Welcome to Week 3 of the NFL regular season. We just witnessed the Cleveland Browns get their first win in 20 games. Isn’t the season over now? The Browns won it all. It certainly feels that way but we still have a lot of fantasy football to be played. All this football means your roster can get better, it always can. When the waiver wire isn’t helping, trading is the only alternative. Let’s get to evaluating players and how they make a good buy low and sell high candidates.
Derrick Henry (RB, TEN)
Derrick Henry has had a tough start to the 2018 season. Through two games he has 9.5 half PPR points. Most owners aren’t even starting Henry at this point making him dirt cheap to acquire. His situation is cloudy now with Dion Lewis also sharing the workload, but there is reason to be optimistic about Henry.
Henry is currently 16th in the league in rushing attempts with 28. Week 1 he had only 10 so in Week 2 he saw 18 attempts, a great value booster. That rush attempt number has the potential to go even higher. Marcus Mariota is going to be questionable to play for at least the next few weeks with a nerve issue in his elbow causing him to lose feeling in his fingers. With uncertainty in the passing game, the running game is going to be heavily relied upon going forward.
His offensive line is finally going to be fully healthy either this week or next. LT Taylor Lewan is returning from a concussion and Jack Conklin is returning from an ACL injury. This will make it easier for Henry going forward to gain yardage consistently. He is the goal-line back over Dion Lewis so there is always that touchdown potential with Henry. The Titans are not very good offensively. It would behoove them to incorporate one of their Heisman Trophy winners more. Using a ground and pound mentality to slow down the game is the right play style, especially if Blaine Gabbert is at the helm for the near future. I’m not saying Henry is going to be a star, but for what he is worth on the market right now, he is worth a buy-low consideration.
Devin Funchess (WR, CAR)
Funchess is an underwhelming WR1 for the Carolina Panthers. At least he has been so far. With six points in Week 1 and 11 in Week 2 his stock is starting to rise slightly so nab him before his owners want too much in return. I say that because as the season goes on, Funchess will become more involved and a better weekly producer.
In Week 1, Funchess had 3 catches for 41 yards. In Week 2 following the loss of Greg Olsen, he had 7 receptions on 9 targets for 77 yards. The loss of Olsen, unfortunately, is just what Funchess needed to regain production opportunities. The Panthers don’t really care about establishing a rushing attack. Christian McCaffrey has only 18 rush attempts after two games so receivers on Carolina are going to have chances to make an impact. Head coach Ron Rivera has said that they want to get D.J. Moore involved, which will take away attention from Funchess. Cam Newton is a slinger, there are plenty of targets to go around and Funchess is a big red zone threat. Funchess is an underrated receiver who gets sneaky volume, especially with the absence of Greg Olsen. Buy-low on Devin Funchess.
Honorable Mention – Michael Crabtree (WR, BAL)
Matt Breida (RB, SF)
The LEADING rusher after two weeks of play is the Matt Breida of the 49ers. Yes, the backup to Jerick McKinnon has the most rushing yards through Week 2. Sell. That is all. In all seriousness, Breida makes a great sell-high candidate thanks to that stat. Breida has very high value right now thanks to his great Week 2 performance (159 total yards and 1 TD). I’ve seen him being ranked as high as an RB2. This is such an overvalue of Breida. We weren’t even sure was the running back to own in San Fran post-McKinnon injury, how can he be valued this high now? His 138 rushing yard performance in Week 2 was largely thanks to a 67-yard touchdown. If he didn’t break that run he would likely be under 100 yards on the day.
With about half of his production coming on one play, Breida can’t be relied on for performances like this week in and week out. In week 1, he had the same number of rushes (11) and only had 46 yards. That is a stat line I expect more from Matt Breida weekly. In total, he has 6 less rushes than committee member Alfred Morris and that split is likely to continue. Marquise Goodwin should return in a week or two and Jimmy Garoppolo needs to step up his game. That doesn’t bode well for Breida consistently producing. Definitely not at his current perceived value. People are in dire need of a running back and are blinded by his big week 2 stat line. Use that to your advantage and make Matt Breida your sell-high.
Will Fuller (WR, HOU)
Speedster Will Fuller has had a tremendous stint so far with Deshaun Watson. After a great 2017 with his young QB, Fuller had a tremendous week 2 (his week 1 due to injury). Last week Fuller went for catches, 113 yards, and a touchdown. Fuller has not played a game with Watson and not scored at least once. Fuller has been an astronomical producer and that bubble is bound to burst.
Will Fuller fits my sell-high profile very well. Fuller is as big of an injury risk at his position as they come. He missed six games a season ago and already missed week 1 this year. His touchdown connection with Deshaun Watson is an incredible feat, but it not only will end, but it will also slow down. It just has to. No one expects Fuller to have 15 touchdowns so there will be plenty of games in which Fuller does not score. His eight receptions last week were the most of his career. He typically hovers around 2-5 receptions per game. He isn’t a possession receiver and when his touchdowns slow, he is going to become a boom or bust type of player. Is he someone you can trust week in and week out? I don’t think he will be throughout this season. He has a great reputation around his big play ability. Sell him on that and take a reliable player in return.
Honorable Mention – Chris Hogan (WR, NE)
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