up even 200 yards passing consistently. The Seahawks, on the other hand, have continued their dominance vs. opposing QB’s. Having allowed 5 passing touchdowns all year (3 in one game to Matt Ryan), the Seahawks easily have the upper hand here.
Derek Carr vs. Denver Broncos
It’s pretty tough to put him here after last week’s gritty performance, but that was the Bucs, this is the Broncos. The Broncos, who have allowed just 200 yards passing 3x this year, and haven’t come close to allowing 300. A team that’s allowed multiple passing touchdowns just once all season vs. a young QB in Carr who’s still finding his way. Despite several brilliant performances this year, the young signal caller has been no stranger to off games, scoring less than 20 fantasy points three times this season.
Carson Wentz vs. New York Giants
It seems like a lifetime ago that Wentz was being considered a rare talent, above the typical struggles you’d see in a rookie QB. How quickly that changed. In his first four games Wentz averaged 251 yards/game with 7 total touchdowns to just 1 interception. Over his last 3? 173 yards/game, 2 touchdowns and 2 interceptions. Now he gets a Giants pass defense that’s been quietyl dominant this year, making the outlook grim for Wentz this week.
Running Back Studs
Derrick Henry vs. San Diego Chargers
The Titans showed they can use that one-two punch with Murray and Henry successfully last week. Mularkey admitted he’d like to get Henry more involved and this week he gets another beautiful match-up vs. San Diego. The Chargers are the 2nd worst to opposing backs, allowing over 130 yards and 1.5 touchdowns a game to the position. If you’re hurtin’ from byes, and Henry’s available, I’d snatch him up.
Terrance West vs. Pittsburgh Steelers
Rough game for West last week, managing just 10 yards on 8 carries vs. the Jets vaunted run defense. This week he’ll get a much better match-up vs. a Steelers defensive front that’s allowed over 330 yards and 6 touchdowns to opposing backs in their last two games.
Latavius Murray vs. Denver Broncos
I think if the Raiders are going to win this game they’re going to have to give Murray a healthy dose of carries. The Broncos pass defense is dominant, but their run defense has been beatable, allowing 85+ yards to four different backs. Murray has been a decent fantasy play since returning from injury, but has been given just 18 and 11 carries respectively. Get that number above 20 this week and the Raiders could answer some critics.
Running Back Duds
Melvin Gordon vs. Tennessee Titans
He finally put together what most would consider a complete game last week with 23 carries for 111 yards. However, for most of the season he’s been touchdown dependent. With the Titans defense allowing just four touchdowns to opposing backs, I foresee a disappointing week for Gordon owners in week 9.
Matt Forte vs. Miami Dolphins
The Jets have been utilizing him much better over the past two weeks, so how on earth does he make the duds list?! While the Dolphins defense has certainly laid some eggs against the run, they’ve also shown a touch of dominance throughout the year. They shut down a hobbled McCoy last week and kept Le’Veon Bell in check for the most part the week prior. I like to go against the grain once in awhile, and with everyone “all-aboard” the Forte train this week, I remain skeptical.
Isaiah Crowell vs. Dallas Cowboys
This is a tough match-up for Crowell, as the Cowboys have allowed just 80 yards/game to opposing backs and three touchdowns all year. It’s much more likely that this will be a Duke Johnson game, with Dallas giving up their most rushing yards of the season to a similar back in Sproles last week.
Wide Receiver Studs
Brian Quick vs. Carolina Panthers
Don’t look now, but over his last four games, Brian Quick has posted 2/53/1, 2/69/2, 3/51, 5/61 and 4/92 stat lines. Could it be, is Quick finally fantasy relevant? At least in PPR he has been, and this weeks match-up vs. a Panthers defense that’s given up 8 touchdowns to receivers in their past four games is a beauty.
Davante Adams vs. Indianapolis Colts
On paper it looks like the Colts defense has been very good against opposing WR’s. In reality, they’re coming off a game where they allowed Nick Foles to connect with his receivers for 200 yards and two touchdowns. Adams has very clearly been a focal point of the Packers offense, pulling in 25 of a whopping 30 targets in his last two games. With Cobb and Montgomery both questionable this week, Adams huge role shouldn’t change.
