Welcome back for my DraftKings Week 11 GPP plays! Let’s keep this train rolling. My sole focus is to help you identify the best team stacks to push you ahead in tournaments. I’ll select a few POTENTIALLY low-owned GPP plays as well, primarily on DraftKings. I’ll also be referencing various tools I use from sites such as 4for4.com, ProFootballFocus.com, Football Outsiders and Establishtherun.com. These sites have some of the best tools and insights into the industry. My overall goal here is to help you come to your own logical conclusions, trust yourself, and develop your own process. At the end of the day, you make the final decisions. You must hold yourselves accountable. It’s the only way we’re going to learn and improve our game. So, let’s plant our flag, not waiver on convictions, and start winning some money! Let’s look at some of the top DraftKings Week 11 stacks and GPP plays!
Dak Prescott ($6700)
Tons of great spots for QBs this week. TONS. But, once again DK has hit the multiplier button on their algorithm as most of the good QBs in prime spots are priced at 6.5k or higher. Even Jimmy G, who’s averaged 15.8pts per game is priced as the fifth-highest QB for his matchup against the QB friendly Cards. This might make Jimmy G a fade and people could look to pay up for guys like Lamar Jackson (HE’S ON FIRE), Drew Brees (Bounce back spot versus a pass funnel) or Watson (versus Jackson…HOW IS THIS NOT ON PRIMETIME?!). But I’m looking elsewhere this week. I’m looking at Dak Prescott and his $6700 price tag against a reeling Detroit Lions team that will have no answer for him, and this Jekyll and Hyde offense come Sunday.
Ok, that Jekyll and Hyde reference might be a little harsh. But that’s basically been the state of the franchise for the last twenty years (Yes, I’m a Cowboys fan). But I digress. Let’s get back to Dak as a GPP play. He is in a great spot. Coming off a week where he absolutely torched the Vikings secondary. Now he gets to face a Lions defense that According the 4for4’s (aFPA) allow 20.9ppg to the position. Fourth worst. They’re also graded with the sixth-worst pass rush in the league per PFF. Basically, don’t expect much of a pass rush against the Cowboys O-line which will leave Dak plenty of time to find Cooper, Gallup, and Cobb.
Leonard Fournette ($7900)
Coming in off their bye and with Nick Foles being reinserted back at QB the Jags head to Indianapolis for a divisional matchup with the Colts. Just as there are a buffet of smash spots to choose from at QB the same could be said for running back. It’s very possible that Fournette goes overlooked as others choose to go after guys like Josh Jacobs, Zeke, Dalvin Cook, and CMC. ETR’s current ownership projections have him at sub 10%. Which could give you a ton of leverage from a guy that continues to get bell-cow usage on a team that is run first. Despite the week ten bye Fournette still gets the third amount of touches in the league at 23.8 per game. Only CMC and Dalvin Cook are ahead of him. Fournette faces a Colts defense that currently sports a bottom ten rush DVOA per Football Outsider and has been touched up by enemy combo backs via land and air, Dolphins (22-47, 7-17), Steelers (21-83, 13-73), Broncos (26-99-1, 8-31). The numbers don’t scream massive box score days. But when you combine the PPR opportunity with Fournette not being in an RBBC AND getting ALL the touches you find a massive floor for an underpriced back on a run-first team. I don’t even care that they’re road dogs (+3). The Colts have been sputtering and come in off a demoralizing home loss to a tanking Dolphins team. The Jaguars are rested, the Colts are ripe for the picking. Fire up Leonard Fournette as a fantastic contrarian play.
Julian Edelman ($7600)
Two more teams are coming in off their bye this week as the Patriots take on the Eagles. The game total (45) isn’t particularly appealing. But what is appealing is attacking this Philly secondary. Something that, fantasy-wise, has been a successful and profitable move all season. The main reason being that the Eagles have held enemy RBs in check and rank top ten in (aFPA) allowing 21.6ppg. This has led teams to attack the Eagles via the air where they give up the sixth-most points to opposing WRs (38.5ppg). People might click on Mohamad Sanu in this spot as he comes in at a cheap price tag of $5100. But I really like paying up in this spot for Julian Edelman. Despite the addition of Sanu and Brady spreading the ball around his trusty WR never seems to fade in target distribution. Prior to the bye getting counts of 12, 11, 11. His role is secure, his matchup is right, and ownership should be low. ETR currently has him projected between 9-12%. You’re paying up but doing it to be contrarian which will help you gain the leverage you need against a field jamming RBs into their lineups.
I’m not sure where to even begin at TE this week. It’s typically muddled. Its either pay up or punt. But this week seems to be the worst yet. High priced George Kittle is doubtful and after that, you’re basically taking a shot. Mark Andrews isn’t producing like he was to start the season. Becoming heavily reliant on touchdowns and Austin Hooper is out. I’ll choose just a few notable TEs that have the potential for a decent game. But, paying down might be your best path this weekend to help us find value.
Darren Waller ($5500) vs Bengals – Of course, I immediately start off with a higher-end TE. Waller hasn’t been producing but has the ultimate “get right” spot against a defensively challenged Bengals team that is ready for the offseason.
Ross Dwelley ($3400) vs Cardinals – Kittle is looking doubtful putting Dwelley squarely on our radar. On Monday night Dwelley filled in for Kittle and got 7 targets. If Kittle sits again fire up Dwelley with confidence against the Cards who still are ranked dead last against TEs per FO.
Dallas Goedert ($3200) vs Patriots – No DJax, No Alshon and Jordan Howard hasn’t practiced all week. It’s starting to look like another two TE game for the Eagles. And with Hoodie game planning to shut down Ertz expect plenty of opportunities to open up for Goedert. His last four targets count being 8, 4, 5, 5. He’s involved. Get involved at a very cheap price.
Dak Prescott ($6700), Ezekiel Elliot ($9000), Amari Cooper ($7700)
- Mentioned Dak earlier and I love paring him here with Zeke and Amari. Especially, with Matt Stafford already ruled out the public could see as this as an all system go game for Zeke. Throwing this double stack in GPPs will give you a ton of leverage for a team that could potentially go nuclear.
Drew Brees ($6900), Alvin Kamara ($7400), Michael Thomas ($9900)
- I’m going back to the well with this stack. For whatever reason, the Falcons decided to play defense and the Saints forgot byes aren’t two weeks long. It was bad for New Orleans. I can’t see the Bucs having the same kind of success. The Saints will look to bounce back after that home loss, and they should do so against one of the most giving pass funnels in the league. Kamara is risky but we want his PPR upside. He’ll be option number two behind Thomas in the passing game. Add in that people will be too scared to play Brees outdoors and you have an extremely high upside double stack that will come in under-owned in GPPs.
Thanks for checking out my top DraftKings Week 10 GPP stacks and players! Be sure to come back all season and let me help you win money! Follow me @PacingPete on Twitter and check out all our DFS and redraft content at TFA!
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