Tyler Boyd is going to be receiving a LOT more targets in Cincinnati following week 11. Both AJ Green and Gio Bernard will be out for a while. AJ Green went down with a severely strained hamstring, while Gio has a torn ACL. Boyd has a solid day on Sunday, reeling in 6 catches for 54 yards and a TD after the aforementioned injuries. While Boyd is a rookie, he will have to grow into his new role quickly, in order for the Bengals to have any chance of success down the stretch. Look for Boyd to settle into WR2 value in Cincinnati.
Consensus Ranking and Projected Stats
For week 12, Boyd is ranked as the 74th Flex PPR player overall, and the 40th wide receiver. His projections for the week:
Receiving: 4.4 catches, 50.7 yards, 0.2 TDs
Total Points: 10.7 PPR points
Current Week Match-up
This week, the Baltimore Ravens host the Cincinnati Bengals. The total Vegas over/under is set at 41.5, which is one of the lowest totals on the week. This is expected to be a defensive slugfest, but there is still room for Boyd to produce. Green was averaging 11 targets per game, some of which should go to Boyd. Boyd’s strengths lie in his ability to run precise routes, soft hands, and his connection with Dalton. The other factors working for Boyd are the unreliability of the other starting pass catchers in Cincy, including Brandon LaFell and Tyler Eifert. LaFell has been inconsistent his entire career, failing to produce reliable results. Eifert is definitely an asset in the redzone, where he can use his size and frame to position himself. However, in open field route running, Cincy has failed to get him involved recently.
While Cincinnati may have a tough time producing a win this Sunday, Boyd should be able to work underneath against the Baltimore Ravens.
Comparable Flex Starters
I’ve analyzed some comparable flex starters, along with a brief description of why I like them more or less:
WR Marvin Jones, Detroit Lions. Projected PPR points – 9.7 points
Marvin Jones continues to disappear for the Detroit Lions. He started the season at a torrid pace. Through his first 4 games, he posted a statline of 23 catches/482 yards/2 TDs. Since then, in the remaining 6 games, his statline has been 15 catches/194 yards/2 TDs. Furthermore, the Detroit Lions play the Minnesota Vikings on a short week, facing them at 11:30amCST on Thanksgiving Thursday. The Vikings defense looked back to the normal self after the dismantling Cardinals last week. Leave Marvin Jones on your bench until proven otherwise.
Conclusion: Start Boyd over Jones
WR Will Fuller, Houston Texans. Projected PPR points – 8.9 points
Fuller is another player who had a strong start to the season, posting 9 catches/211 yards/1TD through his first two games. Since then, however, his production has been erratic. He only has one game over 10 points in full PPR since the first two games, with the rest failing to break the 10-point barrier. Furthermore, he has missed two games to a reoccurring leg injury, which may still be bothering him to this point. It’s not a coincidence that his noticeable lack in production occurs after he sustained the injury in week 5 vs the Minnesota Vikings. Going against the Chargers this week, look for the Texans to rely on Lamar Miller and their rushing attack, as opposed to their floundering QB in Brock Osweiler.
Conclusion: Start Boyd over Fuller
Record to Date:
Player Projections: 3 – 7, 1 N/A
Start/Sit Recommendations: 12 – 7, 3 N/A