Allen Hurns vs. Kansas City Chiefs
Of the two Allens we expected to be dominant this year, Hurns has been the surprising bright spot in an otherwise wretched season for the Jags offense. This week’s match-up vs. a Chiefs defense giving up the 5th most points to opposing WR’s should open up the door for a huge day.
Wide Receiver Duds
Marvin Jones Jr. vs. Minnesota Vikings
He’s certainly cooled off from that must-start WR1 status he was sporting earlier this year. While he’s still been a solid WR2 in PPR leagues, this weeks match-up makes him a must-sit if you can help it. The Vikings defense hasn’t been the same, but their “down games” have still been better than most of the league.
Robert Woods vs. Seattle Seahawks
It’s surprises me a bit that Buffalo receivers have been such a widely talked about subject in fantasy circles. As I mentioned earlier in this article, Taylor is averaging less than 200 yards a game through the air. Seattles defense continues to dominate as well, allowing just four touchdowns to receivers all year.
Odell Beckham Jr. vs. Philadelphia Eagles
We all know the saga that’s been Odell Beckham Jr. this year. Just two weeks ago he exploded for 222 yards and 2 scores on 8 receptions vs. the Ravens, before following that up with a measley 5/49 stat line vs. the Rams. I know he’s a must-start, but this weeks match-up vs. the Eagles strong defense will either see OBJ go off, or implode. In four career games vs. the Eagles, he’s averaged 6.5 catches and 82 yards with just 2 total touchdowns.
Tight End Studs
Kyle Rudolph vs. Detroit Lions
He’s been quiet lately in standard leagues, and just squeaking by in PPR. Luckily he’s still been targeted 17 times over the last two weeks, and remains a top 5 targeted TE in the league. This week’s match-up vs. the Lions defense that’s allowed 8 touchdowns to TE’s should get Rudolph on the board for the first time since week 4.
Lance Kendricks vs. Carolina Panthers
With only 1 touchdown on the year, he’s hardly been a world-beater at the position. He’s been a solid PPR TE though, pulling in 12 receptions over his last two games on his way to his lone score. The Panthers secondary has looked so bad, I now have two LA Rams on my studs list for the week. They’ve allowed the 2nd most touchdowns to the position, putting Kendricks in great shape for his second score of the year.
Virgil Green vs. Oakland Raiders
The TE position has not been a big producer for the Broncos this year, but on the plus side, Green had his most production game of the season last week. Now this week he get’s a Raiders defense that’s allowed a touchdown to the TE in four of their last five games. Increased production + Monster match-up = Fantasy Flyer.
Tight End Duds
Julius Thomas vs. Kansas City Chiefs
He’s had a fairly productive season, scoring in half of the games he’s played this year, including his last two. Problem is, he’s extremely touchdown dependent, having not recorded four receptions or 50 receiving yards since week 2. The Chiefs defense has simply not allowed touchdowns to the position, allowing just 1 back in week 4. I think the Jags receivers fair much better in this one.
Zach Ertz vs. New York Giants
He continues to struggle this year, having not scored more than 10 fantasy points in a game (PPR) since week 1. Meanwhile, the Giants defense has been playing well, holding opposing TE’s to just one touchdown all year. Ertz is pretty droppable at this point, but if you still have him rostered, keep him benched.
Jack Doyle vs. Green Bay Packers
He lit it up in back to back weeks vs. the Texans and Titans before crashing back down to earth last week in a blowout loss to the Chiefs. The communities favorite streaming TE may need to sit one out for you this week. The Packers haven’t allowed 50 yards or a touchdown to a TE since week 3, and their defense is on fire.
That’s all for your Studs and Duds Week 9 edition!
Whether you agree or disagree, reach out on Twitter @the1andonlypz and let’s discuss! As always, enjoy another week of great football action, and best of luck to you in your fantasy match-ups!