Week 7 WR vs CB Matchup Analysis
We are back with Week 7 WR vs CB matchup analysis to help you with your wide receiver decisions of the week. Again, here are the 3 categories for the highlighted matchups:
- Must starts: top players with an exploitable matchup.
- High Upside: average players with an exploitable matchup
- Bad matchups: players who have poor matchups
We’re in week 7 and Adam Thielen is 3rd in the league in receiving yards. It’s time to take him seriously, and with a matchup against struggling Ladarius Webb in the slot, he’s a safe bet for a high floor week yet again. Stefon Diggs will probably draw more attention even with his nagging injuries.
Cooks is also amongst the league leaders in receiving yards averaging almost 20 yards per catch. The great thing with Cooks is he only needs 1 catch to make him fantasy relevant and he’s one of the safest bets in the league for that to happen on a weekly basis. The former Saints receiver will likely get a lot of attention from Robert Alford this week, with Chris Hogan getting locked out by Desmond Trufant. That’s good news and makes Cooks a nice start.
The nightmare season continues for Cooper. Encouraging is that Derek Carr is another week removed from his back injury, and Cooper caught 5 of his 6 targets last week. This week, Marcus Peters will likely give Michael Crabtree more attention which leaves Cooper in a nice spot to feast against Terrance Mitchell, a man who teams have targeted all year. Patience is wearing thin with Cooper, but trust him for 1 more week before you really start giving up.
This is a game I expect the Saints to dominate. The Packers secondary is awful, and Drew Brees and co. are more than capable of taking advantage. Thomas is the primary target, expect him to have a productive day.
With Josh Norman still injured, this could be a nice spot for Alshon Jeffery to smash. Bashaud Breeland is playing out of position on the right side, and he has been just average all year. Carson Wentz is so hot right now he’s leaving a smoke trail behind him, and Jeffery could be a primary beneficiary this week.
Julio isn’t someone that can be covered by any 1 man 1 on 1. The reason for his early season “struggles” I attribute more to game script and injuries. With the Falcons facing an offense that can actually put up points, expect Matt Ryan to have to throw the ball a bit more than the coaching staff would prefer. Julio can only benefit in that situation, so he’s an easy start. This is a great breakout game opportunity for him with the Patriots secondary, especially Stephon Gilmore who will be shadowing Jones in week 7.
The Cowboys have struggled to cover opposing wideouts all season. Garçon is experiencing a career resurgence as basically the only option for the 49ers to throw to. He’s an easy high-floor play this week.
Another week, another solid matchup for Dez. He’s proving he can take advantage when he has the right matchup, and against the 49ers hapless secondary, he’s a great start.
Hill is a perpetual high-upside play, but David Amerson is very easily beatable. On Thursday Night Football where game plans are weaker due to short weeks of practice, athletes like Hill are often the beneficiary.
Hopefully, Diggs continues to get healthy and back to the early season monster performances we saw. This should be a low-scoring game with two of the NFL’s worst starting quarterbacks and best defenses, but Diggs could easily slip past Brandon Carr (PFF score of just 60.5 through 263 coverage snaps) for a score.
Cooper Kupp/Robert Woods
Patrick Peterson usually makes QBs throw away from him, so this should be a Kupp and/or Robert Woods game for the Rams. Predicting which may be difficult, but both have had above-average floors in good matchups. Tyrann Mathieu and Justin Bethel have both been atrocious in coverage this year, so roll the dice with one of these guys and see what happens.
Beasley has been much less involved in the offense in 2017 than in 2016, but the matchup against the 49ers is a little t00 juice to pass up.
T.Y. Hilton/Donte Moncrief
Death, Taxes, and receivers struggling against the Jalen Ramsey/A.J. Bouye duo.
Without Aaron Rodgers and a matchup with star rookie Marshon Lattimore on the docket, Adams could be in for a rough day. I’m sitting Adams and Cobb until we get a little more film on Hundley vs. NFL defenses. Jordy gets lowered to a WR2 ceiling until Hundley proves otherwise.
Jackson seemingly can’t get it going in Tampa Bay, and Tre’Davious White (PFF’s 5th ranked corner on the season) isn’t going to give DJax any favors.
The only better slot corner than Kendall Fuller for the Redskins (according to Pro Football Focus) has been the Eagles own Patrick Robinson. Agholor has been hot in the early goings this season, but Fuller could be a tough matchup despite some positive recent history. (6 catches, 86 yards and a score in week 1 against the Redskins) At WR19 in PPR, it’s getting hard to sit Agholor, but if he can produce again this week it would make the argument to start him a lot stronger next week.
Thomas just had a great game going against Janoris Jenkins on every play, so Casey Hayward doesn’t make DT a must-sit this week. Just temper your expectations as last week was the biggest week by far Demaryius has had all year with Broncos QB Trevor Siemian previously looking more content throwing to Emmanuel Sanders or just handing the ball off.
Luckily for Crabtree, the Raiders don’t lock him to one side of the field like the Chiefs do with Marcus Peters, so he should still have a low-end WR2 floor. However, those needing a huge game from Crabtree may not be so happy Friday morning.
Allen salvaged a 5-catch 35-yard day against Denver in week 1 with a touchdown. This go-around he may not get as lucky. Chris Harris is still the top slot corner in the NFL in most people’s eyes, which is bad news for Allen and his consistent 2017.
Hogan finally came down to earth last week. As I mentioned in the Brandin Cooks section, Hogan will likely be covered most of the day by Desmond Trufant which could push Tom Brady to throw elsewhere with plenty of other options.
The Patrick Peterson lockdown is in effect, and Watkins will just be the next in a long line of victims. He’s not even really worth starting this week.
I hope you enjoyed Week 7 WR vs CB matchup analysis! How’s your team doing? It’s a prime time to fire up some trade offers, so don’t miss out on Landon Sparkman’s Buy Low, Sell High article to improve your team’s shot down the stretch.
*Please note that stats such as fantasy points per route were taken from Pro Football Focus. (subscription required)