Multiple studs are in changing situations, and there could be a new stud RB rising from the ashes of Miami. Another semi stud is currently in a golden situation, but what is going to happen to his production for the rest of the season? Injuries are also a key part of what happened this week opening up room for other guys or plummeting a guy’s stock.
Smokin’ Jay Cutler Is Back, What About Alshon Jeffery?
Wow, what a coincidence. Brian Hoyer gets injured after 4 straight 300 yard games and all of a sudden Jay Cutler is back in practice and expected to start. Bad news for the Bears, but great news Alshon Jeffery, a player many have worried about due to his lack of usage with Brian Hoyer. With Hoyer under center, Alshon Jeffery had 319 yards on 23 catches from Week 2 – 7 while seeing a less than optimal target share. With Cutler, Jeffery averages .5 catches/game, .3 TDs/game, 12.5 yards/game, and 4 PPR points/game more with Cutler at QB from 2014 through now. Jeffery gets the benefit of the doubt from Cutler who is always willing to chuck it downfield to Jeffery. Look for him to be a solid WR 1 for the rest of 2016.
Odell Had Less Than 60 Yards for the Third Time in 4 weeks?
It looks like heading to London to face the Rams wasn’t healthy for OBJ. Maybe he got too far away from his loving kicking net. (I hate myself for that joke). Regardless, Odell only posted 5 catches for 49 yards to go with 3 for 23 and 5 for 56 outings in the last 4 weeks. Realistically there seems to be a normal explanation for this week at least. Early in the week, OBJ had been dealing with hip and abdominal pain and had “a good bit of pain” on Sunday according to ESPN’s Jordan Raanan. This seems to have affected Odell, with him taking absences during the game due to the pain. Odell will be a great option in Week 9 so hold tight if you are getting worried, in fact, it is worth trying to “buy low” on Odell from a team panicking.
Spencer Ware Looks Like a Legit Long Term Option at RB
Against the Saints, admittedly a cake matchup, Spencer Ware rushed for 77 yards on 17 carries while continuing his big play success as a receiver catching 2 for 54. Jamaal Charles was active for this game, but nearly in name alone, seeing 1 rush and gaining 0 yards. In games with > 12 rushes, Ware’s 16 game pace would be 291 attempts for 1480 yards, 8 TDs to go with 24 receptions for 291 yards and 3 TDs, or 265 PPR points! Which would have placed Spencer Ware as the RB2 overall in 2015. He has locked up the RB 1 job in KC, with Jamaal Charles being perhaps the most glorified receiving downs back in the NFL. For the rest of the season Spencer Ware is a top 8 RB and in the future could cement himself as a top 5 RB. With Charles set for a $7 million cap hit (via Spotrac) it would not be surprising to see Charles in another uniform in 2017.
Is the Golden Tate resurgence for real?
Golden Tate got off to a rough start but has reemerged in Weeks 6 and 7 as fantasy owners wrote him off, posting a combined 14 catches for 258 yards and 1 TD off of 22 targets. These numbers are 45%, 66%, 100%, and 42% of his season totals highlighting exactly how poor he was playing early in 2016. Matthew Stafford has recently begun to share the ball with Tate as well as Marvin Jones, with both going over 90 yards in Week 7. Unfortunately for Tate owners, his explosion has coincided with the absence of Theo Riddick from the Lions, which really opens up underneath routes for Tate. Riddick didn’t practice before Week 7 and while he remains sidelined, Tate is a WR 3 or good Flex play. After he returns, however, Tate falls to a matchup-based play.
Jay Ajayi is a New Addition to the Top 15 RB ranks
After Week 6 where Ajayi ran for over 200 yards, I said “Ajayi won’t come close to his Week 6 production likely ever again in his career”, in my Week 6 Reactions. It looks like I was wrong about that with Ajayi running for 214 yards and a TD on 28 carries. Ajayi was getting so much work that late in the game he was forced out fo the game with cramps for a little bit. Ajayi’s value spikes due to his performance, but also with Arian Foster’s retirement. Foster was not taking a whole ton of touches (4 touches in Week 7) away from Ajayi, but he was always a threat. Now as a seemingly featured back who has produced amazing numbers the last two weeks, Ajayi is now a top 15 RB rest of season.
Fun Fact: Through 7 games, Todd Gurley has 403 yards and 3 TDs. In his last 2 games, Jay Ajayi has 418 yards and 3 TDs. Ajayi is higher in real value for the rest of 2016 for me, but Todd Gurley carries more name value and you can get more for him in a trade. Also, Jay Ajayi joined OJ Simpson, Earl Campbell, and Ricky Williams as the only RBs with back-to-back 200-yard rushers. So either you are a Hall of Famer or a Dolphin running for 200 yards back-to-back.